The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

California State High School Fencing Championships

Men's High School Epee

Sunday, April 30, 2023 at 12:00 PM

Chaminade College Preparatory High School - Los Angeles, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GAO Chaney C. - - - 5% 31% 64%
2 ZHENG Haoran - - 1% 12% 40% 47%
3 MARCHETTI Ludovico - - 3% 18% 45% 34%
3 KIM Sullivan - 1% 6% 23% 42% 28%
5 WARD Edward - 4% 18% 37% 32% 10%
6 SCHROEDER Dylan - 6% 25% 40% 24% 3%
7 WANG Owen - - 2% 12% 32% 39% 15%
8 ZHOU Stanley Q. - - - 3% 17% 43% 37%
9 POSSON Luke 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
10 RAMOS Russell K. - 3% 17% 38% 34% 8%
11 GAUTHIER-PARKER Harrison - - 3% 17% 44% 35%
12 STAFFORD Michael 6% 23% 35% 26% 9% 2% -
13 NAZARIAN Jonah 1% 12% 33% 37% 15% 2%
14 EVERS Gabriel - 1% 7% 27% 44% 21%
15 NOURAFCHAN Jonah 4% 25% 42% 25% 5% -
16 FERRIERE Joshua 1% 12% 34% 37% 14% 2%
17 JU Hanul - 2% 14% 38% 39% 7%
18 TRIM Joshua 1% 9% 31% 39% 18% 2%
19 CROSSMAN Brandon - 5% 22% 38% 27% 6%
20 PEÑA Ethan - 5% 21% 38% 29% 7%
21 KIM Tristan 12% 33% 33% 17% 4% - -
22 BELLASARIAN Benjamin 18% 44% 29% 8% 1% -
23 MORTON Joshua 3% 22% 40% 27% 7% 1%
24 STAFFORD Bryan 12% 37% 35% 13% 2% -
25 BOTYANSZKI Balint 3% 20% 39% 29% 8% 1%
26 NA Rongtian 2% 15% 35% 33% 13% 2%
27 RAINS Jackson T. 3% 20% 42% 28% 6% -
28 PAINTER Noah 31% 44% 21% 4% - -
29 LUNDE Drew 55% 36% 9% 1% - -
30 JUAREZ Semaje 1% 8% 24% 36% 24% 6% 1%
31 KOENIG Caleb 3% 28% 41% 23% 5% -
32 TAKU Mike 5% 22% 38% 26% 8% 1% -
33 BISSADA Matthew 3% 21% 39% 28% 8% 1%
34 GAINSLEY Isaac 24% 46% 24% 5% - -
35 NASATIR Serafin 36% 43% 17% 3% - -
36 COONEY LEBANO Gideon 49% 39% 11% 1% - -
37 GARCIA Sebastian 27% 43% 24% 6% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.