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Division 1 Championships/April NAC

Div I Men's Foil

Saturday, April 22, 2023 at 8:00 AM

America's Center Convention Complex - St. Louis, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ITKIN Nick (Nikita) B. - - - - - 8% 91%
2 OLIVARES Marcello G. - - - 2% 12% 38% 48%
3 BOURTIS James S. - - 1% 4% 19% 41% 35%
3 EMMER Chase T. - - 3% 16% 42% 40%
5 LI Brandon H. - - - 1% 11% 37% 51%
6 KUMBLA Sidarth - - - - 2% 21% 76%
7 LOUIE Bryce - - - - 5% 29% 66%
8 UM Ethan A. - 5% 20% 38% 30% 7%
9 CHEN Allen - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
10 CHEN Andrew - 1% 4% 17% 33% 33% 12%
11 GRAHAM Roy J. - 2% 13% 31% 35% 16% 2%
12 ONIK Elijah T. 5% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
13 KIM Nicholas W. - 5% 21% 37% 29% 8%
14 ZHANG Daniel D. - 1% 7% 26% 41% 25%
15 KELLY William J. - - 3% 13% 30% 36% 17%
16 RUSADZE Nickolas - 2% 12% 29% 34% 18% 4%
17 LI Owen 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 3%
18 NDIAYE Edriss G. - - 4% 22% 44% 29%
19 AUGUSTINE Ethan A. - 1% 8% 25% 39% 24% 2%
20 KUMBLA Samarth - - 2% 10% 31% 40% 18%
21 LI Richard - 2% 12% 28% 34% 20% 4%
22 SNYTSHEUVEL John Evan (Evan) - - 4% 17% 35% 33% 11%
23 MARTINEZ Donavyn E. 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
24 MITBERG Gregory W. - 1% 9% 30% 42% 18%
24 GASSNER Ethan I. - - 1% 8% 35% 56%
26 VOGLER Justin K. - - 4% 16% 33% 34% 13%
27 XIAO Ethan J. - - 4% 19% 38% 31% 8%
28 LEWIS Paul D. 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
29 PRILUTSKY David B. - - 2% 12% 29% 37% 19%
30 SISINNI Riccardo 10% 30% 34% 19% 6% 1% -
31 KASI Sanjay 1% 11% 32% 39% 17%
32 CULLIVAN Justice - 3% 13% 29% 33% 19% 4%
33 WU Alexander 1% 6% 21% 36% 27% 9% 1%
34 HOOSHI Jayden C. 13% 36% 35% 14% 2%
35 CHEN James P. - - - 4% 20% 43% 33%
36 SINGH Dayaal - 5% 19% 33% 28% 12% 2%
37 BANERJEE ANUP - 2% 14% 36% 36% 11% -
38 YANG Luao 1% 5% 20% 35% 30% 10%
39 KAO Castor T. 1% 11% 32% 39% 17%
40 LIANG Lixi (Henry) - - 5% 23% 43% 28% 1%
41 DESHMUKH Arjun 11% 31% 35% 18% 5% 1% -
42 ZHANG Andy W. - 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 2%
43 JOSEPH Dominic (Dom) - 4% 15% 32% 32% 15% 2%
44 HUTH Mitchell - 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 4%
45 LO Conrad - - 4% 18% 38% 32% 8%
46 FUKUDA Renzo K. 1% 8% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1%
47 STANLEY Mason B. - 2% 12% 31% 37% 16% 1%
48 BRUK Peter J. 1% 8% 27% 39% 22% 4%
49 OURSLER Jack - 5% 18% 35% 32% 11%
50 HUANG Dongrong - 1% 5% 19% 35% 30% 10%
51 TANG Owen S. 5% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1% -
52 SADOVSKY Leor B. 2% 14% 31% 32% 17% 4% -
53 SHA Yi Peng 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
54 ZHAI Jeffrey 4% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
55 YU Vinni - 2% 11% 29% 36% 19% 4%
56 BINDER Zachary (Zach) B. - 3% 15% 33% 34% 14%
57 BAE Kevin 1% 6% 23% 39% 27% 5%
58 JAIN Aditya 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1%
59 DESANDO Michael R. 6% 27% 39% 22% 5% -
60 SHAFAIE Kaveh - 4% 16% 34% 33% 13%
61 GODZHIK Zachary 2% 12% 28% 33% 19% 6% 1%
62 DESERANNO Jeidus - 3% 13% 29% 34% 18% 3%
63 DIERKS Kian 8% 30% 37% 20% 5% 1% -
64 XIAO EDWARD 21% 41% 29% 9% 1%
65 LEE Chris 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% -
66 LUH Ethan K. 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
67 WANG Brian S. - 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 8%
68 LEWIS Akhil 11% 32% 35% 18% 5% 1% -
69 BAS Liam - 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
70 KIM Yonjae - 4% 17% 34% 31% 12% 1%
71 SHIN Philip D. - 1% 5% 20% 36% 29% 9%
72 NAYGAS LAWRENCE I. 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
73 KATAYAMA Kevin 1% 10% 28% 36% 20% 4%
74 XIAO Enoch A. 1% 9% 28% 38% 21% 4%
75 ROSOWSKY Ahmed - - 1% 9% 29% 41% 20%
76 SIU Aiden 2% 13% 30% 32% 18% 5% -
77 FREEDMAN Samuel E. 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2% -
78 BURKE Spencer W. - 2% 12% 28% 34% 19% 4%
79 DINSAY Kristjan 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
80 ROSE Ben 18% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
81 BADLANI Dev 16% 40% 32% 10% 1% - -
82 KNIZHNIK David 5% 24% 39% 24% 7% 1% -
83 SONG Aiden S. 2% 15% 34% 33% 14% 2%
84 JEON Caleb A. 3% 17% 33% 30% 13% 2%
85 KIM Brandon J. 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2%
86 MARTIN IV Elmer D. 15% 37% 33% 13% 2% -
87 GOOR Julian 3% 15% 33% 32% 15% 3%
88 HOOSHI Dylan M. 5% 25% 39% 24% 6% 1%
89 KIM Ryan Y. 3% 18% 36% 31% 11% 1%
90 LEE Aidan 7% 28% 38% 21% 5% -
91 LI Raphael C. 2% 13% 30% 32% 17% 5% -
92 SCHULZE-KALT Graydon L. 1% 7% 25% 38% 23% 6% 1%
93 GRIFFIN John O. - 1% 9% 25% 36% 24% 5%
94 LEE Jacob J 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 9% 1%
95 GRIFFITH JACK - 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 2%
96 REYES Omar 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
97 KIM Jackson 48% 38% 12% 2% - - -
98 DAI Jonathan T. - 4% 17% 33% 30% 13% 2%
99 OH SEAN 1% 12% 35% 35% 14% 2% -
99 CHENG Jonathan 28% 45% 22% 5% 1% - -
101 FOGELSON Frederick J. - 4% 16% 34% 32% 13% 1%
101 ZHENG Alan H. 1% 8% 23% 35% 25% 8% 1%
103 ADLER David R. - 3% 18% 39% 32% 9% -
104 KEE Andrew L. 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
105 NUNNINK Phillip W. 31% 42% 21% 5% 1% -
106 LI Eric 34% 42% 20% 4% - -
107 AHN Jun 8% 31% 37% 19% 4% -
108 JIANG Owen 17% 40% 31% 10% 1% -
109 GONG Benjamin 9% 31% 37% 19% 4% -
110 DORAN Wesley C. 17% 37% 31% 13% 2% -
111 BING Charles 13% 34% 33% 16% 4% -
112 HUTH Jacob 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
112 TRAUGOT Owen G. 18% 39% 30% 10% 2% - -
112 WYMAN Julian 15% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -
115 DETERING Julian 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
116 JANG Jaewon - 5% 18% 33% 30% 12% 1%
117 LI Matthew 12% 35% 35% 15% 3% - -
118 LIN James G. 8% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
119 PO Oliver 16% 36% 31% 13% 3% - -
119 PAN Henry 30% 47% 20% 3% - - -
121 SULLIVAN Jackson R. 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 8% 1%
122 MA Andrew 19% 38% 29% 11% 2% - -
123 JI Aidan Y. 18% 37% 30% 12% 2% - -
124 JOSEPH Willem 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
125 SONG Noel 32% 47% 18% 3% - - -
126 SONG Leonardo T. 6% 26% 39% 24% 5%
127 ELWOOD Sebastian F. 23% 43% 27% 7% 1% -
128 LIN Michael 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
129 WILLIAMS Connor J. 27% 45% 22% 5% 1% - -
129 MATSAKH Philip 26% 43% 25% 6% 1% - -
131 AUGUSTINE Aaron A. 16% 37% 32% 12% 2% - -
132 MIALL Steven A. 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.