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Junior Men's Foil

Sunday, April 9, 2023 at 12:00 PM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 FOGELSON Frederick J. - - - 2% 12% 40% 46%
2 ELWOOD Sebastian F. - - 2% 13% 33% 37% 15%
3 LIANG Lixi (Henry) - - - - 7% 34% 59%
3 ZELTSER Lawrence M. - 2% 13% 33% 36% 15%
5 LANG Dong Lin - - 2% 13% 32% 38% 15%
6 TSIMIKLIS Yanni - - - 2% 17% 48% 33%
7 SIMA Congyu Josh - - 4% 17% 34% 33% 12%
8 LI Eric - - - 4% 20% 42% 33%
9 BING Charles - - - 1% 9% 37% 54%
10 NAGER Noah - - - 2% 15% 48% 35%
11 BAE Kevin - - - 2% 12% 40% 47%
12 LI Arvin - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 6%
13 PO Oliver - - 3% 15% 36% 36% 9%
14 LI Matthew - - 2% 18% 41% 33% 6%
15 HAN Changhee - - 6% 30% 41% 20% 2%
16 GUO Sean - 3% 16% 33% 31% 13% 2%
17 LEE Jacob - 4% 17% 35% 33% 12%
18 KNIZHNIK David - - 1% 9% 29% 41% 21%
19 BADLANI Dev - 2% 11% 29% 35% 20% 4%
20 LEE Chris - - 1% 9% 30% 42% 18%
21 QIAN Jason H. - 1% 7% 31% 41% 19% 2%
22 XU Xinhao ( Sonny) 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3% -
23 WANG Winston - - 4% 21% 41% 28% 5%
24 LEE Jonah - 4% 20% 38% 29% 9% 1%
25 SONG Bryan - - 3% 19% 41% 32% 6%
26 TANG Albert - 5% 20% 36% 29% 9% 1%
27 PARRISH Evan 2% 12% 31% 34% 17% 4% -
28 LI Aaron 1% 8% 27% 37% 22% 5% -
29 LIU Derek - 2% 11% 31% 37% 17% 2%
30 LEE Brendan - 3% 14% 32% 34% 15% 2%
31 GAO William - - 3% 14% 32% 36% 15%
32 FINLEY Dylan - 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2%
33 HUANG Eythan 1% 6% 23% 36% 25% 8% 1%
34 LIGOS Alex M. - 3% 22% 42% 27% 6% -
35 AUGUSTINE Aaron A. - - 4% 16% 35% 34% 10%
36 ZHEN Ethan - 4% 20% 37% 29% 9% 1%
36 LIN James G. - - 3% 15% 37% 36% 9%
38 KITAGAWA Eric S. - 1% 8% 26% 38% 23% 5%
39 LI Ayren 1% 14% 36% 34% 13% 2% -
39 LEVY Jacob 2% 17% 36% 31% 11% 2% -
41 HE Xiangrui - - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13%
42 MAO Lucas - 4% 19% 38% 31% 8% 1%
43 LU Howen 7% 31% 37% 19% 5% - -
44 GUO Justin - 3% 17% 36% 31% 11% 1%
45 XU Ethan 3% 22% 37% 27% 9% 2% -
46 ZHAO Adam 2% 17% 36% 30% 12% 2% -
47 GAO Payton 23% 45% 26% 6% 1% - -
48 ORLOV Dmitriy 1% 10% 29% 36% 19% 4%
49 CHEN Kyle P. 13% 36% 33% 14% 3% -
50 LAURICELLA Douglas - - < 1% 4% 19% 44% 33%
51 KOVACS Wyatt 2% 15% 36% 32% 13% 2% -
52 PAN Henry 1% 9% 29% 36% 20% 4% -
53 MAGALONG William 4% 53% 34% 8% 1% - -
54 SURESH Rohan 37% 43% 17% 3% - - -
55 CHO Xzander 3% 25% 40% 25% 6% 1% -
56 DAVIDSON Elliot 1% 11% 30% 35% 18% 3%
57 YAO Bradley 2% 17% 38% 31% 11% 1% -
58 RADOSLAVOV Ivan-Asen 7% 33% 43% 15% 2% - -
59 SRINIVASAN Vedant - 9% 38% 37% 14% 2% -
60 SHAPIRO Leon 5% 30% 39% 20% 5% 1% -
61 MARTIN Darius 11% 38% 35% 13% 2% - -
62 LEE Eugene 1% 12% 34% 36% 15% 2% -
63 KALIPERSAD Neil A. 1% 8% 28% 37% 21% 5% -
64 WANG Rory 29% 45% 21% 4% - - -
65 XU Ethan 39% 42% 16% 3% - - -
66 MUNDY Ezra 63% 31% 6% - - - -
67 WANG Brian 24% 41% 26% 8% 1% -
68 HU Alan 14% 38% 33% 12% 2% - -
69 ZHEN Youwei 13% 39% 34% 12% 2% - -
70 ZHUANG Chuanxuan 17% 46% 31% 6% - - -
70 COSSROW Alex 69% 27% 4% - - - -
72 BAI Brian 42% 44% 13% 1% - - -
73 VISHAWADIA Jaimin 31% 43% 21% 5% - - -
73 FRANK Amir 61% 32% 6% 1% - - -
75 SEIB-LEVINSON Conrad 50% 38% 10% 1% - - -
76 BRATTAIN Trey 89% 10% - - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.