The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Take Action

Junior Olympic National Championships

Junior Women's Épée

Saturday, February 16, 2019 at 1:00 PM

Denver, CO - Denver, CO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 YEFREMENKO Dariya (Dasha) (Dasha) - - 2% 10% 28% 39% 22%
2 JOYCE Michaela - - - 1% 6% 33% 61%
3 MANGANO Ariana J. - - - 2% 12% 38% 49%
3 TANIBAJEVA Rachel L. - - - - 5% 29% 66%
5 PARK Faith K. - - - 2% 13% 41% 45%
6 TAYLOR Audrey Y. - 1% 7% 23% 37% 26% 6%
7 BEDDINGFIELD Claire E. - - 1% 5% 21% 42% 32%
8 TYLER Syd - 1% 4% 15% 32% 34% 15%
9 RATZLAFF Jocelyn T. - - 1% 5% 21% 42% 31%
10 KOMAR Sofia - - - 4% 24% 46% 26%
11 SHEFFIELD Lake Mawu - 1% 8% 22% 33% 27% 9%
12 GRADY Miriam A. - - - 2% 14% 41% 42%
13 YEU Irene - - - 1% 6% 35% 58%
14 BEITTEL Chloe F. - - 3% 15% 34% 34% 13%
15 DANIEL Chloe L. - - 3% 17% 39% 34% 8%
16 NIXON Caroline (Karolina) L. - - - 2% 11% 37% 51%
17 LIN Jessica Y. - - - 2% 12% 38% 49%
18 RAUSCH Ariana (Ari) M. - - - 3% 17% 43% 38%
19 CHOI Lyla - - 2% 15% 37% 35% 11%
20 SUMRALL Emily M. 2% 15% 33% 32% 15% 3% < 1%
21 BUCUR Rebekah O. - 1% 6% 23% 42% 29%
22 HUSISIAN Hadley N. - - - - 4% 28% 67%
23 LIANG Jessica - - 1% 5% 21% 42% 31%
24 YAMANAKA Mina - - 2% 11% 30% 39% 18%
25 WATRALL Christina - - - 1% 8% 35% 56%
26 ZAFFT Tatiana M. - 1% 7% 25% 39% 25% 4%
27 GILL Kaitlyn Y. - - 3% 14% 33% 36% 14%
28 ADAMS KIM Madeline - 1% 5% 18% 35% 31% 10%
29 MALDONADO Pilar I. - 1% 8% 23% 34% 25% 7%
30 BINDAS Blodwen S. 1% 8% 27% 35% 22% 6% 1%
31 COBERT Helen G. 3% 17% 36% 31% 12% 2%
32 LEE Yejine - 3% 16% 35% 35% 10%
33 GAO Emily L. - - 1% 7% 29% 49% 14%
34 BRILL Sophie - 4% 15% 31% 31% 16% 3%
35 BOYS Nishta B. - - 2% 10% 28% 39% 20%
36 KHROL Jaclyn - - - 1% 11% 39% 49%
37 ZUHARS Renee A. - - 3% 12% 30% 37% 18%
38 CHAN Cheri K. - 4% 19% 37% 30% 9% 1%
39 LIM Clarice - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
40 WHITTEMORE Lucy K. - 4% 16% 33% 32% 14% 1%
41 KIMURA Kimberley H. - 3% 16% 32% 33% 14% 2%
42 PATURU Meghana 1% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5%
42 BULAVKO Sonia - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10%
44 LIN Anna F. 12% 36% 35% 15% 3% -
45 KWON Athina - 1% 9% 32% 39% 17% 2%
46 GABERKORN Nadia - 1% 6% 25% 39% 25% 6%
47 REID Sobia 1% 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
47 BROOKS Tean R. - 2% 11% 29% 36% 19% 3%
49 CHU Audrey - 2% 12% 33% 36% 15% 2%
50 LEE Hanna Y. - 1% 6% 24% 41% 25% 4%
51 WANG Karen - - 2% 12% 35% 40% 12%
52 SNIDER Margot (Maggie) - - 1% 8% 29% 41% 20%
53 ROBLES Elena - 1% 5% 19% 36% 30% 9%
54 PYO Yunice - 2% 15% 34% 35% 13% 1%
55 SCALA Emma - 3% 16% 35% 33% 11%
56 GAO Aretha R. - - 3% 15% 33% 35% 14%
57 NGUYEN Kaylin A. - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
58 SHAMSIAN Shaya - 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 2%
58 LEE Sumin - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
60 BELSLEY Devon K. 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
61 KUZNETSOV Victoria - 2% 9% 24% 34% 24% 7%
62 FILIPPOV Nika D. 1% 9% 28% 35% 20% 6% 1%
63 TONCHEVA Victoria M. - 1% 9% 30% 38% 19% 3%
64 SCHMUGAR Brooke 6% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1% -
65 MACHULSKY Leehi - - - 2% 12% 42% 44%
66 KHAMIS Yasmine A. - - - 1% 8% 35% 57%
67 LEUNG Natalie - 2% 9% 25% 35% 23% 6%
68 LEE Michelle - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
69 KOWALSKY Rachel A. - 1% 8% 29% 39% 20% 3%
70 LURYE Sarah - - 1% 5% 21% 43% 30%
70 YOON Julia J. - - 4% 18% 38% 34% 6%
72 ENO Megan E. - - 1% 8% 28% 45% 18%
73 KETKAR Ketki - - 4% 16% 35% 34% 11%
73 GEBALA Natalie Brooke A. - - 3% 15% 37% 35% 10%
75 BALAKRISHNAN Monica S. - 2% 10% 26% 34% 22% 6%
76 KETKAR Mallika - 1% 9% 26% 35% 23% 6%
77 KIM Elizabeth Y. 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
78 YEE-WADSWORTH Sofia L. 2% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2%
79 GREGORY Elizabeth - 3% 15% 33% 35% 14%
80 PROCTOR Sara J. - - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
81 MARTUS Cosima O. - - 4% 19% 39% 32% 5%
82 O'REILLY Aeryn E. - 1% 9% 27% 38% 22% 3%
82 WEISS Talia L. - 3% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
84 CHAN Paree A. - 3% 15% 31% 33% 15% 3%
85 ROBERTSON Lily 4% 21% 36% 28% 10% 2% -
85 ZHANG Maya 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6% -
87 KHROL Caralina - - 3% 13% 32% 37% 15%
88 LANZMAN Anna B. 3% 19% 34% 28% 12% 3% -
89 DROVETSKY Alexandra M. - 2% 9% 24% 35% 24% 6%
89 BEI Karen - 5% 22% 37% 26% 8% 1%
91 NI Emma - 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3%
92 MOHABIR Ariane - 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
92 LEANG Priscilla Y. 1% 6% 22% 35% 27% 9% 1%
94 WU Amelia - - 3% 14% 33% 36% 14%
95 JHANGIANI Geeta L. - - 1% 7% 25% 41% 25%
96 LIVERANT Jordan S. - 1% 8% 25% 35% 24% 6%
97 DOLGONOS Melanie - 2% 10% 28% 37% 21% 2%
98 DE JAGER Celine 14% 35% 33% 14% 3% - -
99 O'DONNELL Amanda A. 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 10%
100 LABBE Kathryn M. 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
101 PHILLIPS Summer E. - 1% 8% 28% 41% 22%
102 NORCONK Claire R. 21% 40% 28% 9% 1% -
103 LIN Katie Y. - - 5% 24% 40% 26% 5%
104 CHIN Isabella - 3% 13% 31% 35% 16% 2%
105 ROSS Naomi O. - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
105 MCLANE Lauren - 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 3%
107 KIM Natalie S. 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3% -
107 MINASSIAN Arianna M. 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
109 SLACKMAN Valerie - 4% 19% 36% 29% 10% 1%
110 GANDHI Sedna S. - - 2% 13% 43% 34% 8%
111 KIM Erika S. 2% 18% 36% 30% 12% 2% -
112 MOSKOFF Tessa 1% 6% 23% 36% 25% 8% 1%
113 ROTHMAN-HALL Bronwyn R. 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
114 SIDDIQUI Ammna K. 6% 27% 39% 23% 6% 1% -
115 VERA Kalista R. - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
115 QURESHI Aafreen 1% 9% 25% 33% 23% 8% 1%
115 SAAL Anna 1% 6% 25% 39% 25% 5% -
118 LIU Jennifer L. 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 12% 2%
119 LEANG Andrea K. - 5% 19% 35% 30% 10% 1%
120 DOUGLAS Julia F. - 7% 27% 38% 23% 5% -
121 TSANG JAFFE Avi 4% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
122 CHAN Elizabeth - 3% 15% 34% 34% 13% 1%
123 JIANG Claire 8% 28% 37% 21% 5% - -
124 BOTNER Olivia 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
125 LIN Julia L. 1% 13% 36% 35% 14% 2% -
126 ZHOU Emily 4% 27% 38% 23% 7% 1% -
127 OPERARIO Abigail Z. 4% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
129 KANG Dahyun - 1% 8% 26% 39% 24% 3%
130 LAVERY Chloe K. 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 6% 1%
131 HILL Gabrielle (Gabby) M. - 2% 8% 23% 34% 25% 7%
132 LEE Olive 5% 28% 42% 21% 4% - -
133 JI Catherine - 3% 20% 41% 28% 6% -
134 KULKARNI Diya - 1% 4% 18% 36% 32% 9%
135 MOGLIANESI Brianna L. - 1% 6% 22% 38% 27% 6%
136 MCCARTHY Sara I. 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
137 MORGAN Lexiss M. - 2% 12% 28% 34% 19% 4%
138 BUVARP Elisabeth M. - - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13%
139 KIM Diane E. 1% 6% 23% 38% 26% 6%
140 HUH Anna 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
141 WOLF Isabella A. 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 7% 1%
142 BARNES Olivia R. 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
143 KOZAK Maeve E. 10% 30% 34% 19% 6% 1% -
144 AHUJA Arianna 6% 25% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
145 IGOE Nirali B. 1% 7% 25% 39% 24% 5% -
146 TAO Olivia A. - 1% 9% 27% 37% 21% 3%
147 SCHAFF Marlene M. 10% 32% 36% 17% 4% - -
148 SHOATES Jacqueline A. - - - 5% 25% 45% 25%
150 CAO Catherine H. 1% 9% 27% 35% 21% 6% 1%
151 WANG Elizabeth - 1% 5% 19% 36% 30% 9%
152 PALMER Amelia C. 1% 10% 30% 36% 19% 4% -
152 EBRAHIM Ameera H. 3% 23% 38% 26% 9% 1% -
154 MCNEILL Claire A. - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
154 ZHAO Yingying 3% 18% 34% 30% 13% 2% -
156 YAO Jillian 7% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1% -
156 SOIN Anika A. 15% 37% 33% 13% 2% - -
158 JOBALIA Ria - 2% 13% 34% 36% 14% 1%
158 PANDEY Sana 4% 24% 38% 25% 8% 1% -
160 WANG Ariana 2% 10% 25% 32% 22% 8% 1%
161 YOUNG Ashley 2% 12% 32% 35% 17% 3% -
161 CAPELLUA Mariasole 2% 16% 36% 31% 12% 2% -
163 DIDONATO Gianina L. 1% 10% 29% 36% 19% 4% -
164 DING Sandra 10% 37% 37% 13% 2% - -
165 NICOU Nicole 41% 42% 15% 2% - - -
165 GAO Judy 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
167 HODGES Grace A. 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
168 BACH Caroline 30% 41% 22% 6% 1% - -
169 MOTON Mckenzie R. 15% 38% 32% 12% 2% -
170 HAN Jaewon(Leah) 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3%
171 PATEL Aditi S. 28% 42% 24% 6% 1% -
172 REITINGER Emilie B. 2% 15% 34% 33% 14% 2%
173 JANOWSKI Madeline (Madeline Janowski) A. 4% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
174 MYERS Helen Sophia A. 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2% -
175 DESAMOURS Sabine I. - 1% 8% 26% 38% 23% 3%
175 SON Katherine (Injee) 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% - -
177 WU Clara 16% 36% 31% 14% 3% - -
178 PARK Yoohyun - - 2% 11% 31% 39% 17%
179 SMUK Daria A. 6% 27% 37% 23% 6% 1% -
180 THOW Jessica P. 5% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
180 MCGEE Sophia 3% 20% 36% 28% 10% 2% -
182 MILLER Veronica 4% 22% 38% 26% 8% 1% -
183 SHEPARD Jazzy M. 1% 6% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
184 MARONEY Gianna 6% 29% 39% 21% 5% 1% -
185 RUSSELL Renata 13% 33% 33% 16% 4% 1% -
185 GILBRETH Meghan G. 1% 13% 38% 34% 12% 2% -
185 HENRY Asha S. - 2% 11% 29% 37% 19% 3%
188 FOLEY Lauren 9% 36% 37% 15% 3% - -
189 KAUR Simarpreet 1% 9% 26% 35% 23% 6% -
190 ROBERTS Gabrielle W. 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
191 DILLARD Katlyn M. 3% 15% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
192 ADVINCULA Anabella E. 11% 33% 36% 16% 3% - -
193 BOLES Savvianna 12% 34% 34% 16% 3% - -
194 LI Tiffany 39% 42% 16% 3% - - -
195 PARK Ashley Y. 6% 27% 41% 22% 4% - -
196 LIU Christina A. - 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
197 JIN Jasmine 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
198 KIM Caroline 3% 16% 31% 30% 15% 4% -
199 ERTAS Eileen 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1% -
200 ZHANG Chuyi 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
201 LIANG Ashley 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
201 BUCUR Naomi 1% 10% 32% 37% 17% 3% -
203 KUNDU Anisha 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5%
204 OH Kaitlin Y. 24% 41% 26% 8% 1% -
205 PERALTA-VIRTUE Kamilla M. 1% 13% 33% 34% 16% 3%
206 SEMIKIN Julia 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2%
207 HUANG audrey 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
208 DAVIS Sophie R. 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
208 MIZZI Keira 2% 15% 39% 32% 11% 2% -
210 FENG Kelly L. 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% - -
211 KORNGUTH Lindsay 1% 9% 26% 35% 23% 6% 1%
212 PEREZ Gabriella (Gabi) S. 1% 9% 26% 36% 22% 6% -
212 SAGE Kayla G. 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
214 TONG Sarah Shen 1% 11% 35% 39% 12% 1% -
215 NELSON Gwendolyn H. 17% 38% 31% 11% 2% - -
216 CHIODI Isabella M. 9% 31% 37% 19% 4% - -
216 DUAN Jenny S. 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% - -
216 STRATTON Alexia 41% 43% 14% 2% - - -
219 DINGMAN Amanda 1% 12% 31% 34% 18% 4% -
219 WICKEN Baylee S. 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
221 GOLDBERG Sophie C. 18% 44% 29% 8% 1% - -
222 BIGGS Amelia F. 1% 10% 28% 36% 21% 4% -
222 YACOBI Gabrielle R. 19% 45% 28% 7% 1% - -
224 WHEELER Luna 12% 31% 33% 18% 5% 1% -
225 SHAO Ariel 11% 35% 36% 15% 3% - -
226 KERAMANE Halah Z. 22% 48% 24% 5% 1% - -
226 COVITZ Ashley A. 81% 17% 1% - - - -
228 MYERS Jeanelle Christina A. 29% 46% 21% 4% - - -
229 FAILMEZGER Emmeline E. 6% 25% 35% 24% 8% 2% -
230 GOEL Pari - 2% 10% 26% 35% 22% 5%
231 ARAYE Nasro 23% 39% 26% 9% 2% - -
232 KRICK Olivia A. 4% 21% 38% 28% 8% 1% -
233 LAHIRI Nayeli 27% 42% 24% 6% 1% - -
234 ZINK Kayla 11% 34% 36% 16% 3% - -
235 BRYANT Michelle 34% 44% 18% 3% - - -
237 SHI Angela L. 14% 34% 33% 15% 3% - -
238 BACCHUS Leah 18% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
239 BANKS Lauren M. 31% 42% 22% 5% 1% - -
240 WEBER Nora 14% 39% 33% 12% 2% -
241 SMIK Leonie A. < 1% 4% 18% 35% 31% 11% 1%
242 KIM Sofia J. 34% 42% 19% 4% - - -
242 THORNTON Paula R. 23% 45% 25% 6% 1% - -
244 HIRSCH Naomi B. 48% 38% 12% 2% - - -
244 ENDERLE Alexis N. 33% 41% 21% 5% 1% - -
244 STANT hannah 18% 55% 23% 3% - - -
247 TOMASELLO Olivia E. 19% 40% 29% 10% 2% -
248 BANNING Grace 30% 42% 22% 6% 1% - -
248 BONDAR Nika 33% 43% 20% 4% - - -
250 FREIBURGER Ilyssa M. 25% 41% 26% 8% 1% - -
250 DONDISCH Sophia 31% 41% 22% 6% 1% - -
252 LONG Madeline M. 52% 38% 9% 1% - - -
252 BEARD Sarah Madeline 34% 43% 19% 4% - - -
254 WINESTOCK Sarah A. 35% 50% 13% 1% - - -
254 ADDERLEY Katherine M. 31% 42% 21% 5% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.