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Fairfax Challenge Spring RYC/RJCC/ROC

Y-12 Men's Saber

Sunday, April 16, 2023 at 3:00 PM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 FENG Brendan - 3% 12% 28% 33% 20% 5%
2 RINALDI Savio 2% 11% 28% 32% 20% 6% 1%
3 HARDRICK Noah - 5% 23% 40% 26% 5%
3 VALENCIA Jose - 2% 10% 28% 36% 20% 4%
5 HU Harry - 2% 12% 32% 38% 17%
6 MEHTA Yash - 2% 11% 32% 39% 16%
7 HENRY Cadel - 4% 16% 34% 34% 13%
8 BADMUS Joshua 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1%
9 CAI fungyu 9% 28% 35% 21% 7% 1%
10 WEI Rian - 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 8%
11 GRABOWSKI Alexander - 2% 8% 23% 34% 26% 8%
12 BRISENO Ethan - 2% 11% 26% 33% 21% 5%
13 BOSITA Brennan 5% 22% 34% 27% 10% 2%
14 CHAWLA Abhishek 18% 40% 31% 10% 1% -
15 GRABOWSKI Stanley 1% 9% 28% 38% 20% 4%
16 D'AMELJ Edoardo 1% 10% 26% 35% 22% 6%
17 KANE Kiran - 1% 7% 23% 37% 27% 6%
18 SLAVNOV Anton - 1% 6% 25% 43% 26%
19 CHANG Ethan - 2% 11% 31% 38% 17%
20 LEE Ezra 7% 27% 37% 23% 6% 1%
21 LIAO Sirui 2% 10% 27% 34% 22% 5%
22 GORDON Ezekiel 34% 41% 19% 5% 1% - -
23 PAUL James 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3%
24 PIPKE Garrett 10% 33% 36% 17% 4% -
25 LIU Jayden 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4%
26 LEVY Daniel 2% 12% 28% 32% 20% 6% 1%
27 PERRIN Leo 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
28 BONGIORNO Wesley 4% 21% 36% 28% 10% 1%
29 OTT William 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% -
30 DONNELL Cillian 1% 6% 25% 39% 25% 5%
31 PLATT Michael (Trace) 25% 39% 25% 8% 2% - -
32 JAVIER Xavier 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4%
33 FEI Danny 1% 10% 29% 35% 19% 5% -
34 GONZALEZ Leo 2% 16% 39% 31% 10% 2% -
35 DE HOSSON Finn 3% 17% 35% 32% 12% 1%
36 PROSPER Nathaniel 26% 41% 25% 7% 1% -
37 ROKALA Henry 17% 40% 31% 10% 1% -
38 BONGIORNO Redding 1% 11% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.