Premier Challenge ROC/VET/RJCC

Div I-A Men's Saber

Sunday, April 9, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 FIGUEREDO Adrian - - 3% 13% 32% 36% 16%
2 WESTERN Rafael - - - - - 7% 93%
3 HARE John R. - - - 2% 15% 42% 40%
3 HUANG Ethan F. - - 3% 17% 43% 37%
5 BABAYEV Gabriel A. - - - 3% 16% 41% 39%
6 MCCARTHY Gabriel - - 5% 18% 35% 31% 11%
7 BARNETT Adam - - - 3% 16% 42% 38%
8 BROU Inkosi - 5% 21% 35% 28% 10% 1%
9 BARTOLO Domenic V. - - 1% 5% 23% 44% 27%
10 HONG Steven - - 3% 16% 35% 34% 12%
11 CORTEZ Christopher - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 7%
12 WONG Tzer - - 3% 16% 35% 35% 11%
13 HOLMES Aiden G. - - 1% 9% 27% 41% 22%
14 KANG evan R. 1% 7% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1%
15 ZHAO Lucas 5% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
16 HO Kaden M. - - 2% 11% 30% 39% 18%
17 KWALWASSER Eric - 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 9%
18 STAMIS Kyle 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
19 RODRIGUEZ Darlin - - 2% 11% 30% 39% 18%
20 CHEN Evan P. - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
21 ZHOU Miles 1% 7% 25% 40% 23% 4%
22 MEDVEDEV Michail D. 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
22 TENG Matthew - 1% 5% 19% 34% 30% 11%
24 DEPEW Spencer 2% 13% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
25 PAN Alex - 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 8%
26 FIELDS Matthew S. - 2% 11% 30% 37% 17% 3%
27 DOLAN Charles R. - 2% 13% 31% 34% 16% 3%
28 WOODWARD Dylan P. - - 3% 15% 36% 36% 11%
29 TIAGI Daniel 6% 26% 36% 23% 8% 1% -
30 CHENG Hong 3% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
31 LIN Maxim - 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3%
32 KIM-COGAN Ryan - 1% 9% 29% 38% 20% 3%
33 GLOZMAN Justin - 1% 9% 28% 40% 21% 1%
34 OH Triton - 2% 14% 35% 37% 12%
35 EDELMAN Seth A. - 3% 16% 34% 31% 13% 2%
36 MAKLIN Edward P. - - 1% 9% 29% 42% 19%
37 STONE Christopher A. 1% 9% 29% 37% 20% 4% -
38 LOPEZ Lucas M. 1% 8% 28% 37% 21% 5% -
39 FORMENTI Giulio 1% 6% 22% 34% 26% 10% 1%
40 CHEN Samuel 5% 25% 37% 24% 8% 1% -
41 GUFFEY Christopher - 3% 14% 32% 33% 15% 2%
42 HUROWITZ Max 3% 25% 40% 25% 7% 1% -
43 LIU Kevin 2% 18% 38% 31% 10% 1% -
44 PIWOWAR Alex 1% 6% 21% 35% 27% 10% 1%
45 KIM ELIJAH - 6% 25% 38% 24% 5% -
46 ALFAU LARACUENTE Gabriel 6% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1% -
47 WEN Edward 1% 14% 35% 34% 14% 2% -
48 HUANG Tom 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 8% 1%
49 LIU Mingyang Ryan - 2% 15% 35% 35% 12% -
50 PERRON Robert 5% 27% 38% 22% 6% 1% -
51 LIU Lawrence - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 1%
52 SUGIURA Samuel 2% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2% -
53 CHOKSI Vihaan 2% 23% 40% 27% 8% 1% -
54 LAU Justin Y. 5% 25% 40% 24% 6% -
55 ZHENG LEON 17% 40% 31% 10% 1% -
56 HAN Daniel Y. - 3% 15% 32% 33% 14% 2%
57 MURTHY mukund - < 1% 3% 15% 33% 35% 14%
58 KIM Matthew - 1% 6% 20% 34% 30% 10%
58 KIM Theodore 34% 42% 19% 4% - - -
60 HUFF Clayton R. 30% 42% 22% 6% 1% - -
61 XU Justin 47% 39% 12% 2% - - -
62 TIAGI George 32% 42% 20% 5% 1% - -
63 WANG Weiyun 15% 39% 32% 12% 2% - -
64 WU Richard 3% 21% 38% 27% 9% 1% -
65 GONG Jerry 1% 8% 26% 35% 22% 7% 1%
66 KUMAR Arjun 33% 42% 20% 4% - - -
67 HENDERSON Jack 50% 38% 10% 1% - - -
68 KAPOOR Tanmay 25% 43% 25% 6% 1% -
69 KOGAN Nikita 4% 24% 39% 25% 7% 1% -
70 FORD Tyler J. 6% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
71 BHATIA Ekam 30% 43% 21% 5% 1% - -
72 LUCAS Hayden 8% 29% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
73 CHAMBERS Thomas J. 3% 20% 37% 28% 10% 2% -
74 AMES Kylan 68% 27% 4% - - - -
75 COURTIN Frederic 32% 41% 21% 5% 1% - -
76 BARROWS Hunter 76% 21% 2% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.