Division 1 Championships/April NAC

Div I Women's Épée

Saturday, April 22, 2023 at 12:30 PM

America's Center Convention Complex - St. Louis, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HUSISIAN Hadley N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
2 HOLMES Katharine (Kat) W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 80%
3 KETKAR Ketki 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 37%
3 WANG Karen 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 13%
5 ZIGALO Elizabeth 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 7%
6 BASSA Francesca A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 75%
7 GAJJALA Sharika R. 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12%
8 GUZZI VINCENTI Margherita A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 54%
9 LIU Charlene (Kai) 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 60%
10 NGUYEN Tallulah 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 3%
11 CEBULA Anne 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 20%
12 GRADY Miriam A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 49%
13 TOBY Natalia R. 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 40%
14 NIXON Catherine (Kasia) D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 70%
15 LEE Olivia 100% 93% 65% 28% 7% 1% -
16 WADE-CURRIE Ava S. 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 19% 2%
17 WASHINGTON Isis 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 44%
18 BEI Karen 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 32% 3%
19 PIRKOWSKI Amanda L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
20 LIN Jessica Y. 100% 100% 100% 98% 80% 28%
21 GU Sarah 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 21%
22 FALLON Kyle R. 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 14%
23 ZUHARS Renee A. 100% 99% 93% 68% 29% 5%
24 RAUSCH Ariana (Ari) M. 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 38% 6%
24 LEE REGINA 100% 97% 83% 52% 21% 4% -
26 KORFONTA Jolie 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 16% 1%
27 TOLSMA Chloe (CJ) 100% 89% 60% 26% 6% 1% -
28 REID Anousheh 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5% -
29 KETKAR Mallika 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 16% 1%
30 YU Nicole J. 100% 96% 74% 35% 8% 1%
31 YAMANAKA Mina 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
32 MUELLER Emma M. 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% - -
33 JOYCE Michaela 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 44%
34 OXENREIDER Tierna A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 45%
35 HURLEY Kelley A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 49%
36 ZHANG Victoria R. 100% 99% 89% 58% 21% 3%
37 JAKEL Sophia N. 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 17%
38 WANG Elizabeth 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 20%
39 SHELIN Chelsea 100% 84% 47% 15% 2% - -
40 LEE Sumin 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 57% 15%
41 KHAMIS Yasmine A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 24%
42 LUO Ashley 100% 100% 96% 78% 45% 13% 1%
43 SEBASTIAN Felicity A. 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 8% -
44 TYLER Syd 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 29% 5%
45 PEHLIVANI Zara 100% 99% 88% 59% 22% 4% -
46 LAN Alice S. 100% 97% 81% 50% 19% 4% -
47 WATRALL Christina 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
48 MACHULSKY Leehi 100% 100% 99% 93% 64% 19%
49 PAPADAKIS Lily 100% 96% 75% 34% 6% -
50 LIU Christina A. 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 8% -
51 CHU Audrey 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 34% 3%
52 LEE Natasha 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 7% 1%
53 NIXON Caroline (Karolina) L. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
54 ZHU Serene M. 100% 92% 64% 28% 6% 1% -
55 MCCUTCHEN Lauren (Lulu) 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2% -
56 GEBALA Natalie Brooke A. 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
57 QI Jarynne Valerie 100% 93% 62% 21% 3% -
58 SMUK Alexandra S. 100% 84% 45% 12% 1% -
59 YANG Alisa 100% 98% 88% 59% 25% 6% -
60 CHEN Lefu 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 16% 2%
61 MEHROTRA Anya 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 21% 2%
62 MAO Amy 100% 99% 94% 74% 37% 9% 1%
63 CAFASSO Natalya 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1% -
64 YOU Emily 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% - -
65 SENYUVA Su 100% 94% 71% 36% 10% 1% -
66 KIM Zoe L. 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 12% -
67 PHUKAN Indra 100% 85% 47% 15% 2% - -
68 CHISHOLM Phoebe C. 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% - -
69 SPRINGER Sierra 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 6% 1%
70 DOROSHKEVICH Victoriia 100% 99% 91% 60% 17% 2%
71 LEUNG Natalie 100% 99% 93% 66% 24% 3%
72 LEANG Priscilla Y. 100% 98% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
73 ELSTON Sophia 100% 93% 65% 26% 5% - -
74 BUSH emma 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% - -
75 REMEZA Alissa 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 8% 1%
76 KIM Jayna 100% 90% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
77 ANDERSON Claire 100% 93% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
78 SMUK Daria A. 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% -
79 AZMEH nour 100% 88% 50% 14% 2% -
80 PINNAMANENI Drithi 100% 65% 21% 3% - -
81 SMOTRITSKY Mia 100% 98% 82% 47% 14% 2%
82 SWENSON Nikita G. 100% 88% 53% 19% 3% -
83 BARG Daniella 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% - -
84 LU Junyao 100% 99% 94% 71% 33% 7% -
85 PRIHODKO Nina 100% 94% 68% 31% 7% 1% -
86 DESAI Meera P. 100% 96% 79% 46% 17% 3% -
87 WITTER Catherine A. 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 2% -
88 KUKVA Taisiya 100% 80% 41% 11% 2% - -
89 WU Amelia 100% 99% 92% 71% 38% 11% 1%
90 GUJJA Misha 100% 86% 50% 18% 3% - -
91 CAPELLUA Mariasole 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 8% -
92 SHARMA Sanvi 100% 73% 31% 6% 1% - -
93 LEE Scarlett 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1% -
94 WITTE Vera 100% 90% 55% 19% 3% -
95 DOUGLAS Marketa F. 100% 62% 18% 2% - -
95 FENG ge 100% 87% 49% 15% 2% -
97 YAO Melinda 100% 91% 58% 19% 2% -
98 BARBARA Camille 100% 63% 21% 3% - -
99 YAO Yilin 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 6% -
100 LIN Elaine 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2% -
101 KUMAR Eva 100% 78% 38% 10% 1% - -
102 GUMAGAY Erika L. 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 2% -
103 DAMRATOSKI Anna Z. 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 3% -
104 PADHYE Tanishka 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 10% 1%
105 STOECKEL Sofia I. 100% 71% 28% 6% 1% - -
106 CANNING Charlotte 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% - -
107 LI Fei 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1% -
108 LIU Nicole 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 1% -
109 SONG Angela 100% 92% 64% 27% 6% 1% -
110 CARRIER Meredith 100% 74% 32% 8% 1% - -
111 MUN Brianna K. 100% 88% 53% 17% 3% - -
112 ALEXANDROV Katherine S. 100% 94% 68% 30% 7% 1%
113 BECKMAN Ana 100% 82% 41% 10% 1% -
114 LEE Olive 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1% -
115 BOYS Nishta B. 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 11% 1%
116 YOUNG VIVIAN 100% 66% 23% 4% - -
117 KORKIN Alice 100% 87% 46% 11% 1% -
118 POTAPENKO Margarita D. 100% 92% 61% 21% 3% -
119 HUANG Lanlan 100% 86% 49% 16% 3% - -
120 CHERNIS Zoe C. 100% 84% 47% 15% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.