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Bill Starr 3rd memorial RYC/RJCC

Y-12 Men's Foil

Sunday, May 7, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Crossroads College Preparatory School - St. Louis, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SENIC Lucas - - - - 2% 22% 75%
2 ZHOU Justin - 1% 6% 24% 41% 27% 2%
3 PALMA Nathan Anthony - - - - 6% 31% 63%
3 MANDZY Theodor - - - 2% 12% 39% 47%
5 LATORRE Leonardo - 3% 17% 37% 32% 10%
6 FERGUSON Levi - 3% 14% 32% 34% 15% 1%
7 MCMILLIAN Harrison - 1% 9% 29% 40% 21%
8 HASTINGS Alex - 3% 15% 34% 34% 13% 1%
9 WENGER Liam - 3% 15% 33% 34% 14% 1%
10 LINEBERRY CADEN 9% 39% 36% 13% 2% -
11 WENGER Rowan - 3% 14% 31% 34% 15% 2%
12 MURPHY Jonathan - 1% 6% 21% 37% 29% 6%
13 MCCONKEY Tristan 5% 22% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
14 BALES Gabriel 7% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
15 YOUNG Jack 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4% -
16 SYMMANK Callen 2% 17% 36% 31% 12% 2% -
17 CRONK Trevor 3% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2% -
18 ELTOFT Caden 1% 7% 27% 38% 22% 4%
19 JAKUBOVSKI Eric 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
20 LIM-SEIWERT Tristan 8% 28% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
21 XU Rambert 1% 7% 26% 38% 23% 5%
22 HALLETTMANES Ezra 48% 39% 12% 2% - - -
23 MAZAHERI Theodore 5% 26% 39% 24% 6% 1% -
24 MAZAHERI John 7% 28% 38% 21% 5% 1% -
25 MUNOZ Rocco 22% 39% 28% 9% 2% - -
26 MARTIN Wesley 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
27 GARRARD Jeremiah 50% 38% 10% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.