National Championships & July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Div I-A Men's Foil

Wednesday, July 5, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Phoenix Convention Center - Phoenix, AZ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HUANG Dongrong 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 57%
2 SULLIVAN Jackson R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 23%
3 KAO Castor T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 50%
3 LEWIS Paul D. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 23%
5 RUSADZE Nickolas 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 34%
6 MITBERG Gregory W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 64%
7 DESANDO Michael R. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 9%
8 JAIN Aditya 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 9%
9 MIN Eric 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 23% 4%
10 LEE Chris 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 17%
11 DESHMUKH Arjun 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
12 LIN James G. 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
13 ADLER David R. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
14 LIN Michael 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 12% 1%
15 SCHULZE-KALT Graydon L. 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
16 SHA Yi Peng 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9%
17 BURKE Spencer W. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 50%
18 SONG Leonardo T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 37%
19 SONG Aiden S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 30%
20 DETERING Julian 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 37% 8%
21 GUTIERREZ Nikolai A. 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
22 ELWOOD Sebastian F. 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
23 AHN Jun 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
24 LOVE Aaron 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 10% 1%
25 PO Oliver 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 6%
26 MATSAKH Philip 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4% -
27 JAUME Andrei 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 12% 1%
28 OH SEAN 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5%
29 LI Arvin 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5%
30 MARTIN IV Elmer D. 100% 99% 89% 59% 22% 3%
31 KIM Jackson 100% 98% 83% 50% 18% 3%
32 DOCTOR Aidan L. 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
33 KIM Ryan Y. 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 10%
34 TRAUGOT Owen G. 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8%
35 SEZER Kaya 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 13%
36 JITTAN daniel 100% 100% 99% 89% 64% 28% 5%
37 STRUGAR Marcus A. 100% 99% 89% 64% 29% 7% 1%
37 CANLAS Nathan 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 5%
39 WANG Winston 100% 97% 72% 31% 6% -
40 JI Aidan Y. 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 7% 1%
40 NGUYEN Martin 100% 96% 79% 45% 15% 2% -
42 BELLUOMO David C. 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 49% 14%
43 LE Jacob W. 100% 98% 85% 56% 23% 5% -
44 BALL James T. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 16%
45 XIAO EDWARD 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 33%
46 CHENG Nathan 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 9%
47 LEE Jonah 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2%
48 KNIZHNIK David 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 13%
49 DESAI Nalin H. 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
50 QIAN Jason H. 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 13% 2%
50 SICHITIU Alexander 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 7%
52 YU Anders 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
53 FORTUNE Alexander J. 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5%
54 SHAGIDANYAN German 100% 97% 78% 44% 15% 3% -
55 SIMA Congyu Josh 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 15% 2%
55 WU Alistair 100% 91% 63% 27% 7% 1% -
57 CHENG Jonathan 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4% -
58 LEE Jacob 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 1%
59 BARTEL Jacob L. 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 15% 2%
60 LOCKWOOD Owen 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
60 GRANT Lachlan K. 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 32% 4%
62 MIALL Steven A. 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 7%
63 AUGUSTINE Aaron A. 100% 97% 80% 46% 14% 1%
64 ACHILOV Sayid 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4%
65 GUERRA Gabriel H. 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 5%
66 COSTELLO Chaissen F. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
67 WOO Christian 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 35% 8%
68 CO Dylan 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 5% -
69 BING Charles 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 21%
69 WANG Mason 100% 98% 85% 51% 18% 3% -
71 PYO Michael M. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 16%
72 GRISWOLD Abel B. 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 18% 2%
73 RUFFNER Blake W. 100% 100% 99% 88% 60% 24% 4%
74 KEE Andrew L. 100% 100% 98% 85% 49% 12%
75 GAO William 100% 99% 84% 47% 12% 1%
76 SEAL Maximus R. 100% 95% 70% 32% 7% 1%
77 SAGE Michael P. 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4%
78 DINSAY Kristjan 100% 94% 68% 31% 7% 1%
79 WILLIAMS Connor J. 100% 100% 95% 75% 42% 13% 2%
80 ELKOUSY Laith H. 100% 100% 98% 89% 65% 30% 6%
81 BAE Kevin 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 20%
82 JOSEPH Willem 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 18% 3%
83 ROSE Ben 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10%
84 MEJIA MATTHEW D. 100% 100% 94% 74% 41% 13% 2%
85 OH Jaden 100% 97% 78% 44% 15% 3% -
86 LLIDO Soren 100% 98% 82% 46% 15% 3% -
87 TSAO Lukas 100% 98% 85% 52% 18% 3% -
88 LI Matthew 100% 89% 56% 20% 4% -
89 WONG Garrick G. 100% 100% 98% 82% 44% 9%
90 MOORE Jeremy S. 100% 100% 98% 86% 50% 11%
91 VALOUEV Aleksey 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 7%
92 MCCOSH Evin M. 100% 89% 57% 22% 4% -
93 LEE Eugene 100% 72% 27% 5% - -
94 KITAGAWA Eric S. 100% 91% 61% 24% 5% -
95 KLOTZ Isaiah 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 4% -
96 TIKHAEV Alexander 100% 97% 76% 39% 10% 1% -
97 DOBBINS Evan W. 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 35% 6%
97 HOBSON Aaron K. 100% 98% 84% 52% 20% 4% -
99 LI Eric 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 9%
100 GONG Benjamin 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8%
101 HOSKERI Anik S. 100% 98% 84% 52% 20% 4% -
102 SCHLESINGER Nathan 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 15%
103 FINNEY Lorenz 100% 90% 60% 24% 5% 1% -
103 WANG Brian 100% 89% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
105 GUO Sean 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 3% -
106 KIM Daniel Y. 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% - -
107 MAO Lucas 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% -
108 PAI Lakshan K. 100% 96% 76% 42% 13% 2%
109 DIERKS Kian 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 43% 11%
110 SUNG Chang-Han S. 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 4%
111 KRYLTSOV Michael 100% 100% 93% 69% 33% 9% 1%
112 MORROW Brenden 100% 92% 62% 27% 7% 1% -
113 TEMPLE Jackson 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 16% 2%
114 CORTRIGHT Joshua C. 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% - -
115 TANG Albert 100% 99% 88% 59% 25% 6% 1%
116 RASMUSSEN Sage 100% 97% 74% 34% 9% 1% -
116 YAO Bradley 100% 82% 45% 15% 3% - -
118 GRIFFIN John O. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 35%
119 STACKHOUSE Andre L. 100% 97% 78% 41% 12% 2% -
120 KHER Roan 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -
120 HUANG Eythan 100% 97% 72% 32% 8% 1% -
122 WU Trevor 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 4% -
122 MCISAAC Finn 100% 96% 72% 35% 10% 1% -
124 GOBBO Alexander 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 4% -
125 LONG Quinton R. 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 27% 5%
125 FINLEY Dylan 100% 96% 74% 38% 11% 2% -
127 LING Eddie 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
128 CORTRIGHT Skipper 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
129 ANDRIC Borna 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% - -
130 WILKINS Mateo 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
131 CAPRA Ethan 100% 71% 30% 7% 1% - -
132 DRESSEL Jet 100% 92% 66% 31% 9% 1% -
133 EDWARDS Maxon 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% - -
134 LEVY Jacob 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% - -
135 MA Andrew 100% 98% 78% 38% 9% 1%
136 EDISON Ansel 100% 80% 37% 8% 1% -
137 SMITH Erick 100% 94% 65% 24% 4% -
137 KIM Adrian 100% 78% 36% 9% 1% -
139 ORLOV Dmitriy 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% -
140 LEUNG Chu Ming Aiden 100% 96% 76% 42% 13% 2% -
141 PAN Henry 100% 98% 79% 42% 13% 2% -
142 LAM Nicolas 100% 61% 20% 4% - - -
143 QUINONES Diego A. 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 10% 1%
144 WOJCIECHOWSKI Matthew N. 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% 1%
144 GUO Justin 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
146 SCHEUERMANN Andrew G. 100% 95% 73% 37% 11% 2% -
146 ANDERSON Jacob 100% 87% 51% 16% 3% - -
148 PALMA Matthew Dominic 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 4% -
148 YAP Nathan 100% 95% 69% 31% 8% 1% -
150 JIANG Bowang 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% - -
151 TONKOVICH Ryan 100% 75% 30% 6% 1% - -
152 SANTIAGO Elias 100% 77% 37% 11% 2% - -
153 TALASILA Arush 100% 65% 24% 5% 1% - -
154 LIPPMAN Sam 100% 95% 72% 36% 11% 2% -
155 LYNCH Owen C. 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% - -
156 SINHA Verdhaan 100% 82% 42% 11% 1% - -
157 SONG Austin 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% -
158 SETLUR Bhrugu 100% 83% 43% 12% 2% -
159 LI Avery Peihong 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1%
160 KLYCZEK Andrew 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% -
161 TANG August L. 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 2% -
162 LIU William 100% 68% 27% 6% 1% - -
163 CHEZ Nolan 100% 55% 16% 2% - - -
164 JEFFERY Jakob 100% 71% 26% 5% - - -
164 SURESH Rohan 100% 32% 4% - - - -
166 GORDON William L. 100% 57% 16% 2% - - -
167 LEE Jayden 100% 37% 6% - - -
168 BAI Brian 100% 36% 6% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.