Forge Fencing Academy & Club - Durham, NC, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | DOELL Ethan | V V V V V V | V V V V | 5.1 | 6 | +0.9 |
| 2 | VADEN Oliver | V V D V V V | V V V D | 5.3 | 5 | -0.3 |
| 3 | ZAIDI Adil | D V V V V V | V V D | 4.5 | 5 | +0.5 |
| 3 | GRIEB Oliver | D V V V V V | V V D | 3.5 | 5 | +1.5 |
| 5 | THIYAGARAJAA Ari | V D V V V V | V D | 3.5 | 5 | +1.5 |
| 6 | KAPLAN Abe | V V V D V D | V D | 3.7 | 4 | +0.3 |
| 7 | NOLAN Tyler | V V V D D D | V D | 2.4 | 3 | +0.6 |
| 8 | REDONDO Tomas D. | V D V D V D | V D | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| 9 | ZHOU Alex | V D V V V D | D | 2.3 | 4 | +1.7 |
| 10 | CHOI Jackson | V D D V D V | D | 1.4 | 3 | +1.6 |
| 11 | SUN Andy | V V D D V D | D | 1.7 | 3 | +1.3 |
| 12 | PRUT Anton | D V D V D V | V D | 3.0 | 3 | - |
| 13 | ROTHMAN Matthew | D V V D V D | V D | 3.9 | 3 | -0.9 |
| 14 | SHAW Spencer | D V V D D D | V D | 2.7 | 2 | -0.7 |
| 15 | XU Joseph | D D V D V D | V D | 1.8 | 2 | +0.2 |
| 16 | QIAN Henry | V D D D D D | V D | 3.9 | 1 | -2.9 |
| 17 | GADIYARAM Madhav | D D D D V V | D | 1.9 | 2 | +0.1 |
| 18 | LEE Noah | D V D D D V | D | 3.8 | 2 | -1.8 |
| 19 | PASCHAL Richard Allen | D D V V D D | D | 3.2 | 2 | -1.2 |
| 20 | KIMURA Ryo | D D D D D D | D | 1.2 | 0 | -1.2 |
| 21 | PHILLIPS Oliver | D D D D D D | D | 1.4 | 0 | -1.4 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.