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Boston Fencing Club RYC

Y-12 Men's Foil

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Boston Fencing Club - Boston, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Birth Year

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5
1	TAN Aidan	-	-	-	4%	26%	70%
2	CHENG Logan	-	-	1%	7%	33%	60%
3	ZHANG Lucas	-	-	1%	7%	34%	59%
3	HOU Gaven	-	1%	6%	27%	47%	20%
5	GUTH Joseph	-	-	-	-	7%	93%
6	KINGSLEY Griffin	-	-	1%	10%	37%	52%
7	XU Nathan	2%	15%	36%	36%	12%
8	PLUMMER Waylon	-	4%	22%	44%	29%
9	NOVIKOV Yann	1%	7%	26%	40%	24%	3%
10	KRZYWON Dylan	2%	15%	35%	34%	13%	1%
11	CHANG Parker	1%	8%	27%	39%	23%	3%
12	CHEN kenneth	2%	17%	38%	32%	10%	1%
13	REN Ryan	1%	7%	26%	42%	24%
14	WANG Luke	3%	21%	41%	29%	7%
15	BAKSHI Aman	1%	12%	33%	37%	15%	1%
16	YAVENDITTI William	1%	12%	36%	38%	13%
17	ULYSSE Jacob	2%	14%	34%	35%	14%	1%
18	AYYAGARI Abhiram	-	-	1%	13%	43%	43%
19	LI Jayden	1%	12%	34%	39%	14%	-
19	HUYNH Matthew	-	3%	18%	39%	33%	6%
21	CHUN Zachary	1%	10%	29%	37%	20%	3%
22	WOODTHORPE Chris	6%	28%	41%	22%	4%	-
23	ZHANG Aaron	-	4%	20%	43%	31%	1%
24	WANG Zeyu	7%	34%	40%	17%	2%
25	KIAYIAS Alexander	18%	40%	31%	10%	1%
26	SIU Max	3%	18%	37%	31%	10%	1%
27	WU Isaac	7%	30%	39%	21%	4%	-
28	CHUN Alexander	32%	43%	21%	4%	-	-
29	ZHAI Alex	2%	17%	37%	33%	10%	1%
30	HU Daniel	44%	40%	13%	2%	-	-
31	HU Michael	30%	43%	22%	5%	-	-
32	ALIMI Mousa	50%	39%	10%	1%	-
33	BO Aiden	8%	32%	39%	18%	3%	-
34	CONVERSO-PARSONS Alexander	27%	44%	24%	5%	-	-
35	LU Baisu	11%	33%	35%	17%	3%	-
36	ZHONG Kingsley	12%	35%	35%	15%	3%	-
37	BRADFORD-WATT Ezra	2%	14%	35%	35%	12%	1%
38	LEE Aeden	4%	23%	38%	27%	7%	-
39	MOON Nicolas	8%	31%	39%	19%	3%	-
40	ABRAMKIN Tim	16%	39%	33%	11%	1%
41	QIAN Zekai	6%	25%	39%	25%	5%
42	LIU Brady	26%	42%	25%	6%	1%	-
43	KIM Daniel	1%	10%	31%	37%	18%	2%
44	HAN Jiaren	14%	38%	34%	13%	2%	-
45	DAWSON Myer	9%	32%	38%	18%	3%	-
46	TIAN Dylan	24%	42%	26%	7%	1%	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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