The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Take Action

Boston Fencing Club RYC

Y-12 Men's Épée

Sunday, April 9, 2023 at 12:30 PM

Boston Fencing Club - Boston, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 XIA Dashan - 1% 14% 44% 33% 7%
2 CHEN Jayden - 2% 11% 29% 38% 20%
3 TESFAYE Elias 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4%
3 NORMILE Nicholas - - 4% 22% 45% 28%
5 O'LONGAIGH Sunkhar - - 4% 22% 46% 27%
6 TRAN Spencer - 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
7 KIM Henry - 3% 20% 40% 30% 7%
8 SONG Aidan 2% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2%
9 CHEN Daniel - 6% 26% 39% 23% 4%
10 SINGLETON Aman - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13%
11 LI Jade 3% 17% 33% 31% 14% 2%
12 AHMED Mohsen 35% 42% 19% 4% - -
13 MORI Seneca 2% 13% 33% 34% 15% 2%
14 CANAPARI Theodore 24% 40% 26% 8% 1% -
15 SOLARZ Arthur 7% 28% 37% 22% 6% 1%
16 CAFASSO Alexander 1% 10% 28% 35% 21% 4%
17 ASHLEY Logan - - 7% 32% 51% 10%
18 HANNA Alexander 11% 35% 37% 15% 2% -
19 ROBINSON Garrett - - 3% 18% 42% 37%
20 ZHANG Jonathan - - 3% 18% 43% 35%
21 BO Genero 1% 9% 31% 38% 19% 3%
22 SZCZAPA Lukas 1% 10% 31% 38% 17% 2%
23 LEE Harrison 2% 20% 46% 26% 5% -
24 RICHARDSON Matthew 48% 40% 11% 1% - -
25 WHITE Jackson 27% 49% 20% 3% - -
26 MCGANN Grant 37% 45% 16% 2% - -
27 LI Jayden 24% 42% 27% 7% 1% -
28 FOGEL Jake 14% 44% 32% 9% 1% -
29 MA Brendon 3% 19% 36% 29% 11% 1%
30 ROFINO Samuel 11% 36% 37% 14% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.