Raleigh SJCC & Division II North American Cup

Junior Men's Saber

Saturday, June 3, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Raleigh Convention Center - Raleigh, NC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHOI Silas - - 2% 9% 28% 41% 20%
2 DENNER Maximilian P. - - - 5% 24% 47% 23%
3 MICLAUS Justin - - - 3% 17% 43% 38%
3 TENG MATTHEW - 2% 12% 33% 39% 15%
5 ATANASSOV Vasil V. - - - 3% 15% 40% 42%
6 YAO JINTAO - 1% 7% 21% 34% 28% 9%
7 WOODWARD Connor - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 27%
8 CHTERENTAL Alex - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 29%
9 ZHANG Derek - - 3% 15% 32% 35% 15%
10 NAZLYMOV Andrei - - - 4% 19% 42% 35%
11 MAKLIN Edward P. - - 1% 5% 20% 42% 33%
12 GUFFEY Christopher 1% 11% 30% 36% 19% 3%
13 REN James - - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10%
14 PRIMUS Nazir - - 1% 6% 23% 43% 27%
15 BROU Inkosi - 1% 10% 29% 37% 20% 4%
16 NOURELDIN Gabriel - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
17 SHANKWILER Christopher - 5% 25% 38% 24% 7% 1%
18 TAO Jeffrey - - 2% 11% 32% 40% 16%
19 DENG Andrew - - - 2% 13% 41% 44%
20 HUANG Tom - 2% 13% 30% 34% 18% 3%
20 KIM ELIJAH - 1% 9% 25% 36% 24% 6%
22 ROE Finnegan - 4% 18% 33% 29% 12% 2%
23 SU Landon - 2% 9% 25% 34% 23% 6%
24 PATIL Aaryan A. - - 2% 11% 32% 39% 16%
25 MORRILL Justin - - 4% 19% 42% 35%
25 YE Eric - 6% 23% 39% 26% 6%
27 CRAIG Samuel - 4% 16% 32% 32% 14% 2%
28 FIELDS Matthew S. - 2% 10% 29% 37% 19% 3%
29 VO Minh Q. - 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 8%
30 ZENG Noah - 5% 20% 37% 29% 8%
31 FRANCOIS Alexander C. 1% 8% 25% 37% 23% 6% -
32 TIAGI Daniel 5% 23% 35% 26% 9% 2% -
33 MCCARTHY Gabriel - - 1% 7% 25% 43% 25%
34 QIU Nathan - - 2% 12% 30% 38% 18%
34 BYON Adrian - 2% 12% 29% 35% 18% 3%
36 CHEONG Heonjun - - 4% 18% 37% 31% 10%
37 HONG Steven - - 1% 8% 25% 41% 25%
37 HWANG Jayden - 4% 17% 33% 30% 13% 2%
39 PAN Alex - - 2% 13% 34% 37% 12%
40 LEE Aydan J. - - - 4% 20% 43% 32%
41 LUTHRA Arjun - 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 9%
42 HU Christopher - - 3% 16% 37% 35% 9%
43 LINDHOLM Oliver S. - - 3% 15% 37% 35% 10%
44 PATEL Rayn - 2% 12% 29% 35% 18% 3%
45 REN Richard - 2% 13% 33% 37% 15%
46 KALPATHY Rohit - 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
47 KUSHKOV Daniel - - 2% 13% 34% 38% 14%
48 CHAVES Matthew J. - - 2% 13% 33% 37% 15%
49 HAN Edward - - 6% 23% 38% 27% 7%
50 DEPEW Spencer - 4% 17% 33% 31% 14% 2%
51 KILARI Krish - 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 7%
52 MORALES Jonathan - 1% 7% 24% 37% 26% 6%
53 BUKOWSKI Broghan J. - 1% 11% 32% 36% 17% 3%
54 HOUTZ Jackson - - - 4% 18% 41% 37%
55 HOPPA Luke H. - 2% 13% 33% 34% 15% 2%
56 SO Preston 5% 22% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
57 ZHANG Yupeng 2% 14% 34% 33% 14% 3% -
58 HO Jacob 12% 42% 34% 11% 1% - -
58 NG Jonathan - 10% 34% 36% 16% 3% -
60 ANAND Rohan 1% 9% 27% 35% 22% 6% 1%
61 KATZ Ryan 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1%
62 COLE Alexander 1% 10% 29% 36% 19% 3%
63 GLOZMAN Justin - 1% 8% 25% 35% 24% 6%
64 ALMEDA Stanislav 44% 40% 14% 2% - - -
65 LIN Daniel - - 2% 9% 28% 40% 22%
66 SAHAY Kenji - 1% 9% 25% 36% 23% 6%
67 KANG evan R. - 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
68 RAMANAN Govind - 2% 10% 28% 35% 20% 4%
69 FIRSTMAN William B. - 2% 16% 36% 32% 12% 1%
70 OH Triton - - - 5% 23% 43% 28%
70 ZEWDA Kebron - 1% 5% 19% 34% 30% 11%
70 YAN Kevin 1% 10% 28% 34% 21% 6% 1%
73 GAO Albert - 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 9%
73 YAO JINCHENG - - 2% 10% 28% 40% 21%
75 STAMIS Kyle - 3% 15% 35% 33% 13% 2%
76 GREENBAUM Ian L. - 2% 13% 33% 36% 14%
77 WANG Justin - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
78 RAMANAN Jaisimh - 2% 10% 27% 36% 22% 5%
79 VARUKATTY-GAFOOR Sohil - 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 7%
80 WANG Nicolas - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
80 LI Yiwei - 1% 9% 27% 38% 22% 4%
82 YAN William - 6% 22% 35% 27% 9% 1%
83 BOSITA Carson - 5% 22% 39% 28% 7% 1%
84 MIYASAKI-CASTRO Masanobu - - 4% 20% 39% 29% 6%
85 LIN Maxim - 2% 12% 33% 36% 16% 2%
86 HUANG Connor 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
87 CHON Collin 3% 15% 32% 31% 15% 4% -
88 VAID Luke - 5% 24% 39% 26% 6% -
89 ANDRES Michael 3% 18% 35% 31% 12% 1%
90 CHEONG Heonjae - 1% 7% 26% 42% 24%
91 CHAN Henry 9% 30% 37% 19% 4% - -
92 BONSELL Vance - 5% 18% 33% 30% 12% 2%
93 DEKA Tanush 5% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
94 ZHOU Aeres Z. - 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 7%
95 MUNGUIA Nathan 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 5% -
96 CHUNG Connor - 2% 14% 34% 34% 15% 2%
97 YOUNG Nash - - - 2% 15% 45% 38%
98 EPSTEIN Oliver D. 1% 6% 21% 35% 27% 10% 1%
98 CHEN Jonathan 1% 14% 32% 33% 16% 4% -
100 LOPEZ Lucas M. - 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
101 LIN Philip T. 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
102 GONG Jerry - 2% 10% 29% 37% 19% 3%
103 SUGIURA Samuel 1% 8% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1%
104 ZHOU William 7% 35% 38% 16% 3% - -
105 POFF Kainoa 5% 24% 39% 25% 7% 1%
106 LIN Steve 6% 26% 38% 23% 6% 1%
107 EYBELMAN Ariel 1% 8% 25% 34% 24% 8% 1%
108 ZHOU James Y. 2% 15% 36% 33% 13% 2% -
109 HOTHA Nikhil 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
110 HUNG Samuel 2% 19% 38% 30% 9% 1% -
111 WU Richard 1% 13% 32% 33% 16% 4% -
112 BYON Julian 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 3% -
112 LIN Felix 8% 31% 37% 19% 4% - -
114 ONG Dylan 26% 43% 24% 6% 1% - -
115 DOWNEY Baran 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
116 BELL III Alfred (Tripp) R. 1% 7% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
117 SMINK Oliver 6% 24% 35% 24% 9% 2% -
118 ZHANG Ethan W. 4% 21% 36% 28% 10% 1%
119 TIAGI George 34% 42% 19% 4% - -
120 GILSHTEYN Jacob 3% 20% 36% 28% 11% 2% -
121 BOUKHTIN Maxim 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 5% -
122 TASIKAS Stylianos 1% 9% 27% 35% 22% 6% 1%
123 EDELMAN Seth A. - 3% 14% 30% 32% 16% 3%
124 JAIN Aniket 1% 8% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
125 TSAO Alister 30% 50% 17% 2% - - -
126 SCHIMEL Luke 73% 24% 2% - - - -
127 ETIN Ari 1% 8% 26% 35% 22% 7% 1%
128 MARGULIS Jared 22% 39% 28% 9% 2% - -
129 TSAO Oliver 8% 32% 36% 18% 5% 1% -
130 MATTOO Surya 7% 31% 37% 20% 5% 1% -
131 XU Justin 29% 42% 22% 6% 1% - -
132 WILKINSON James 24% 43% 26% 7% 1% -
133 MAHAPATRA SAMARTH 4% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
134 LAUB William 14% 37% 33% 13% 3% - -
135 REHM Liam 8% 49% 33% 9% 1% - -
136 CHABENAT Guillaume 1% 10% 32% 37% 17% 3% -
137 DE SOUZA CABRERO Yorrick 15% 37% 33% 13% 2% - -
138 ZHU Charlie - 3% 16% 32% 32% 15% 2%
139 GAUVEY Kieran 1% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
140 JENSBY Jason - 6% 28% 39% 21% 5% -
141 MANESCU Miron 26% 41% 25% 7% 1% - -
142 BONETTI Brayden 4% 18% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
142 WANG Weiyun 11% 33% 35% 16% 4% - -
144 CHOKSI Vihaan 19% 40% 30% 10% 2% -
145 OTT Alexander 13% 36% 34% 14% 3% -
146 ZHENG LEON 19% 38% 30% 12% 2% - -
147 DUDNICK Christian - 5% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2%
148 DECK Tyson 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
149 FREDRICK Jameer 3% 22% 37% 27% 10% 2% -
150 GUREVICH Benjamin 3% 21% 40% 27% 8% 1% -
151 ANAND Rishab 5% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1% -
152 TUNG Ryan 3% 23% 40% 26% 7% 1% -
153 SEETHAMRAJU Pranay 42% 46% 11% 1% - - -
154 PARCELL Colby 59% 33% 7% 1% - - -
155 KIARA Kinoti 43% 40% 14% 2% - - -
156 MAY Griffin M. - 5% 20% 34% 28% 10% 1%
156 LIGH Checed 35% 42% 19% 4% - - -
158 VELTZ Tyler J. 17% 40% 31% 10% 1% -
159 NOTOPRADONO Nicholas 29% 41% 23% 7% 1% - -
160 SHANKAR Karthik 11% 34% 35% 16% 4% - -
160 FERGUSON Constantine 16% 40% 31% 11% 2% - -
162 GUREVICH Savely 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
163 CRAIN Bennett 50% 39% 10% 1% - - -
164 BREUER Daniel 37% 42% 18% 3% - - -
164 FANG Eason 8% 48% 34% 9% 1% - -
166 KUSANAGI Soshi 15% 37% 33% 13% 2% - -
166 KOTVALI Aneesh 60% 32% 7% 1% - - -
166 AHLMAN Jason 56% 36% 8% 1% - - -
166 KMETA-SUAREZ Graysen 59% 33% 7% 1% - - -
170 HARRINGTON Connor 56% 34% 9% 1% - - -
171 HUTTON Sawyer 79% 20% 1% - - - -
171 SZULIM Lucjan 56% 35% 8% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.