The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Take Action

Windy City ROC /RJCC

Div I-A Men's Saber

Saturday, April 29, 2023 at 10:00 AM

Athletico Center - Northbrook, IL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DOUGLAS Rhys - - - 3% 15% 41% 41%
2 AKS Ari - - 1% 10% 33% 40% 15%
3 BOUKHTIN Maxim - - - 6% 32% 62%
3 ZHOU William 1% 19% 39% 30% 11% 2% -
5 ZHANG William - - 3% 17% 41% 32% 7%
6 TAN Ethan - 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% -
7 HUA Michael 1% 11% 30% 37% 18% 2%
8 KIM Kendrick - 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 2%
9 HERNANDEZ Stanton - - 1% 13% 40% 39% 7%
10 LI Feiting - - 1% 13% 36% 37% 12%
11 WANG William 2% 14% 32% 35% 16% 2%
12 BARNES William - - 5% 20% 36% 29% 9%
13 CHINWAH Kaden - - 2% 13% 35% 38% 12%
14 STENCEL Andrew E. 12% 33% 35% 17% 3% -
15 PARK Caleb 1% 8% 31% 41% 17% 2% -
16 TAGUE Jonathan - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
17 GERSTMANN Max T. - 1% 7% 32% 39% 18% 3%
18 ISSA Naoum P. - - 4% 18% 35% 32% 11%
19 WAGNER Elijah 1% 14% 38% 34% 12% 2% -
20 TURNER Benjamin 6% 33% 44% 15% 2% - -
21 HENDERSON Jack 5% 23% 39% 26% 7% -
22 PARADIS Emmit 50% 40% 9% 1% - - -
23 PERRY Gwydion 13% 42% 35% 9% 1% - -
24 WANG Yifan 42% 43% 13% 1% - - -
25 CHEN Jinxin 15% 38% 33% 12% 2% -
26 BARROWS Hunter 19% 45% 28% 7% 1% - -
27 BECK William 89% 10% - - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.