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For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Motor City SYC/RCC

Y-12 Men's Foil

Sunday, April 16, 2023 at 8:00 AM

UWM Sports Complex - Pontiac, MI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SENIC Lucas - - - - 5% 29% 66%
2 GHEDINI Luca - - - 1% 6% 32% 61%
3 PALMA Nathan Anthony - - - - 5% 33% 61%
3 PARRISH Evan - - - 1% 6% 33% 60%
5 TANG Alexander L. - - - 1% 7% 35% 57%
6 SUAREZ David - - 3% 16% 37% 35% 7%
7 FEDELI Francesco - - - 4% 28% 49% 19%
8 LI Richard - 1% 5% 20% 37% 30% 7%
9 ZHANG Lucas - - - 4% 21% 44% 30%
10 GUTH Joseph - - - 1% 10% 36% 53%
11 DHOKTE Neev - - 5% 30% 47% 18%
12 LU Jingyi - - - 1% 10% 42% 47%
13 DESERANNO Leander - - - 2% 13% 40% 45%
14 ZHENG Marcus - - 3% 17% 38% 34% 7%
15 RODRIGUEZ Tyler - - 1% 7% 27% 44% 21%
16 TSAY Jordan R. - - 1% 12% 43% 45%
17 LU Alex - - 2% 17% 47% 30% 5%
18 PARKER Isaiah - - 2% 13% 46% 39%
19 CHOI Benjamin - 3% 14% 34% 37% 12%
20 BAI Austin - 4% 21% 38% 28% 8% -
21 OZAWA Taishi - 1% 9% 27% 37% 22% 4%
22 HICKEY Connor - - 3% 20% 45% 27% 4%
23 WU Thomas 2% 13% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
24 ELKOUSY Zain al Din - - 4% 19% 43% 34%
25 CHUANG Oscar - - 3% 19% 49% 29%
26 LI Lucas - 3% 17% 34% 32% 13% 1%
27 KNIBBE Nathan - - 1% 10% 37% 43% 10%
28 MARISI Gabriel - 2% 11% 29% 36% 19% 2%
29 JAZWINSKI Ryan - 1% 10% 30% 38% 19% 2%
30 GE Felix Fei - 3% 17% 36% 32% 11% 1%
31 LATORRE Leonardo - 6% 25% 36% 25% 7% 1%
32 FANG Haoyu 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
33 TAN Charlie - 2% 14% 35% 34% 13% 1%
34 LIU Yinhong - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 1%
35 RAU Shogun - 5% 20% 36% 29% 9% 1%
36 GOGOI Kavi 5% 25% 41% 25% 4% -
37 PAN Ethan - 5% 26% 44% 21% 3% -
38 WANG Xiuqi(Arthur) 2% 16% 35% 32% 12% 2% -
39 ZMUDA Aiden 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
40 KUANG Cyrus - 7% 26% 36% 24% 7% -
41 WEI JR Shan - 2% 16% 36% 33% 12% 1%
42 HUYNH Matthew - 4% 22% 39% 27% 8% -
43 WU Wallace - 4% 17% 34% 31% 11% 1%
44 JIN Xuechong Daniel 2% 15% 38% 36% 10% 1%
45 WENGER Rowan - 2% 16% 45% 32% 6%
46 DEMPSEY Julian 4% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1%
47 CZARNECKI Thomas 3% 17% 36% 32% 11% 1%
48 PUTHOFF Henry 10% 38% 39% 11% 1% -
49 BILLIET Greyson 19% 45% 30% 5% - -
50 SLAIN Owen 5% 31% 46% 16% 1% - -
51 MCGRATH Milo 2% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2% -
52 WANG Daniel 2% 16% 35% 31% 13% 3% -
53 ALVAREZ Francisco Janusz 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
54 LU Hansen 3% 17% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
55 SONG Yuxuan Austin 6% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
56 DEBORD Beckett - 6% 24% 36% 25% 7% 1%
57 PAN Howard Haoran - 3% 22% 49% 22% 3% -
58 WEI Winston 25% 43% 25% 6% 1% - -
59 DIFRANK Avery 1% 11% 33% 36% 16% 3% -
60 WANG Caleb 1% 7% 25% 37% 23% 6% -
61 JI Dachai 27% 42% 24% 7% 1% - -
62 MAZAHERI John 13% 51% 29% 7% 1% - -
63 GREULICH Nikolas 42% 41% 15% 2% - - -
64 GUO Joey 24% 40% 26% 8% 1% - -
65 WENGER Liam 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
66 KIM Joshua Yeohwi 6% 30% 42% 19% 3% - -
67 PAYNE Lynas 29% 42% 23% 5% 1% -
68 MAZAHERI Theodore 17% 43% 31% 8% 1% -
69 TATE Linus 7% 27% 38% 22% 6% -
70 GARRARD Jeremiah 16% 48% 30% 5% - - -
71 KOLACKI Gabriel 9% 39% 36% 13% 2% - -
72 DEWAR Gabe 16% 43% 33% 8% 1% - -
73 RITTER Nathan D. 49% 41% 9% 1% - - -
74 FRASER Rhys 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 6% -
75 NG Gavin 33% 46% 19% 2% - -
76 EDWARDS Connor 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
77 NOTHIAS Sebastien 39% 44% 15% 2% - - -
78 RODGERSON Jasper 30% 44% 22% 4% - -
79 CHAN William 74% 23% 3% - - - -
80 HALLETTMANES Ezra 56% 36% 8% 1% - - -
81 SHAH Aadi 66% 30% 4% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.