Mission SYC 2023

Y-14 Men's Foil

Friday, May 5, 2023 at 12:15 PM

Mission Fencing Center - Rocky Point, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIU Derek 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 43%
2 GULCHIN Mark (Yerma) 100% 100% 99% 89% 51% 12%
3 MAO Lucas 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 39%
3 TAN Aidan 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 15%
5 PARRISH Evan 100% 100% 100% 93% 61% 17%
6 SIMONOV Timofey 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
7 CHEN Kyle P. 100% 100% 99% 84% 39% 6%
8 CHOI Benjamin 100% 98% 86% 55% 19% 3%
9 VADEN Oliver 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 37% 8%
10 FENG Michael 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 8%
11 WANG Rory 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 22% 3%
12 CHENG Ethan 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
13 GUO Justin 100% 100% 100% 96% 68% 20%
14 ZENG Rick 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
15 REN Ryan 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1%
16 WONG Jackson 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 16%
17 LI Bradley 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 39%
18 CHENG Logan 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 15%
19 LEE Eugene 100% 100% 93% 69% 31% 6%
20 DOELL Ethan 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
21 GE Daniel 100% 100% 95% 61% 22% 4% -
22 BAI Brian 100% 95% 72% 36% 11% 2% -
23 CHEN Ethan 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13%
24 ZHAO Adam 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
25 LEE Charles T 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1%
26 SURESH Rohan 100% 98% 76% 28% 4% -
27 TANG Royce 100% 98% 83% 48% 16% 2%
28 LINDEMANN Marc 100% 98% 81% 45% 13% 2%
29 CHANG Eric Jonathan 100% 96% 70% 21% 2% -
30 GHEDINI Luca 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 31%
31 HOU Gaven 100% 100% 93% 71% 35% 9% 1%
32 BHAN Amar 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% -
33 JURMAN Therin 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 6%
34 CHO Xzander 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5%
35 WOODCOCK Henry 100% 95% 68% 30% 7% 1%
36 BAI Austin 100% 97% 77% 41% 12% 2% -
37 MO Ethan 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 7% 1%
38 TOOMRE Kai 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
39 XIE Jicheng 100% 99% 87% 56% 22% 4% -
40 HELMY Richard 100% 74% 34% 9% 1% - -
41 ZHANG Lucas 100% 100% 99% 87% 52% 17% 2%
42 DIAZ Gabriel 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% 1% -
43 KRZYWON Dylan 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% - -
44 TANG Terry 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 9%
45 WANG Ralph 100% 45% 7% - - -
46 CHEN kenneth 100% 67% 18% 2% - -
47 CHANG Jeremy 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6%
48 PLUMMER Waylon 100% 91% 57% 21% 4% -
49 KO Caleb 100% 96% 75% 41% 13% 2% -
50 XU Nathan 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 10% 1%
51 REYES Yannik 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% - -
51 SMITH Colin 100% 83% 24% 3% - - -
53 ABRAMKIN Tim 100% 54% 14% 2% - -
54 WANG Luke 100% 59% 18% 3% - -
55 NABASSOUA Djibril 100% 65% 17% 1% - -
56 LIEN Alexander 100% 46% 10% 1% - - -
57 LEE Thomas 100% 81% 29% 4% - -
58 CHANG Ian 100% 26% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.