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Division 1 Championships/April NAC

Junior Women's Saber

Friday, April 21, 2023 at 8:00 AM

America's Center Convention Complex - St. Louis, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HWANG Gabriela M. - 1% 8% 23% 36% 26% 7%
2 JUNG Irene - 5% 19% 37% 31% 8%
3 SHI Cathleen - 3% 15% 35% 35% 12%
3 KER Grace - - 4% 18% 37% 32% 9%
5 SHOMAN Jenna - - - 1% 7% 34% 59%
6 FREEDMAN Janna N. - - - 3% 17% 43% 37%
7 HILD Nisha - - 5% 19% 35% 30% 10%
8 SHEARER Natalie E. - 1% 7% 24% 38% 25% 6%
9 LEE Hannah - - 3% 15% 35% 35% 12%
10 MARSEE Samantha - 1% 9% 29% 41% 20%
11 PAUL Lila - - 1% 10% 31% 40% 16%
12 ANDRES Katherine A. - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 25%
13 CHIN Sophia J. - 1% 5% 22% 40% 27% 4%
14 DELSOIN Chelsea C. - - - 3% 19% 45% 33%
15 LI Victoria J. - - 3% 14% 33% 35% 14%
16 GHAYALOD reya - - 3% 15% 34% 36% 13%
17 BLUM Leah I. - - 1% 7% 27% 45% 21%
18 VESTEL Mira B. - - 2% 13% 32% 38% 14%
19 SO Catelyn 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 6% 1%
20 ENGELMAN-SANZ Madeline A. - - 1% 10% 38% 51%
21 BOIS Adele - 1% 5% 23% 42% 29%
22 OISHI Megumi - - 2% 15% 43% 40%
23 FOUR-GARCIA Madison - - - 3% 16% 42% 39%
24 ANDRES Charmaine G. - - 2% 12% 33% 38% 15%
25 ALCEBAR Kayla - 1% 7% 24% 39% 24% 5%
26 VADASZ Ibla P. - 2% 14% 35% 35% 13%
27 BILILIES Sophia - 3% 18% 36% 32% 10%
28 NATH Trisha - 1% 8% 27% 40% 22% 3%
29 LEE Sophia 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2%
30 XIAO julie - 2% 12% 32% 37% 15% 2%
31 JEONG Katie 1% 11% 31% 35% 18% 4% -
32 DONG Angel 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
33 TAO Hannah J. - - 1% 5% 22% 43% 29%
34 CHEN Xiaohan - 1% 6% 23% 41% 29%
35 HULSEBURG Kaitlyn - - 2% 12% 33% 39% 13%
36 YANG Angelina LeLe - 3% 14% 32% 34% 15% 2%
37 LIU Sophie - - 1% 6% 24% 43% 26%
38 JOHNSON Lauren - 1% 10% 30% 40% 19%
39 NGUYEN Siena 7% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1%
40 CARVALHO Isabela A. - - 3% 17% 42% 38%
41 MIKA Veronica - - 1% 6% 22% 43% 29%
42 LI Amanda C. - - 1% 8% 28% 41% 22%
43 YUAN Greta - 3% 18% 36% 31% 11% 1%
44 DUCKETT Madison - - 2% 9% 27% 40% 22%
45 BEVACQUA Aria F. - 6% 25% 41% 24% 4%
46 CHANG Josephine S. - 1% 11% 34% 41% 14%
46 CALLAHAN Chase J. - 5% 21% 38% 29% 7%
46 LU Elaine 1% 6% 24% 38% 26% 6%
49 ERIKSON Kira R. - 2% 14% 34% 36% 14%
50 CHEN Ashley 3% 18% 35% 31% 11% 1%
51 WU Helen 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
52 MUND Ruth - 11% 32% 35% 17% 4% -
53 LU Amy - 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
54 HAMBAZAZA Liisa 5% 21% 36% 27% 10% 1% -
55 ENDO Miyuki N. - 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
56 YANG Ashley M. - 1% 9% 26% 38% 22% 4%
57 LEMUS-IAKOVIDOU ALEXANDRA 23% 45% 26% 6% 1% -
58 CHRISTOTHOULOU Olympia C. - 9% 34% 39% 16% 2%
59 LIN Nicole 25% 44% 25% 6% 1% -
60 JOHNSON Dagny L. - 3% 20% 41% 30% 6%
61 BARNOVITZ Maya 2% 13% 34% 35% 15% 2%
62 FESTA Carina 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1%
63 LUKER Sophia 7% 27% 37% 23% 6% 1%
64 MOZHAEVA MARIA - 2% 13% 34% 37% 14%
65 XIKES Katherine E. - 5% 26% 42% 24% 4%
66 GORMAN Victoria M. - 3% 17% 36% 33% 10%
67 SCALAMONI-GOLDSTEIN Charlotte S. - 1% 11% 29% 35% 20% 4%
68 TONG Jessie - 15% 37% 33% 12% 2% -
69 HUNG Anna - 6% 25% 37% 25% 7% 1%
70 SCHIMINOVICH Sophia I. - 3% 16% 34% 31% 14% 2%
71 JOHNSON Lydia 6% 23% 35% 26% 9% 1%
72 LUKASHENKO Angelina 1% 12% 33% 35% 16% 3%
72 YAO Rainie 4% 42% 39% 13% 2% -
74 YANG Lea - 12% 36% 35% 14% 3% -
75 PABIAN Emilia 12% 35% 36% 15% 3% - -
76 SCOTT Eve 4% 23% 37% 26% 9% 1% -
77 KRAVCHENKO Mariia - 7% 27% 38% 22% 5% -
78 SENOGLU Irmak 4% 20% 36% 28% 10% 2% -
79 ALFARACHE Gabriella C. 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
80 KHAN Alissa 4% 22% 36% 26% 9% 2% -
81 GRAFF Sophie - 14% 35% 33% 14% 3% -
81 FEIG Sela 1% 8% 27% 37% 21% 5% -
83 MAKLIN Sofia 2% 14% 36% 33% 13% 2% -
84 BALAKUMARAN Maya 3% 15% 32% 33% 16% 3%
85 WANG Zidan 21% 43% 27% 7% 1% -
86 BENOIT Adelaide L. 3% 21% 38% 28% 9% 1%
87 OBRADOVIC Ana 17% 39% 32% 11% 2% -
88 KONDEV Elizabeth 17% 39% 32% 11% 2% -
88 LIU Yifei 8% 29% 38% 20% 5% -
90 ANTHONY Alexia B. 4% 22% 41% 26% 6% -
91 FERREIRA Alejandra E. 5% 20% 35% 28% 11% 1%
92 HUAI Delilah 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1%
93 WEI JoyAnn 12% 35% 35% 14% 3% - -
94 SCHICK Veronica 11% 39% 35% 13% 2% - -
95 MANSPERGER Leena 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
96 WEI Vivian W. - 7% 26% 38% 23% 6% -
97 CHAVAN Arya 8% 30% 38% 20% 5% - -
98 XU Emily T. 28% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
98 HITOMI Nadya 14% 44% 31% 9% 1% - -
100 RAMIREZ Mirka A. 9% 30% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
101 LIGH Erenei J. - 4% 21% 36% 28% 10% 1%
102 LIAO Siwen 1% 7% 25% 38% 23% 5% -
103 WANG Gloria 19% 39% 30% 11% 2% -
104 HENRY Soraya S. 28% 45% 22% 4% - -
105 KIM Marley I. - 2% 13% 33% 35% 15% 2%
105 TSUI Natalie 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 7% 1%
107 NICHOLAS Eva 25% 42% 26% 7% 1% - -
108 HUANG MADELINE 1% 19% 39% 30% 10% 1% -
109 TABANGAY Heartlyn - 5% 21% 36% 28% 9% 1%
110 TODD Phoebe 11% 34% 36% 16% 3% - -
111 TESTROET Aubrey 36% 41% 18% 4% - - -
112 FANG Sophie 17% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
113 TREACY Aisling 2% 34% 41% 18% 4% - -
114 JEFFORDS Sophia 52% 37% 10% 1% - - -
115 ALDERFER Katherine 89% 10% - - - - -
116 BAWA Anahat 27% 43% 23% 6% 1% -
117 MARYASH Samantha 4% 19% 34% 30% 12% 2%
118 ELNATAN Mica A. 49% 39% 10% 1% - - -
119 CAO Sophie 51% 39% 9% 1% - - -
120 NIE Chuhan 28% 46% 22% 4% - -
121 SHINCHUK Ellisha 11% 34% 35% 16% 3% - -
122 HU Michelle 24% 43% 25% 7% 1% -
123 WILLIAMS Peyton 89% 10% - - - - -
124 ZHOU Ziling 84% 15% 1% - - -
125 BUSHMAN MaeBelle 94% 6% - - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.