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Junior Olympic National Championships

Cadet Women's Épée

Monday, February 18, 2019 at 8:00 AM

Denver, CO - Denver, CO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 RAUSCH Ariana (Ari) M. - - 1% 5% 20% 41% 34%
2 LIN Jessica Y. - - - - 2% 20% 78%
3 KHROL Jaclyn - - - 2% 14% 40% 44%
3 WU Amelia - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 28%
5 BULAVKO Sonia - - - 4% 19% 43% 34%
6 HUSISIAN Hadley N. - - - 1% 7% 33% 60%
7 O'DONNELL Amanda A. - - 1% 6% 24% 42% 28%
8 CHOI Lyla - - 2% 16% 41% 35% 6%
9 JOYCE Michaela - - - - 2% 23% 74%
10 KHAMIS Yasmine A. - - - 1% 8% 35% 56%
10 MCLANE Lauren - - 4% 18% 38% 31% 8%
12 PATURU Meghana - - 1% 8% 25% 41% 25%
13 RATZLAFF Jocelyn T. - - - 2% 13% 40% 45%
14 ZUHARS Renee A. - - - 4% 18% 41% 37%
15 LEE Yejine - 1% 6% 19% 34% 30% 11%
16 CHAN Elizabeth - 1% 8% 28% 38% 21% 4%
17 YEU Irene - - - 2% 12% 39% 48%
18 CHIN Isabella - 2% 13% 33% 37% 15%
19 WATRALL Christina - - - - 5% 31% 64%
20 KETKAR Ketki - - - 2% 12% 39% 46%
21 LEUNG Natalie - - 3% 14% 34% 36% 12%
22 KUZNETSOV Victoria - 1% 9% 30% 38% 20% 2%
23 ROBLES Elena - - 1% 9% 28% 40% 21%
24 LEE Michelle - 2% 10% 27% 35% 22% 5%
25 CHU Audrey - 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3%
26 KOWALSKY Rachel A. - 4% 18% 37% 31% 9%
27 GABERKORN Nadia - - 2% 9% 28% 40% 21%
28 LEE Sumin - - 1% 8% 27% 42% 22%
29 WANG Elizabeth - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
30 ZAFFT Tatiana M. - 1% 5% 20% 37% 30% 8%
31 BARNES Olivia R. - 4% 23% 38% 27% 7% -
32 MYERS Helen Sophia A. 1% 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% -
33 LIN Katie Y. - 1% 5% 21% 37% 28% 8%
34 MACHULSKY Leehi - - - - 5% 30% 65%
35 YEE-WADSWORTH Sofia L. - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
35 PARK Faith K. - - - 1% 8% 35% 55%
37 LURYE Sarah - - - 3% 17% 43% 36%
38 COBERT Helen G. - - 4% 18% 38% 32% 7%
39 PARKER Allegra H. - - 1% 9% 29% 42% 20%
40 TOMASELLO Olivia E. 5% 23% 39% 25% 7% 1% -
41 BOYS Nishta B. - - 1% 9% 28% 40% 22%
42 ZHAO Yingying - 3% 19% 35% 30% 11% 1%
42 KIM Erika S. 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
44 JANOWSKI Madeline (Madeline Janowski) A. 3% 21% 38% 28% 8% 1%
45 GEBALA Natalie Brooke A. - - 2% 12% 37% 43% 7%
45 LUO Ashley - 13% 35% 34% 15% 2% -
47 WANG Nora - 1% 9% 28% 39% 21% 2%
48 DOUGLAS Julia F. - 2% 16% 37% 33% 11% 1%
49 HIRSCH Naomi B. 19% 39% 30% 11% 2% < 1% -
50 BELSLEY Devon K. - 4% 19% 35% 30% 11% 1%
51 LIU Christina A. 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
52 SHOATES Jacqueline A. - - 2% 11% 33% 39% 16%
53 MCCARTHY Sara I. 1% 6% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
54 KWON Athina - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 6%
55 PERALTA-VIRTUE Kamilla M. - 1% 7% 25% 38% 24% 4%
55 YOON Julia J. - 2% 13% 34% 36% 14% 1%
57 WANG Karen - - 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
58 BUCUR Rebekah O. - - 1% 7% 28% 42% 21%
59 LIVERANT Jordan S. - 1% 5% 20% 36% 30% 9%
60 GRESHAM Sarah L. 2% 12% 30% 35% 19% 4%
61 XIA Chelsea W. - 4% 16% 32% 31% 15% 2%
62 MYERS Jeanelle Christina A. 53% 36% 9% 1% - - -
63 LIM Clarice - 4% 17% 35% 33% 11%
64 KUNDU Anisha - 4% 17% 34% 32% 12% 1%
65 TYLER Syd - - 3% 15% 34% 36% 12%
66 KHROL Caralina - 1% 9% 27% 40% 23%
67 GANDHI Sedna S. - - 1% 6% 24% 42% 27%
68 MALDONADO Pilar I. - 2% 11% 32% 40% 16%
69 TAYLOR Audrey Y. - 1% 8% 24% 38% 25% 4%
70 WHITTEMORE Lucy K. - - 4% 16% 35% 33% 11%
71 KETKAR Mallika - 1% 8% 25% 38% 23% 4%
72 AHUJA Arianna 1% 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1%
73 PYO Yunice - - 5% 23% 39% 26% 6%
74 TONG Sarah Shen 1% 5% 20% 36% 29% 9% 1%
75 NGUYEN Kaylin A. - 4% 17% 34% 33% 12%
76 PROCTOR Sara J. - - 2% 10% 30% 40% 18%
77 DINGMAN Amanda 1% 12% 31% 34% 17% 4% -
78 KIM Diane E. - - 2% 12% 34% 39% 13%
79 MOTON Mckenzie R. - 3% 18% 36% 31% 11% 1%
80 JI Catherine - 6% 23% 38% 26% 7% -
81 ZHANG Tina - 1% 5% 21% 37% 29% 8%
82 CASTANEDA Erika L. - - 2% 14% 36% 38% 10%
83 MEHROTRA Anya - - 4% 21% 38% 29% 7%
84 SHAO Ariel 1% 11% 35% 37% 14% 2% -
85 REID Anousheh - 4% 19% 34% 30% 11% 1%
85 GRESHAM Rebekah L. - - 4% 16% 36% 36% 8%
85 LONG Cindy - - 1% 11% 34% 39% 14%
85 BEI Karen - 2% 16% 36% 33% 12% 1%
89 DESAMOURS Sabine I. - - 3% 14% 32% 36% 15%
90 MYLER AnneMarie - 1% 8% 29% 40% 20% 2%
91 DE JAGER Celine 1% 11% 31% 34% 17% 4% -
92 ROTHMAN-HALL Bronwyn R. - 4% 16% 33% 31% 14% 2%
93 SMUK Daria A. - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 1%
94 LEANG Andrea K. - 4% 18% 35% 32% 11% 1%
95 ERTAS Eileen 13% 36% 34% 14% 2% -
96 SON Katherine (Injee) 4% 24% 38% 26% 7% 1%
97 OH Kaitlin Y. 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1% -
98 QURESHI Aafreen - 3% 15% 34% 34% 13% 2%
99 REITINGER Emilie B. - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 5%
100 KULKARNI Diya - - 1% 9% 28% 40% 22%
101 OPERARIO Abigail Z. 2% 14% 38% 34% 11% 1% -
102 SMITH Grace L. - - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13%
103 SAAL Anna - 2% 16% 36% 33% 12% 1%
104 SUMRALL Emily M. - 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 4%
104 MCCUTCHEN Lauren (Lulu) - 5% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1%
106 EBRAHIM Ameera H. - 5% 25% 38% 24% 7% 1%
107 CHAN Cheri K. - 2% 11% 30% 36% 18% 3%
108 WOLF Isabella A. 1% 12% 31% 34% 18% 4% -
109 JIN Jasmine 3% 23% 37% 26% 9% 2% -
109 LIU Jennifer L. - 5% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1%
111 SEMIKIN Julia - 1% 7% 25% 38% 25% 5%
112 YAO Jillian 1% 7% 24% 36% 24% 7% 1%
113 MOSKOFF Tessa - 2% 11% 32% 37% 16% 2%
114 WEBER Nora 4% 19% 37% 29% 10% 1% -
115 FENG Kelly L. 3% 17% 34% 30% 13% 3% -
116 LOWENSTEIN Penelope J. - 3% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
117 SOIN Anika A. 14% 36% 33% 13% 2% -
118 GAO Aretha R. - 3% 17% 36% 33% 11%
119 WEISS Talia L. - 2% 13% 33% 37% 14%
120 GOEL Pari - 3% 15% 31% 32% 15% 3%
121 GILBRETH Meghan G. 1% 13% 37% 35% 12% 2% -
122 NI Emma - - 3% 16% 39% 35% 6%
123 ALVIDREZ Francesca A. - 3% 14% 33% 34% 14% 2%
124 FALLON Kyle R. - 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3%
125 YOUNG Ashley 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 6% -
126 ZHANG Chuyi 3% 18% 37% 31% 10% 1% -
127 DESAI Meera P. 1% 8% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1%
128 LEANG Priscilla Y. - 4% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
129 HENRY Asha S. - 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3%
130 FILIPPOV Nika D. - 5% 22% 38% 26% 8% 1%
131 LIN Julia L. 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
132 GAO Judy 4% 21% 36% 28% 10% 1%
133 DROVETSKY Alexandra M. - 1% 7% 25% 42% 26%
134 GU Sarah - 1% 10% 31% 37% 17% 3%
135 ROBERTSON Lily 1% 9% 28% 36% 21% 5% -
136 SCHAFF Marlene M. 2% 15% 33% 32% 15% 3% -
137 ZHOU Emily 2% 15% 37% 32% 12% 2% -
137 SIDDIQUI Ammna K. 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
139 RUSSELL Renata 1% 11% 30% 35% 18% 4% -
140 BUCUR Naomi 1% 8% 26% 38% 22% 5% -
141 LABBE Kathryn M. - 1% 6% 24% 43% 27%
142 PATEL Aditi S. 2% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2% -
143 MILLER Veronica 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5% -
144 BAJAJ Nikita K. 15% 38% 33% 12% 2% - -
145 NICOU Nicole 7% 30% 40% 19% 3% - -
146 CHO Taylor S. 2% 28% 44% 21% 4% - -
147 LAVERY Chloe K. 2% 15% 33% 32% 14% 3% -
148 SLACKMAN Valerie 2% 12% 31% 35% 18% 3%
149 SAGE Kayla G. 11% 33% 36% 17% 4% -
150 JIANG Corina 9% 30% 37% 19% 4% -
151 KANG Dahyun 1% 6% 23% 37% 26% 6%
151 LEE Olive 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1%
153 MARONEY Gianna 9% 29% 36% 20% 5% 1%
154 CHIODI Isabella M. 11% 33% 35% 16% 3% -
155 WANG Ariana 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4%
156 CAPELLUA Mariasole 1% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
157 HODGES Grace A. 2% 18% 37% 30% 11% 2% -
158 KAUR Simarpreet 2% 15% 35% 33% 13% 2%
159 HAN Jaewon(Leah) - - 3% 14% 34% 36% 12%
160 KIM Elizabeth Y. 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 4% -
161 BACH Caroline 17% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
162 PAN Michelle 8% 35% 39% 15% 3% - -
163 PEREZ Gabriella (Gabi) S. 1% 11% 30% 35% 19% 4% -
163 TSANG JAFFE Avi 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
163 CHOI Eunice 10% 34% 35% 16% 4% - -
166 LIEBER Josephine A. 2% 13% 34% 34% 15% 2% -
166 BALAKRISHNAN Monica S. - - 5% 20% 37% 30% 8%
166 FUNSTON Lauren L. 8% 34% 39% 16% 3% - -
169 DUNBAR Breck L. 1% 8% 27% 37% 22% 5% -
170 CHAN Paree A. - 1% 9% 27% 37% 21% 4%
173 LI Charlotte 21% 44% 28% 7% 1% - -
174 MOHAMED Faisa - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3%
175 MCLAREN Rachel 13% 41% 33% 11% 2% - -
175 DONDISCH Sophia 26% 41% 25% 7% 1% - -
177 GOLDBERG Sophie C. 16% 43% 31% 10% 1% - -
178 KIM Caroline - 6% 25% 38% 24% 6% -
179 RUNIONS Emersyn - 1% 12% 33% 36% 16% 2%
179 CORDERO Allison 10% 39% 35% 13% 2% - -
181 ARAYE Nasro 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
182 JIANG Claire 13% 40% 35% 11% 2% - -
183 REID Sobia 1% 8% 25% 36% 23% 6% -
184 LEE Calla 6% 23% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
185 DARANOUVONG Logan 4% 21% 38% 27% 9% 1% -
186 LI Alisha 19% 40% 30% 10% 1% -
187 LIANG Ashley 26% 41% 25% 7% 1% -
188 DUAN Jenny S. 12% 34% 34% 16% 4% - -
189 PARTE Isabella B. 27% 43% 23% 6% 1% - -
190 JAMES Josephine 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
191 WALBERT Charlotte B. 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
192 ROBERTS Gabrielle W. 1% 6% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
192 MILLARD Lily C. 10% 52% 31% 7% 1% - -
192 COVITZ Ashley A. 56% 37% 7% - - - -
195 HAND Grace 28% 44% 23% 5% - - -
196 JAKEL Sophia N. - 1% 6% 22% 39% 29% 4%
196 HUANG Hannah T. 7% 38% 41% 13% 2% - -
198 LONG Madeline M. 29% 43% 22% 5% 1% - -
199 APPLEBEE Andralyn 52% 38% 9% 1% - - -
199 BOLES Savvianna 16% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
201 LI Tiffany 11% 40% 35% 12% 2% - -
201 BANKS Lauren M. 25% 43% 25% 6% 1% - -
203 CHOI Yuni D. 23% 42% 26% 7% 1% - -
204 HENDRIAN Rachel M. 25% 42% 25% 7% 1% - -
205 WHEELER Luna 26% 41% 25% 7% 1% - -
206 ZAKHAROV Anne E. 18% 40% 30% 10% 1% - -
207 BANNING Grace 49% 40% 10% 1% - - -
208 BROWNE Zoe 24% 46% 24% 5% - - -
209 WANG Annie 15% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
210 VALLURI Rithi H. 48% 39% 11% 1% - - -
210 SAMANDAS Jackelyn 22% 42% 28% 8% 1% - -
212 PANDEY Sana 2% 15% 34% 32% 15% 3% -
213 FAILMEZGER Emmeline E. 22% 46% 25% 6% 1% - -
214 SCHMUGAR Brooke - 4% 19% 35% 30% 11% 1%
215 ACRES Eowyn 4% 20% 37% 29% 9% 1% -
215 BRUSH Sydney 6% 26% 39% 23% 5% - -
217 KWON Tiara 10% 40% 36% 13% 2% - -
218 PARK Ashley Y. 19% 38% 30% 11% 2% -
219 STRATTON Alexia 46% 41% 12% 1% - - -
220 PRICE Makalyn W. 35% 42% 18% 4% - - -
220 STANT hannah 86% 13% 1% - - - -
222 WEATHERLY Emily 21% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
223 CHANG Ella 13% 38% 34% 13% 2% - -
224 WATTS Reganne M. 32% 42% 21% 5% 1% - -
225 KHITROV Samantha 62% 31% 6% 1% - - -
225 BRYANT Michelle 17% 49% 27% 6% 1% - -
225 HICKS Grace 37% 42% 18% 3% - - -
228 HUANG audrey 4% 25% 41% 24% 6% 1% -
229 PANDEY Aashna 22% 42% 27% 8% 1% - -
229 METTE Alexis 74% 24% 2% - - - -
232 OLIVER Evie 31% 42% 21% 5% 1% - -
232 BONDAR Nika 41% 41% 15% 2% - -
234 BACCHUS Leah 57% 34% 8% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.