Fortune Fencing ROC(DV1A, DV2, VET), RJCC

Div I-A Women's Épée

Saturday, April 8, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Ontario Convention Center - Hall A & B - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LEE Natasha 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
2 CHUNG Kimberly L. 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 22%
3 MONTOYA Kimberlee C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 71%
3 HARRISON Amelia H. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 49%
5 CHA Eugenie 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 7%
6 PHUKAN Indra 100% 91% 61% 24% 5% -
7 KENT Elizabeth J. 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 10%
8 XU Celina 100% 85% 48% 14% 2% - -
9 KIM Zoe L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
10 HAU Olivia 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2% -
11 SHELIN Chelsea 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 10%
12 LIANG Jingjing 100% 92% 54% 17% 3% -
13 SALISTRA Emilia 100% 83% 46% 15% 2% -
14 NELSON-LOVE Lily B. 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 11%
15 MONTOYA Amy C. 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 31% 5%
16 DUONG Zoey 100% 93% 65% 28% 6% 1%
17 YAO Yilin 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 20%
18 TAN Jocelyn 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 6%
19 HEPLER Sarah 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 4%
20 ENRILE Erica 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 4% -
21 BEAMS Alyona 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 15% 1%
22 MANDAP Svetlanna 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1%
23 KUKVA Taisiya 100% 98% 83% 50% 16% 2%
24 CHIMIENTI Michele 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 8%
25 MARTYNOVA Diana 100% 95% 71% 34% 8% 1%
26 BROWN Riley 100% 92% 61% 25% 5% 1% -
27 DALEY Keira 100% 88% 55% 20% 4% -
28 BARON Sabina 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 11%
29 WANG Angelina 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 3%
30 MUN Brianna K. 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 4%
31 PERKINS-OLLILA Emily 100% 41% 7% 1% - -
32 WANG Zoe 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
33 BUSH emma 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 20%
34 POON Desiree 100% 71% 30% 7% 1% -
35 HSIU Elizabeth 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 12% 1%
36 RYAN Minhuey 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
37 CHANG Celine A. 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 4%
38 CHIEM Karen 100% 93% 65% 27% 6% -
39 KIM Jayna 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 5%
40 PRIMES Amanda M. 100% 99% 90% 58% 22% 3%
41 JAMES Ashley 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% - -
42 MA Katelyn 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% 1% -
43 CHUNG Penelope 100% 92% 64% 29% 7% 1% -
44 CAREY Michele S. 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 20% 2%
45 LEWIS Rachel 100% 75% 34% 8% 1% -
46 LENDIS Gabrielle 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 1%
47 OSTRIKOFF Michelle 100% 87% 50% 15% 2% - -
48 DENG Annie 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 9% 1%
49 DAYAL Saahira 100% 78% 38% 10% 1% -
50 BARNEY Lindsey 100% 83% 43% 11% 1% - -
51 CHAN Allison M. 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.