The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Division 1 Championships/April NAC

Junior Women's Foil

Saturday, April 22, 2023 at 1:00 PM

America's Center Convention Complex - St. Louis, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CASTANEDA Erika L. - - - 5% 22% 48% 25%
2 LESLIE Ryanne T. - - - 1% 8% 36% 55%
3 KIM Rachael - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 26%
3 EYER Hailey M. - - 5% 26% 45% 24%
5 LUNG Katerina - - - 2% 15% 43% 41%
6 CHEN Jia P. - - - 3% 17% 43% 37%
7 GRIFFIN Emma G. - - 1% 8% 27% 43% 21%
8 LIU Jaelyn A. - - - 4% 19% 42% 35%
9 PEVZNER Victoria - - 3% 15% 41% 41%
10 TAN Kaitlyn N. - 2% 12% 34% 38% 13%
11 ZHANG Alina C. - - 2% 10% 30% 39% 19%
12 SHEN Sophia H. - - - 1% 10% 38% 50%
13 LOCKE Savannah - 1% 7% 24% 38% 25% 5%
14 HO Brianna W. - - 5% 26% 46% 23%
15 LIU Joy Zhaoyi - 1% 7% 25% 38% 24% 5%
16 TALAVERA Daena - - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10%
17 WANG Ellen - - - 2% 13% 40% 44%
18 ZHENG Ivy - - 2% 18% 46% 33%
19 LEE Lavender - 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 6%
20 CONWAY Josephina (JoJo) J. - - 1% 5% 22% 44% 28%
21 SHEN Lydia - - 3% 16% 37% 34% 10%
22 SOOD Ishani S. - - 3% 15% 33% 35% 13%
23 SENIC Adeline - 1% 10% 33% 40% 16%
24 OUYANG Bridgette Z. - 2% 14% 36% 37% 11%
25 NAMGALAURI Mariam 1% 14% 39% 33% 11% 1%
26 BATRA Chaahat 1% 7% 23% 37% 26% 6%
27 CHO Cameron S. - 1% 10% 28% 37% 21% 4%
28 SUN Ruoxi - 3% 17% 35% 32% 11% 1%
29 FEDELI Caterina S. - - - 3% 16% 45% 36%
30 CHEN Allison V. - 1% 5% 20% 36% 30% 8%
31 FUNG Vera - 4% 18% 38% 30% 9% 1%
32 SEO IRENE Y. 5% 24% 40% 24% 6% 1%
33 CALISE Ella 1% 9% 29% 36% 20% 5% -
34 ZHANG Eunice 7% 29% 38% 21% 5% 1% -
35 KOROL Neta - 1% 6% 22% 38% 27% 5%
36 LEE Fiona E. 30% 44% 21% 4% < 1% -
37 SONG Yuqiao Aprille - 3% 17% 35% 32% 12% 1%
38 CHUSID Mikayla - - - 4% 20% 43% 33%
39 MANIKTALA Prisha - 6% 36% 39% 16% 3% -
40 MARKOVSKY Nina 7% 29% 40% 20% 4% - -
40 LI Sophia M. 1% 11% 31% 36% 18% 3% -
42 MILLER Naomi E. - - 3% 16% 38% 35% 8%
43 WANDJI Anais - 5% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1%
44 PENG Amber L. - 6% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1%
45 LIU Angel(Daying) 1% 10% 31% 36% 18% 4% -
46 CHEN Chloe I. 1% 13% 32% 33% 17% 4% -
47 GEBALA Gabrielle Grace A. - 1% 7% 27% 43% 23%
48 KONG Chin-Yi - - 3% 15% 42% 40%
49 KOENIG Charlotte R. - - 5% 24% 45% 25%
50 RANDOLPH Piper 1% 11% 31% 37% 17% 2%
51 LEE Brianna J. - - 4% 22% 44% 29%
52 ZHAO Sophie L. - 4% 20% 41% 28% 6%
53 YANG Iris - 3% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3%
54 KIM Katherine - - 3% 13% 31% 37% 16%
55 MI Anning 2% 15% 34% 32% 14% 3% -
56 YU Lauren C. - 1% 8% 29% 40% 20% 2%
57 NEWHARD Zelia "Zizi" - 4% 18% 35% 30% 11% 1%
58 DOROSHKEVICH Taisiia - 2% 13% 33% 35% 15% 2%
59 NISSINOFF Alexandra 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 6% 1%
60 CHEN Renee 2% 12% 32% 35% 17% 3% -
61 HAYES Alyssa R. 3% 20% 37% 29% 10% 1% -
62 CHO Rebecca H. - 1% 5% 21% 38% 28% 7%
63 JANG Kimberley - - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10%
64 KNIGHT Skylar - < 1% 2% 12% 33% 39% 14%
65 DE LA CRUZ Eden - 1% 11% 33% 37% 16% 2%
66 MEI Sarah 1% 11% 32% 35% 17% 4% -
67 DAVIA Daniella V. - 3% 21% 44% 27% 5%
68 JO Mia C. - 3% 20% 41% 29% 6%
69 LAI Sophia 7% 27% 37% 23% 6% 1%
70 DRAGNE Alexis D. 10% 33% 37% 17% 3% -
71 COOPER Piper W. 6% 27% 38% 22% 6% 1% -
72 PAHLAVI Dahlia 1% 12% 31% 34% 17% 4% -
73 DAVIS Bonnie Z. - 6% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
74 PALMER Meredith K. - 3% 15% 33% 34% 14% 2%
75 PAULUS Sloane E. 14% 38% 33% 12% 2% - -
76 ORVANANOS Anice 1% 6% 23% 37% 25% 7% 1%
77 LI Rachel Y. - 1% 6% 22% 37% 28% 7%
78 ZHENG Julie 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6% -
79 KIM Rachel 3% 19% 37% 29% 10% 1% -
80 CASTANEDA Keira 11% 32% 35% 18% 4% -
81 MICHAELSEN Emily - 19% 47% 28% 6% -
82 BIODROWICZ Julia 20% 44% 29% 7% 1% -
83 FUNG Emma 1% 9% 28% 36% 20% 5% -
84 MI Aileen - 7% 27% 37% 22% 5% -
85 GU Emily 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1% -
86 LUO Sandra J. - 3% 17% 34% 32% 12% 1%
87 GOOR Viviene E. 1% 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1%
88 LEE Ji Ahn 9% 30% 36% 20% 5% -
89 KLINE Melissa C. - 3% 16% 38% 34% 10%
90 WANG Zoie Z. 7% 30% 41% 19% 3% -
91 CHO Emily (Euran) 32% 43% 20% 4% - -
92 HOANG Mai 1% 43% 42% 12% 1% -
93 HAN Crystal 16% 47% 30% 7% 1% -
94 SHMAY Anastasia 28% 45% 23% 4% - -
95 PANT Anisha 5% 24% 39% 26% 7% 1%
96 BASSIK Eva 19% 43% 29% 8% 1% - -
97 DAI Zizhuo (Zizi) 15% 40% 32% 11% 2% - -
98 ZHAO Aileen Y. 2% 15% 34% 32% 14% 3% -
99 SHIM Grace J. 5% 31% 39% 20% 5% - -
100 PARK Leah 28% 43% 23% 5% 1% - -
101 HAN Ashley 31% 43% 21% 4% - - -
102 PAULUS Isabella 51% 38% 10% 1% - - -
103 VAUGHAN Norah 18% 42% 30% 9% 1% - -
104 YIN Helen 7% 32% 38% 19% 4% - -
105 OLIVEIRA Lavinia M. 5% 30% 39% 21% 5% 1% -
106 ZHENG Zoe 64% 30% 5% - - - -
107 YU Jane 67% 28% 5% - - - -
108 ALKADI Mai 51% 42% 6% - - - -
109 GREEN Marisa 18% 45% 29% 7% 1% - -
110 QUINN Anna 38% 41% 17% 3% - - -
111 KOSTELNY Alexis 4% 18% 35% 30% 11% 1%
112 KULKARNI Sohah A. 52% 39% 8% 1% - -
113 SHENG Chuxi 18% 43% 30% 8% 1% -
114 NIKOLIC Alexandra 4% 20% 37% 28% 10% 1% -
114 GOLLNICK Mira 34% 44% 18% 3% - - -
114 BAIXAULI Carme 63% 31% 5% - - - -
117 TAYLOR Gabrielle 96% 4% - - - -
118 TOBIN Brean 38% 42% 17% 3% - - -
119 SKOURLETOS Maria 26% 44% 24% 5% - - -
119 HOANG Anh 65% 30% 5% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.