The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Take Action

Junior Olympic National Championships

Junior Men's Foil

Saturday, February 16, 2019 at 8:00 AM

Denver, CO - Denver, CO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZHANG Daniel D. - - 1% 7% 26% 41% 25%
2 HADLER Benjamin N. - - - 1% 9% 44% 47%
3 PAIK Joon K. - - - 1% 8% 35% 55%
3 NDIAYE Edriss G. - - 1% 8% 27% 41% 22%
5 BOURTIS James S. - - - - 1% 17% 82%
6 PAIK Hyun K. - - - 2% 13% 41% 44%
7 LI Brandon H. - - 1% 6% 33% 60%
8 WOODS Jack H. - - - 4% 19% 41% 35%
9 ANDRADE Nicholas H. - - - - 3% 27% 70%
10 ZHENG Andrew R. - - - 3% 16% 41% 39%
11 CHENG Julian - - - - - 10% 89%
12 LIAO Jun Heng (James) - - - 1% 18% 80%
13 TULYAG Fyze A. - - 1% 7% 26% 43% 23%
14 MULLIGAN James - - 1% 5% 20% 42% 33%
15 GILBERT-GOLDSTEIN Avery E. - - 4% 25% 44% 23% 4%
16 BAE Anthony - - 5% 22% 43% 29%
17 LEVY Jasper - - - - 6% 33% 60%
18 MCKENNA Joseph (Owen) O. - - - 2% 11% 38% 49%
19 IVERSON Shane D. - - - 1% 10% 38% 50%
20 SHAFAIE Kaveh - - 2% 13% 34% 38% 12%
21 CHEN James P. - - - 1% 6% 32% 62%
21 UM Ethan A. - 1% 8% 26% 37% 24% 5%
23 OURSLER Jack - 1% 8% 25% 39% 24% 3%
24 LEVIN Nestor R. - - - 1% 9% 36% 53%
25 KNIGHT Ethan H. - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
26 HAMILTON Bogdan A. - - - 5% 27% 45% 23%
27 REGE Advaith - 5% 20% 35% 29% 10% 1%
28 FLANAGAN James - 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 1%
29 ZHANG Vincent - 3% 17% 38% 31% 10% 1%
30 VOGLER Justin K. - - - 7% 31% 43% 19%
31 SNYTSHEUVEL John Evan (Evan) - - - 2% 17% 47% 35%
32 TUMMINGS C.J. 1% 6% 20% 34% 28% 10% 1%
33 SOHN Christopher - - 2% 12% 35% 39% 11%
34 JOHNSON Aidan J. - - - 3% 18% 42% 36%
35 LU Kerry L. - - 2% 12% 33% 39% 13%
36 GRIFFIN John O. - - - 3% 22% 48% 27%
37 BINDER Zachary (Zach) B. - - - 2% 11% 38% 49%
38 YU Eric W. - - - 3% 16% 42% 38%
39 HOSSFELD Finn E. - - - 2% 14% 42% 43%
40 CHENG Thomas C. - 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 9%
41 LIU Jonathan C. - 2% 14% 33% 35% 15% 1%
42 KATAYAMA Kevin - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 28%
43 EMMER Chase T. - - - 1% 10% 37% 52%
44 ZENG Lucas H. - - 1% 9% 35% 41% 15%
44 JANG Jaewon - 1% 7% 25% 41% 24% 3%
46 GRUBER Samuel T. - - 1% 5% 20% 42% 33%
46 LA ROSA Federico - 4% 18% 34% 31% 12% 1%
46 CHIN Jason Y. - 2% 11% 28% 36% 20% 4%
49 RANADIVE Rishi R. - - 4% 17% 34% 33% 12%
50 THAI William 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
51 WANG Christopher M. - 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
52 LEWICKI Max 2% 14% 32% 34% 16% 3% -
53 PICKERING Owen D. - - 4% 20% 40% 31% 5%
54 DORITY Philip S. - - - 3% 16% 43% 38%
55 LIU Niles J. - - 2% 13% 33% 37% 15%
56 HELTON Noah - 1% 7% 24% 38% 25% 4%
57 HEMPE Jake - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 6%
58 SONG Lawrence (Larry) - - 1% 7% 24% 40% 27%
59 SHIH William 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
60 SIEGEL Elliot 2% 16% 34% 31% 14% 3% -
61 BARLETTA Joseph - 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 2%
62 SHI Shenzhi 1% 10% 31% 38% 18% 2%
63 GROSSMAN SMISEK Spencer E. 3% 17% 36% 31% 11% 1%
64 CHOUN Minwook (Sam) - 1% 8% 30% 40% 19% 3%
65 HUANG Bin - - - - 2% 23% 75%
66 YEE Maxwell J. - - - - 5% 28% 67%
67 FIELD Miles - - 2% 11% 29% 38% 20%
67 DICKSON Farr R. - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
69 HODGES Carter F. - - - 1% 7% 33% 60%
70 DING Allan - - 2% 13% 32% 37% 15%
71 PAEK Alex J. - 4% 21% 37% 28% 10% 1%
72 PELOSKY Ryan F. - - 3% 15% 35% 36% 11%
73 PRILUTSKY David B. - - - 3% 17% 42% 38%
74 VITI Mark G. - 3% 13% 30% 33% 17% 3%
75 CHOI Ethan L. - 1% 12% 32% 36% 16% 2%
76 ZUSIN Zachary W. - - - 3% 18% 51% 28%
77 GRIFFITH JACK - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 2%
78 AUGUSTINE Ethan A. - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
79 ANDREWS Nathan J. - - 2% 13% 34% 38% 12%
80 HEWES Thomas G. - 6% 21% 35% 28% 10% 1%
81 HONG Daniel - 2% 12% 32% 36% 16% 2%
82 KELLY William J. - 2% 14% 40% 40% 4%
83 GRANT Lachlan K. 1% 12% 33% 36% 16% 2%
84 SHAFAIE Ali - 6% 26% 40% 23% 3%
85 AYUPOV Ilya - - 3% 18% 42% 37%
86 LEWIS Paul D. - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
87 YANG Andy H. - 1% 7% 24% 39% 25% 4%
88 LIU Justin - - - 4% 19% 42% 34%
89 PALAZZOLO William J. - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 2%
90 DAYTON Draper - - 2% 13% 33% 37% 14%
91 DIVITO Dylan - - 2% 14% 35% 37% 11%
92 CONDIFF Noah L. - - - 2% 15% 43% 41%
93 GEE Brandon 1% 12% 32% 34% 17% 4% -
94 FORTNER Lance R. - 3% 17% 38% 32% 10% -
95 PARK Luke J. - 2% 11% 29% 36% 19% 2%
96 WANG Brian S. - - - 2% 12% 39% 47%
97 WU Albert - 1% 11% 30% 36% 19% 3%
98 ROMANOV Michael - 1% 9% 25% 36% 23% 5%
99 MA Alexander - 3% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
99 BLUTT Emerson B. - 1% 6% 23% 37% 27% 7%
101 YANG Adam - 2% 12% 29% 35% 19% 4%
102 DIVENTI Paul W. - 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
103 MAGIDSON Gabriel - 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1%
104 MANGE Nathan 2% 13% 30% 33% 17% 4% -
105 SACCOCCIO Nicholas P. - 2% 10% 26% 35% 22% 5%
106 ZHENG Alan H. 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1%
107 BRATTON Jack S. - 5% 21% 39% 29% 6%
108 MARTINEZ Donavyn E. - 2% 12% 33% 39% 15%
109 ADLER Ian B. 2% 13% 35% 35% 13% 2%
110 OH Samuel H. 1% 12% 34% 37% 15% 1%
111 REALS Alden D. - 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
112 KUMBLA Samarth - 1% 6% 21% 38% 29% 5%
113 LI Raphael C. - 4% 41% 41% 12% 1% -
114 LIU Kevin B. 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
115 WONG Anthony M. - 2% 11% 27% 35% 21% 4%
116 LIN Richard W. 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8% -
117 KIM Nicholas W. - 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
118 WONG Wesley C. - 2% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
119 CARMAN Ian K. - 6% 23% 35% 26% 9% 1%
120 RITCHIE Luke W. - 5% 20% 37% 29% 9% 1%
121 RUFFNER Blake W. 2% 16% 35% 31% 13% 2% -
122 MAO Connor 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
123 JACOBS Tyler M. - 1% 23% 47% 25% 4% -
124 PETER Griffin - 2% 16% 45% 29% 7% 1%
125 NOVACHENKO Nestor V. 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 6% -
126 LAURICELLA Douglas 1% 7% 25% 37% 24% 6% -
127 WHEATLEY Aaron N. 2% 13% 28% 32% 19% 6% 1%
128 MILLER Braeden G. 1% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3% -
129 TIERNEY David A. - - 2% 9% 27% 39% 22%
130 XIAO Ethan J. - - 1% 11% 36% 44% 8%
131 KO Brian J. - 1% 7% 24% 38% 26% 5%
132 XIAO Enoch A. - 2% 11% 31% 36% 17% 2%
133 FARQUHARSON Cole - 4% 17% 34% 31% 12% 2%
134 VANNI Filippo A. 1% 10% 28% 35% 21% 5% -
135 MAURER Ned (John) E. - 2% 14% 34% 34% 14% 2%
136 OUELLETTE David M. - 1% 5% 20% 37% 30% 8%
137 LEE Nathaniel J. - 3% 16% 35% 33% 12% 1%
138 OTAKE Jared K. - 8% 30% 38% 19% 4% -
139 WESTELIUS Isak R. - 6% 25% 38% 25% 6% -
140 KASI Sanjay - 5% 26% 38% 23% 6% 1%
140 IRVINE Jonathan J. - 1% 6% 23% 39% 26% 4%
142 THAYER Jake T. - - 3% 17% 38% 33% 8%
142 LOCKWOOD Owen - 2% 13% 30% 34% 17% 3%
142 BAUMSTEIN Nicholas I. - 2% 11% 26% 33% 21% 5%
142 GU Jeffrey 1% 12% 32% 34% 16% 4% -
146 KIM Brandon J. - 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% -
147 CHEN Andrew 1% 10% 27% 33% 21% 6% 1%
147 ORTIZ Zachary M. 1% 10% 27% 34% 22% 6% -
149 SINGH Dayaal - 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3%
150 LIN Dashiell 2% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2% -
151 CANNON Caiden C. - 2% 10% 26% 35% 22% 5%
151 LIU Eric P. - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
153 IVARSSON Oliver 11% 32% 35% 17% 4% - -
154 MOHAMED Yaseen 5% 26% 40% 23% 5% - -
155 HARTMARK Anders 2% 15% 34% 32% 14% 3% -
155 URODOVSKIKH Evan 1% 8% 25% 35% 24% 7% 1%
155 LEVY Jacob M. - - 4% 19% 38% 31% 8%
158 ARNOLD Oscar A. 3% 25% 40% 25% 7% 1% -
158 JEON Nathan S. - 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 2%
160 MEMANI Apurva - 1% 9% 29% 38% 20% 3%
160 CHU Derek - 3% 17% 34% 31% 12% 2%
162 NEWHARD Noah A. 1% 15% 46% 30% 7% 1% -
163 HO Justin 3% 26% 41% 24% 6% - -
164 ZHOU TIMMY 22% 41% 28% 8% 1% -
165 CAI Jason Zhicheng 4% 27% 39% 23% 7% 1% -
166 GIRALDO Pablo E. 1% 9% 29% 35% 20% 5% -
167 LOVERAS Orlando S. 3% 23% 39% 26% 7% 1% -
168 SCHULTES Evans 1% 7% 24% 35% 25% 7% 1%
169 PATEL Aryoman M. 1% 10% 27% 35% 22% 5% -
170 ANDERSON David C. 2% 13% 34% 34% 14% 3% -
171 WESTPHAL David R. - 3% 16% 33% 32% 13% 2%
172 CURLEY Sebastian D. 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
173 LEE Connor C. - 4% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1%
174 FERNANDES Zain 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
175 LOMBARDI Leo 1% 10% 30% 38% 19% 2% -
176 CHOI Peter J. - 2% 16% 37% 34% 10% -
177 ZHAO Jason L. 1% 6% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
178 RINEHART Conner M. 1% 13% 33% 35% 16% 3% -
179 CATLIN Adam 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2% -
180 KIM Tei D. - 1% 6% 22% 36% 28% 8%
181 JAYASEKARA Hiran H. 1% 7% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
181 LEE Daniel C. - 2% 11% 29% 37% 20% 2%
183 KLEIN Caleb R. 3% 17% 33% 31% 13% 3% -
184 FUNK Theo S. 1% 10% 32% 37% 17% 3% -
184 MILLER Trent D. 4% 28% 39% 22% 6% 1% -
186 BAE Junnie 2% 24% 39% 25% 8% 1% -
187 KAZA Nitish - 5% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1%
188 WU Wesley E. - 4% 19% 36% 30% 10% -
188 DING Jonathan 2% 12% 27% 32% 20% 6% 1%
190 PETREE Justin 12% 34% 35% 16% 3% - -
190 RECHLER Logan 4% 22% 37% 26% 9% 1% -
192 YI Stephen K. 2% 19% 39% 28% 10% 2% -
193 CHOI Eric Y. - 9% 30% 37% 19% 4% -
194 CHEN Allen 1% 19% 41% 29% 9% 1% -
195 SERCK-HANSSEN Peter E. 1% 11% 32% 35% 17% 4% -
196 BATRAK Alexander - 1% 10% 30% 39% 18% 2%
197 OAKLAND Brennan D. 1% 16% 39% 34% 9% -
198 YU Vinni 1% 10% 29% 37% 20% 4%
199 HUTH Jacob 1% 13% 38% 36% 10% -
200 SELENDY Maximilian (Max) A. 7% 39% 39% 13% 2% -
201 BHARATHI Bhrugu S. - 1% 5% 19% 35% 30% 10%
202 SULLIVAN Jackson R. - 2% 12% 33% 35% 16% 2%
203 XIAO EDWARD 8% 33% 38% 18% 4% - -
203 SEZER Kaya - 3% 17% 36% 32% 10% 1%
205 JIMENEZ Diran - 1% 7% 27% 40% 22% 4%
206 HU Oliver W. - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 29%
206 HOOSHI Dylan M. - 1% 7% 25% 37% 25% 5%
208 HERGERT Benito - 1% 11% 30% 36% 18% 3%
209 TSANG Matthew K. 1% 10% 26% 34% 22% 6% 1%
210 CHEN Alex J. - - 3% 15% 34% 34% 12%
211 WITTENBERG Jackson H. 4% 25% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
212 RUTHERFURD John (Trace) 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
212 COOK John J. 13% 44% 35% 7% 1% - -
214 CHAN Anthony - 11% 33% 36% 17% 3% -
215 SMITH V Edward (Quin) A. 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
216 MORGAN Quinlyn (Quin) D. - 5% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1%
217 KONG Kenneth - 3% 16% 32% 32% 14% 2%
218 WANG Andrew 4% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
219 BREIER Matthew F. 2% 11% 27% 33% 20% 6% 1%
220 TAN Jacob J. 53% 36% 9% 1% - - -
220 NEWELL Ian A. 1% 25% 41% 25% 7% 1% -
222 HERGAN Daniel - 4% 18% 36% 31% 10% 1%
222 DARIANO Noah G. - 7% 27% 38% 22% 5% -
224 ANCONA Christopher 1% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3% -
225 NGUYEN Jett - 1% 8% 27% 39% 21% 4%
226 DREYER Justin 3% 16% 32% 30% 15% 3% -
226 NGUYEN Nish 2% 14% 32% 34% 15% 2% -
228 SHERMAN Marco J. - 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3%
229 KO Tyler B. 5% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1% -
230 DESHMUKH Ayush 5% 23% 35% 26% 9% 1% -
231 MA Andrew 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
232 DROUTMAN Ryan 14% 34% 33% 15% 4% - -
233 RYAN Francis D. 8% 44% 35% 11% 1% - -
234 MARSHALL Ian - 8% 31% 38% 19% 3% -
235 CRALEY Thomas M. 2% 14% 34% 34% 13% 2% -
236 FREEMAN Paris 13% 47% 31% 8% 1% - -
237 MCCLAIN Bryce C. - 6% 22% 36% 27% 8% -
238 KIM Aaron J. 17% 37% 30% 12% 3% - -
239 CARTER Lucas M. 16% 39% 31% 11% 2% -
240 KINNEY Luke 11% 37% 36% 14% 2% -
241 LI Yulei 33% 43% 20% 4% - -
242 WEINKOPF William O. 14% 40% 33% 11% 2% -
243 ARIZA Isaac A. - 1% 5% 22% 39% 28% 6%
244 ADAMS Luke C. - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
245 ABDELGAWAD Abdelrahman 21% 41% 28% 9% 1% - -
246 SHIBU Pranav 1% 7% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1%
247 ZHANG Luke T. - 4% 22% 41% 28% 5% -
248 MILLIAN Matthew 28% 49% 20% 3% - - -
248 LI Simon A. 3% 15% 34% 32% 14% 2% -
250 WILLIAMS Connor J. 13% 42% 37% 7% - - -
251 DESANDO Michael R. 1% 9% 27% 35% 22% 5% -
252 PHAM-CHANG Duke A. 40% 41% 16% 3% - - -
253 HSIUNG Richie 4% 39% 39% 15% 3% - -
254 SCHULZE-KALT Graydon L. 2% 26% 42% 24% 6% 1% -
255 HO Ryan J. - 6% 24% 37% 25% 7% -
255 BARTEL Jacob L. 13% 36% 34% 14% 3% - -
257 ANDERSON Christian 20% 38% 29% 11% 2% - -
258 CLAYMAN John A. 18% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
259 GRISWOLD Abel B. 2% 14% 31% 32% 17% 4% -
260 LIN Frank J. 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
260 ZELTSER Lawrence M. 4% 24% 38% 25% 8% 1% -
262 CLAY Jacob M. 41% 44% 13% 2% - - -
263 PEREZ BERNARDO A. 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1% -
264 LAO Scott E. - 10% 35% 37% 15% 2% -
265 NAKAMURA Alexander B. 11% 38% 35% 14% 2% - -
265 HODESS Ethan 3% 39% 39% 16% 3% - -
265 BICKFORD Michael S. 4% 21% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
268 ANDERSON Colton J. - 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1%
269 QUINONES Diego A. 9% 38% 37% 14% 2% - -
270 ROUNTREE Rob 21% 43% 29% 7% 1% - -
271 SOLIMAN Paul S. 15% 36% 33% 13% 2% - -
271 MILLER Chance 32% 43% 21% 4% - - -
271 WHITEHEAD Amir 45% 41% 13% 2% - - -
274 LAMBERT Li K. 6% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1% -
274 WHARTON Zachary 4% 35% 40% 18% 4% - -
274 HAW Keith F. 13% 34% 34% 16% 3% - -
277 GODDARD Hal D. 38% 45% 15% 1% - - -
278 WEBB Jacob T. 45% 49% 6% - - - -
279 YIM Alex 8% 36% 37% 15% 3% - -
280 DENYSE Jameson 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
281 JUSCINSKI Michal 87% 13% 1% - - - -
282 WELCH Ryan 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
283 BEALE Asa G. 71% 26% 3% - - - -
284 CONVERSE Warren D. 31% 43% 21% 5% 1% - -
285 DAVIS Christopher M. 8% 32% 38% 18% 4% - -
286 FURST Matthew C. 11% 32% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
287 MAHNKEN Thomas P. 80% 19% 1% - - - -
287 WALKER-JONES Ethan 40% 41% 15% 3% - - -
289 WOHLERS Casey 58% 34% 7% 1% - -
289 LE Vyn A. 44% 41% 13% 2% - -
291 FINLEY Samuel W. 87% 13% 1% - - - -
291 COLWELL Alexander J. 33% 43% 19% 4% - - -
291 AMICO Julian F. 12% 35% 35% 15% 3% - -
291 FINN Mark T. 3% 19% 37% 29% 10% 1% -
295 KOFROTH Zachary R. 12% 41% 33% 11% 2% - -
295 SOOD Kishan S. 18% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
295 UPTON Craig 70% 26% 3% - - - -
295 DUBOEF Mason 22% 47% 24% 5% 1% - -
299 YAGGY Alexander C. 33% 44% 19% 3% - - -
299 CUMMING Thomas 46% 51% 3% - - - -
299 ALLAMPALLAM Maanav V. 29% 41% 23% 6% 1% - -
302 BELLUOMO David C. 72% 24% 3% - - - -
302 MULLINS Walker P. 38% 42% 17% 3% - - -
302 PAMPENA Rocco S. 36% 41% 18% 4% - - -
302 GUO Zachary 75% 23% 2% - - - -
302 SECREST Micah 27% 41% 24% 7% 1% - -
302 PEREZ Joseph 31% 43% 21% 5% - - -
308 JEFFERY Jakob 87% 13% 1% - - - -
308 LAM Landon 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
308 KISTNER J. Kyle 37% 42% 17% 3% - - -
308 KIM Justin 81% 18% 1% - - - -
308 SECONDO Nico 88% 12% 1% - - - -
313 MACKENZIE River J. 40% 42% 16% 2% - - -
313 HADLEY William 30% 44% 21% 5% - - -
313 KORTZ Austin 59% 36% 5% - - - -
316 ANDERSON Tyler 37% 42% 17% 3% - - -
318 ESTES Chase B. 36% 42% 18% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.