The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Take Action

Junior Olympic National Championships

Junior Women's Foil

Sunday, February 17, 2019 at 1:30 PM

Denver, CO - Denver, CO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 PUSTILNIK Nicole - - - - 1% 15% 84%
2 HORSLEY Asherah - - - 1% 8% 38% 53%
3 LO Ashley - - 5% 23% 43% 28%
3 LAM Justina - - - - 6% 31% 63%
5 MARINELLI Ever - - - - 3% 26% 71%
6 MARTOS Sara A. - - - - 5% 32% 62%
7 CHO Sabrina N. - - - 3% 18% 44% 34%
8 BREKER Anika - 3% 16% 35% 34% 12%
9 FLANAGAN Catherine H. - - 1% 7% 26% 42% 23%
10 LIAO Madeline M. - - 2% 15% 37% 35% 11%
11 WANG Karina (Karina Xue Wang) X. - - - 3% 17% 44% 37%
12 ELIZONDO Isabelle M. - - - 1% 8% 34% 56%
13 TANG Louise - 1% 8% 30% 45% 17%
14 YAROSHENKO Karina - - - 2% 13% 41% 44%
15 JING Alexandra - - 2% 11% 31% 39% 16%
16 ZHENG Vivian - - 1% 10% 34% 42% 13%
17 NOVOSELTSEVA Elizabeth (Liza) M. - - 3% 15% 37% 35% 10%
18 ZHANG Rachel - - - 1% 9% 36% 53%
19 LEE Alina - 3% 16% 35% 34% 12%
20 LEE Yejine - - - 3% 17% 42% 38%
21 CHOI Lenna K. - 2% 14% 34% 34% 14% 2%
22 CHEN Alyssa J. - - - 4% 19% 42% 35%
23 NOVOSELTSEVA Anna V. - - - 2% 14% 41% 43%
24 LI Phoebe J. - 2% 13% 34% 36% 14% 1%
25 CHUSID Renata (Renata Chusid) M. - - - 3% 20% 47% 30%
26 HE Elizabeth W. - - 1% 7% 30% 48% 15%
27 THOMPSON Julia T. - - - 6% 25% 43% 26%
28 SHEN Jasmine N. - 2% 16% 37% 34% 10%
29 BIASCO Anna - 1% 10% 32% 40% 17%
30 FREEDMAN Miranda W. - 3% 16% 35% 34% 12%
31 QIAN Crystal - - 3% 17% 39% 34% 6%
32 TUCKER ALARCON Ariadna C. - - 2% 15% 37% 35% 11%
33 PETROVA Kristina - - - 4% 17% 41% 38%
34 KOO Haley B. - - - 3% 17% 41% 38%
35 TAN Elisha - - - - 6% 36% 58%
36 HAO Alicia - - - - 1% 21% 78%
37 NISHIMURA Madeleine A. - - 1% 9% 29% 41% 20%
38 LEE Allison (Allie) - - 2% 12% 33% 39% 14%
39 HAO Grace - - 1% 9% 28% 42% 20%
40 MANDOUR Sophia M. - 1% 5% 19% 35% 31% 10%
41 KASI Anisha - - - 5% 28% 51% 16%
41 HUNG Juliana K. - - - 1% 9% 39% 51%
43 LEE Annora Y. - - - - 5% 30% 65%
44 KOKES Gabrielle - - 3% 16% 34% 34% 12%
45 ZAROFF Roxanne - - 1% 11% 36% 45% 7%
46 VARUGHESE Olivia H. - - 3% 18% 42% 32% 5%
46 GRIFFIN Emma G. - - 3% 14% 35% 37% 10%
48 IBEN Claire L. - 1% 10% 28% 37% 21% 3%
49 MOLHO Sofia - 1% 9% 28% 38% 20% 4%
50 LEVI Lea - - 5% 23% 39% 27% 5%
51 KOO Rachel A. - 2% 13% 34% 38% 12%
52 KNIGHT Skylar - - 2% 12% 39% 47%
53 MAROTTA Veronica L. - 4% 19% 37% 32% 8%
54 LUONG Paige K. - - - 5% 21% 42% 32%
55 SHALANSKY Julia B. - - 5% 24% 45% 23% 3%
56 CHENG Evelyn - - 1% 8% 26% 42% 23%
57 KIM Rachael - - 4% 20% 39% 32% 5%
58 ABAYEVA Sasha - 1% 12% 33% 36% 16% 2%
59 FERRARI Christina M. - - - - 5% 37% 57%
60 SEAL Grace (Gracie) C. 1% 12% 34% 37% 14% 2% -
61 KIM Elisabeth (Gracie) 1% 11% 31% 35% 18% 4% -
62 SERBAN Samantha M. - - 1% 10% 30% 40% 19%
63 ADLER Polly Z. - 1% 10% 32% 40% 17%
64 PERLMAN Talia - 6% 25% 40% 24% 5% -
65 WU Kyra - 9% 32% 38% 17% 3% < 1%
66 RASO Sofia G. - - 2% 17% 42% 32% 6%
67 MINARIK Natalie M. - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
68 REN Olivia Y. - - 1% 6% 26% 49% 18%
69 HUNT Tarleton Q. - - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10%
70 CHEN Nicole Y. - 1% 5% 21% 38% 28% 7%
71 YU Seneca - 6% 23% 38% 26% 7% -
72 FAN Elaine 3% 20% 38% 29% 9% 1% -
73 SHEN Sophia H. 1% 9% 30% 39% 19% 3%
74 ALFONSO Czarina M. - - 2% 14% 38% 37% 10%
75 HARFELD Skylar - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
76 TAN Delphine 4% 22% 38% 27% 8% 1% -
77 ZHENG Ivy - - 2% 12% 34% 38% 13%
78 CROMPTON Celia N. - 1% 8% 28% 39% 20% 3%
79 AHN Isabella - 1% 7% 30% 44% 17% 2%
80 PARK Rowan M. 1% 6% 21% 36% 27% 9% 1%
81 CHO Gracie L. - 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2%
82 HOOSHI Erica S. - 1% 7% 26% 41% 24% 1%
83 COLA Emmanuelle (Emma) R. - 1% 8% 26% 37% 22% 4%
84 MASSICK Laine - 2% 12% 34% 39% 13% 1%
85 CHENG Lydia A. - 3% 18% 39% 32% 8% -
86 DUAN Konnie 1% 12% 33% 35% 16% 3% -
87 JO Mia C. 1% 8% 29% 39% 20% 4% -
88 UYANIK Nerine - 4% 19% 35% 30% 11% 1%
89 LEE Brianna J. - - 4% 20% 37% 30% 8%
90 YAMAGUCHI Kate M. - 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
91 DE LA CRUZ Alyssa - 14% 38% 33% 12% 2% -
92 CONWAY Josephina (JoJo) J. - - 1% 9% 33% 44% 13%
93 KONG Chin-Yi - 4% 22% 39% 27% 8% 1%
94 BARNETTE Zoe - - 5% 24% 42% 25% 3%
95 YANKOVSKIY Anastasia - - 1% 13% 42% 44%
96 SARTORI Taylor M. 4% 29% 41% 21% 5% -
97 BANIN Isabelle J. - 1% 5% 22% 42% 29%
98 CAO Arianna L. - 2% 11% 32% 40% 16%
98 SHAW Kayla M. 5% 29% 42% 20% 3% -
100 LOCKE Savannah 7% 33% 39% 18% 4% -
101 TAKAGI Hikaru G. 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 8% 1%
102 KIM Lauren Hyomin - 1% 7% 25% 39% 24% 3%
103 FERRETTI Anna Rebecca - 9% 37% 38% 14% 2% -
103 KALOPER Sofia 1% 10% 31% 37% 18% 3% -
105 ZHANG Sylvia - 3% 15% 33% 32% 14% 2%
106 VONA Elena M. 4% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1% -
107 LOW Sharon J. 10% 30% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
107 KHOO Lauren A. 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4% -
109 SUH Kailey E. 1% 12% 33% 35% 16% 3% -
110 LESLIE Ryanne T. - - 2% 12% 37% 42% 8%
111 CHEN Cynthia 2% 28% 40% 23% 6% 1% -
112 YUGOV Elizabeth (Liz Yugov) 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 8% 1%
113 APELIAN Katherine - - 3% 13% 32% 36% 16%
114 KOENIG Charlotte R. - 1% 10% 31% 39% 16% 2%
115 MORAN Emma - 7% 26% 36% 23% 6% 1%
116 GOMES Rafaella T. 2% 19% 38% 30% 10% 1% -
117 LIAO Lu Jia (Lucy) 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1%
118 WU Irene M. 14% 36% 33% 14% 2% -
119 GONG Christina S. - 1% 9% 26% 36% 22% 4%
120 LI Meilin 2% 13% 30% 33% 17% 4% -
121 LUU Shanon K. - 12% 38% 37% 12% 1% -
122 TONG Ophelia 1% 12% 32% 35% 17% 4% -
123 YEH Samantha - 5% 18% 34% 31% 12% 1%
124 PATEL Anika 1% 12% 34% 35% 16% 3% -
125 SADAN Jordan E. 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4% -
126 OH Erin H. 11% 33% 36% 17% 3% -
127 CHO Taylor S. 3% 16% 35% 32% 12% 1%
128 BALCH Julia 22% 40% 28% 9% 1% -
129 PRIETO Sofia M. 3% 20% 39% 29% 9% 1% -
130 LAMPSON-STIXRUD Dolly C. - - 5% 19% 35% 31% 10%
131 CHON Samantha - 2% 13% 31% 35% 16% 3%
132 MOON Elina C. - 3% 15% 33% 34% 14% 1%
133 HO Brianna W. - 13% 38% 34% 12% 2% -
134 HENDRIAN Rachel M. 2% 14% 37% 34% 12% 2% -
135 CHEN Kelly - 5% 23% 38% 26% 8% 1%
136 BRADFORD Meeah - 1% 10% 29% 38% 19% 3%
137 MERGES Gretl C. 3% 21% 38% 27% 9% 1% -
138 LEE Paulina 2% 16% 36% 32% 12% 2%
139 WALKER Mayah J. 8% 29% 37% 21% 5% -
140 KIM Kayla A. 1% 11% 31% 34% 18% 4% -
141 ROSBERGER Jessica 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
142 FERNANDES Thea 3% 20% 39% 28% 8% 1% -
143 NEWHARD Zelia K. 1% 13% 33% 33% 16% 3% -
144 COSTELLO Angeline S. 9% 32% 37% 18% 4% - -
145 CHON Sydney - 9% 35% 40% 14% 1% -
146 LIU Alice M. - 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
147 ALTEN Ayaka 3% 19% 38% 29% 10% 1% -
148 SANTOS Annika Beatrice I. 5% 32% 44% 16% 2% - -
149 LIAO Jerrica - 2% 10% 28% 36% 20% 3%
150 PO Edith - 4% 20% 37% 28% 9% 1%
151 HAUK Zsofia F. 2% 12% 32% 34% 17% 3% -
151 HOLLE Aviella S. - 4% 19% 40% 31% 6% -
153 BOODELL Ella - 5% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1%
154 HECKMANN Emma - 9% 29% 36% 21% 6% 1%
155 GAYDOS Sofia C. 1% 10% 31% 39% 17% 2%
156 LAU Sydnee M. 1% 11% 32% 37% 17% 2%
157 OUTHRED Maya E. 2% 15% 36% 33% 12% 2%
158 KEESING Liana 7% 38% 40% 13% 1% -
159 LEE Bethany W. 1% 13% 33% 33% 16% 3% -
160 SU Alysa J. 1% 21% 41% 29% 8% 1% -
161 XU Christine - 8% 26% 36% 23% 7% -
162 MCDONALD Alexandra - 3% 18% 42% 29% 7% 1%
162 CHO Cameron S. - 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1%
162 TAN Clarisse 1% 18% 37% 30% 11% 2% -
165 GILIOLI Alexia 2% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2% -
165 JING Emily - 1% 10% 30% 37% 19% 3%
167 KLINE Melissa C. 4% 23% 38% 26% 8% 1% -
168 CASTANEDA Erika L. - 4% 19% 36% 29% 10% 1%
168 BOLES Sophia 35% 43% 18% 3% - - -
170 MCSHINE Katelyn H. 27% 41% 24% 7% 1% - -
171 STEWART Isabella A. - 6% 29% 42% 19% 4% -
171 YHIP Mikaela M. - 16% 37% 31% 13% 2% -
173 YEH Marissa E. 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
174 SOOD Ishani S. - 1% 8% 28% 38% 21% 4%
175 GALAVOTTI Claire Teresa 3% 18% 36% 31% 11% 1% -
176 YE Eileen - 1% 8% 25% 37% 23% 4%
177 LEE Angelina S. 1% 13% 36% 35% 13% 2% -
178 DING Abigail 3% 25% 46% 22% 4% - -
179 SCHUEPPERT Amelia V. 3% 21% 38% 28% 9% 1% -
180 ATLURI Srija - 5% 22% 38% 27% 8% -
181 MILLER Veronica 7% 28% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
182 YANG Blanche 15% 42% 32% 9% 1% - -
183 COKER Bettina M. 14% 39% 33% 12% 2% - -
184 SHITAMOTO Audrey F. 4% 25% 39% 24% 6% 1% -
185 SCHATZ Kristina J. 8% 31% 37% 19% 4% -
186 KIM Alyssa 5% 28% 40% 22% 5% -
187 LU Tiffany J. - < 1% 4% 20% 39% 30% 6%
188 LEVERMANN Lexa L. 1% 18% 40% 31% 10% 1% -
189 DAVIDSON Sammy C. 19% 45% 28% 7% 1% - -
190 D'ARCY Annie M. 3% 37% 41% 16% 3% - -
190 JIANG Yangying (Amanda) 4% 41% 40% 13% 1% - -
192 LEE Isabelle - 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% -
193 TRAN Ava D. 1% 11% 31% 36% 18% 4% -
194 MARLEY-WEAVER Jordan 73% 25% 3% - - - -
195 RAMAN Tanvi 5% 52% 35% 8% 1% - -
196 DEBACK Greta I. 2% 34% 41% 19% 4% - -
197 LONG Madeline M. 6% 37% 39% 16% 3% - -
198 VEERKAMP Molly 2% 15% 36% 33% 12% 2% -
199 LEE Alison 45% 40% 13% 2% - - -
200 SHIH Diane 1% 20% 39% 29% 9% 1% -
201 BAKER-ROSENBERG Raynor S. 34% 44% 19% 3% - - -
202 HU Aining 12% 35% 35% 15% 3% - -
203 HOLMGREN Tegan L. 13% 47% 32% 8% 1% - -
204 SHEN Cindy L. 11% 35% 35% 15% 3% - -
205 MCKEE Alexandra K. 8% 40% 39% 12% 1% - -
206 LAM Bella 6% 25% 37% 24% 8% 1% -
207 JEWETT Jamie 3% 18% 38% 32% 9% 1% -
208 SIMPSON Lydia Q. 37% 42% 18% 3% - - -
209 WHITESIDES Ella K. 51% 38% 10% 1% - - -
210 THOMAS Aaria S. 37% 42% 17% 3% - -
211 WANG Catherine K. 21% 48% 25% 5% - -
212 HEISER Anna M. 50% 42% 7% - - - -
212 SALINAS Jessica L. 36% 43% 17% 3% - - -
214 WANG Christine 1% 11% 31% 35% 17% 3% -
215 SANDAU Ella 81% 17% 1% - - - -
216 SLACK Mary-Stuart F. 54% 36% 8% 1% - -
216 HIRSCH Sophie A. 53% 37% 9% 1% - -
218 KUMAR Anmol 15% 42% 33% 10% 1% - -
218 MUELLER Tatum J. 54% 36% 9% 1% - - -
220 BAILLY-HALL Isidora D. 39% 42% 16% 3% - -
221 RASO Olivia 9% 36% 37% 15% 2% - -
221 ROCCA Mary J. 97% 3% - - - - -
221 GRAFLUND Ashley L. 84% 15% 1% - - - -
224 POWERS Kathryn 39% 44% 15% 2% - - -
224 RAILTON Chelsea O. 22% 40% 27% 9% 1% - -
226 GROGAN Hunter K. 70% 26% 4% - - - -
226 CHEN Hanna D. 76% 21% 2% - - - -
228 LEE Ariana 16% 41% 32% 10% 1% - -
229 CHIPMAN Emma M. 32% 42% 20% 5% 1% - -
230 MAESTRADO Ashley R. 50% 38% 11% 1% - - -
230 KATZE Ashley 35% 42% 19% 4% - - -
230 SCHMIDT Victoria 88% 11% - - - - -
230 LEE Joanne 88% 11% - - - - -
234 ADORNO-MARTINEZ Eva M. 58% 35% 7% - - - -
235 LU Ellen M. 91% 8% - - - - -
235 KARCZ Hannah 87% 13% - - - - -
235 DILKS Zoe 36% 44% 17% 3% - - -
235 BATRA Savita 75% 22% 3% - - - -
239 ZERROU Hana 85% 14% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.