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National Championships & July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Div II Men's Épée

Wednesday, July 5, 2023 at 3:00 PM

Phoenix Convention Center - Phoenix, AZ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MAO Benjamin - - 2% 11% 30% 39% 18%
2 SNELL John B. - - 1% 6% 22% 41% 30%
3 CHEN Brian - 1% 8% 22% 34% 26% 8%
3 CHOI Zachary - 3% 13% 32% 35% 15% 2%
5 LONGSTREET Jeffrey - - 2% 12% 31% 37% 17%
6 ZONE Liam - - 1% 5% 22% 43% 29%
7 ZHOU Stanley Q. - 1% 8% 30% 42% 19%
8 YANG Zeph - 4% 16% 30% 30% 16% 3%
9 LEE Bryson 4% 16% 31% 30% 15% 4% -
10 SMITH Troy H. - 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2%
11 ROTHKA Spencer J. - 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2%
12 WU Colin 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
13 CHUNG Yeongbin - 1% 5% 16% 32% 33% 14%
14 BEALS Alden 1% 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
15 CARNALL Hunter 16% 37% 32% 13% 3% - -
16 CHEN Bowen 5% 25% 38% 24% 7% 1% -
17 JU Hanul 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
18 HAN Lawrence - - 4% 15% 32% 34% 14%
19 GLENNON Sebastian J. - 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
20 LAURIMAA Emil 3% 15% 30% 31% 17% 5% 1%
21 SINHA Zaan - 2% 12% 27% 33% 20% 5%
22 WIEGAND-SHAHANI Braden M. 1% 8% 22% 32% 25% 10% 2%
23 TOMASZEWSKI Joshua 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 8% 1%
24 YAKIMENKO Andrei - 1% 7% 25% 42% 25%
25 LIU Yikun 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3%
26 HENTOSH Pierce - - - 2% 12% 39% 47%
27 GRAY Connor W. - 1% 5% 20% 39% 30% 6%
28 LAI Boden - 2% 9% 23% 34% 25% 7%
29 PRIHODKO Andrew - - 4% 17% 38% 33% 8%
30 GOING Nicholas (Nick) S. - - 1% 6% 22% 41% 30%
31 SNYDER Ari 2% 12% 27% 32% 20% 6% 1%
32 GIOVAGNOLI Nolan - 5% 17% 32% 30% 14% 2%
33 DORASZELSKI Mark - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 5%
33 KENT V David - 4% 15% 30% 31% 16% 3%
33 FU Jason 1% 8% 22% 32% 25% 10% 2%
36 UPSHAW Micah - 1% 8% 23% 36% 26% 6%
37 ZHANG ethan - 2% 9% 23% 34% 25% 7%
38 SVERDLOV Seth - - 3% 15% 33% 35% 14%
39 EVERETT Taiger - 1% 5% 19% 34% 30% 10%
40 EMMERT JP 1% 9% 25% 34% 22% 8% 1%
41 HU Robert J. - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
42 DAO Alexander 1% 6% 20% 32% 28% 12% 2%
43 MEGGERS Davin - 3% 14% 29% 32% 18% 4%
44 CHAN Matthew - - 3% 17% 41% 39%
45 CONKLIN Jim - 1% 7% 26% 43% 24%
46 SIMPSON Patrick - - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13%
47 GULLO Kenji Y. - - - 4% 17% 41% 38%
48 COETZEE Frans M. - 1% 5% 18% 33% 31% 12%
49 BLACK Zachary 7% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
50 WANG Tristan - - 1% 9% 28% 41% 21%
51 KRAVETZ Benjamin (Ben) D. - - 3% 12% 30% 37% 18%
52 WONG Ethan 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
52 CHUNG Joshua - 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
54 NALBANDIAN VAHAN P. 3% 14% 29% 31% 18% 5% 1%
55 OSTIGUY Cameron - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
56 FU Ethan 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 2%
57 SONG Troy 3% 14% 30% 31% 17% 5% 1%
58 CHEN Bailey 1% 8% 25% 34% 24% 8% 1%
59 BENFORD Kailan - - 2% 10% 28% 39% 22%
60 ASGARALLY Anthony 3% 14% 30% 31% 17% 5% -
61 CHEN Steve 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
62 REPIC Oliver 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% 1%
63 CROSSMAN Brandon 1% 7% 21% 33% 26% 10% 1%
64 BAXTER David 2% 15% 32% 31% 15% 4% -
65 JOHNSON Ryder 2% 13% 31% 32% 17% 4% < 1%
66 PETERSON Matthew - 4% 16% 31% 30% 15% 3%
67 PARCELEWICZ John M. 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5%
68 MARRAN Erik R. - 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7%
69 PACK Tanner D. - - 1% 5% 19% 40% 35%
70 SIYANKO Joshua - 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
71 LIU Jeremiah W. 14% 34% 32% 15% 4% 1% -
72 REDDY Arya 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
73 BUI Henry 1% 6% 19% 32% 28% 13% 2%
74 SHULKIN Mark 6% 22% 33% 25% 10% 2% -
75 PATEL Kushal 1% 9% 25% 33% 23% 8% 1%
75 SOBESHKEVYCH ROMAN - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
77 PEÑA Ethan - 4% 15% 29% 31% 17% 4%
78 LIU Yueri 9% 30% 36% 19% 5% -
79 ZEBROSE Cordell B. - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
80 MAYCHROWITZ Matt - 2% 11% 31% 38% 17%
81 DADE MAXIMUS 12% 36% 34% 15% 3% -
82 VALAYANNOPOULOS Nicolas - 4% 16% 30% 31% 15% 3%
83 ROMANOV Ethan 1% 9% 23% 32% 24% 10% 2%
84 DAVIS Jonah - 2% 10% 26% 34% 22% 6%
85 KIM Andrew J. - 1% 8% 23% 34% 26% 8%
86 SHIRLEY Kai 7% 25% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
87 STEPHENS Corbin - 1% 7% 21% 34% 28% 9%
88 KIM Teo 9% 28% 34% 20% 7% 1% -
89 VENET Téva - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
90 CHAO Warren 6% 23% 34% 25% 10% 2% -
91 MEN Junda 1% 9% 25% 33% 23% 8% 1%
92 PAHLAVI Kamran - 2% 9% 23% 34% 25% 8%
93 ROBINS Brennan - - 3% 15% 35% 35% 12%
94 BLAKESLEE Garrett H. 5% 20% 32% 27% 12% 3% -
95 XIE Brandon 3% 16% 31% 30% 16% 4% -
96 SMOTROFF Joshua L. - - 4% 15% 33% 34% 13%
97 JONES Dominic R. - 2% 10% 25% 34% 23% 6%
98 RITTERSHAUS Bryce 24% 41% 26% 8% 1% -
99 JIANG ryan 1% 9% 29% 37% 20% 4%
100 PARK Augustine - 6% 23% 37% 27% 7%
101 MIAO KUNQI 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
102 BAILEY David 1% 8% 27% 39% 22% 4%
103 PENG Gregory 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 4%
104 LI Yunji (Rain) 12% 35% 35% 16% 3% -
105 SHAFRITZ Noah 3% 14% 30% 31% 17% 5% 1%
106 GUAN Nathan 1% 5% 17% 30% 30% 15% 3%
107 JACKSON Thomas 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
108 CHRISTIAN John R. - 2% 11% 30% 37% 18% 3%
108 LEE Aiden 2% 12% 28% 33% 20% 6% -
110 CHANG Henry - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
111 ZHENG Jerry - 4% 14% 29% 31% 17% 4%
112 TORRES Gianni 2% 12% 28% 32% 20% 6% 1%
113 GOESLING Jonathan 2% 10% 26% 32% 22% 7% 1%
114 KENT IV David 2% 10% 26% 32% 22% 7% 1%
114 ZHANG Roland 7% 24% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
116 SINGH Ravin 8% 30% 38% 20% 4% -
117 ZELIN Sam J. 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
118 HULL Liam 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
119 CROUCH William John (John) - 5% 22% 37% 28% 8%
120 SLOUGH Sean - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
121 NOFZIGER Bennett 8% 27% 34% 22% 8% 1% -
122 DANIELS Jonah 9% 27% 34% 21% 7% 1% -
123 RACHEL Dylan - 2% 11% 26% 33% 22% 6%
123 ALLEY Everett T 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 7% 1%
125 FAN Yuchen 13% 34% 33% 16% 4% - -
126 UVAROV Andrii - 1% 7% 21% 34% 28% 9%
126 WILLIAMS Timothy 1% 5% 18% 31% 29% 14% 3%
128 CHOI San 1% 5% 21% 35% 28% 9% 1%
129 WU Eric 3% 18% 35% 31% 12% 2%
130 SANTOS Felipe 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
131 GARCIA-CABRERA Jeffrey 43% 41% 14% 2% - -
132 HENSLEY Roran 1% 9% 28% 36% 21% 4%
133 CHU Brandon A. 1% 9% 25% 33% 23% 8% 1%
134 DELISLE Jonas P. 1% 9% 25% 33% 23% 8% 1%
134 MENDOZA Zandro 1% 5% 17% 31% 29% 14% 3%
136 PAULSEN Zachary - 3% 14% 29% 32% 18% 4%
137 AGARWAL Adheesh 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% 1%
138 NALLAMSHETTY Ayan - 4% 18% 34% 29% 12% 2%
139 ALI Farhan 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% 1%
140 JENNINGS Adin - 5% 17% 31% 30% 14% 3%
141 HANNON Owen 1% 9% 23% 32% 24% 9% 2%
141 TUSANTOSO McKenzie 8% 27% 34% 22% 8% 1% -
143 ELTERMAN Lev - 4% 15% 29% 31% 17% 4%
144 MOHAMED Sabir 41% 40% 15% 3% - - -
145 SHILOV Maxim 10% 33% 36% 17% 4% - -
146 PATCHETT Bennett 5% 21% 34% 27% 10% 2% -
147 DURHAM Porter 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
148 VILLAREAL Quentin 2% 13% 32% 35% 16% 3%
149 KIM Joshua 33% 42% 20% 5% - -
150 COCHRAN Michael - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
150 CHU Allan - 2% 12% 32% 37% 16%
152 CHUNG Andrew 2% 17% 36% 31% 12% 2%
153 JAIN Samyak 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% -
154 PATEL Shloke 10% 35% 36% 15% 3% -
155 CARR Cage 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
156 SEBASTIAN Alexander P. - 4% 16% 30% 30% 16% 3%
157 CHOU Benson 7% 24% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
158 JAMES Lonnie M. - 1% 7% 21% 33% 28% 9%
159 MALLON Jaxson 9% 28% 34% 21% 7% 1% -
159 COHEN Nathan 22% 38% 27% 10% 2% - -
161 JACKSON Nicholas 14% 34% 33% 15% 4% - -
162 RUSSELL James 5% 26% 38% 23% 7% 1% -
163 IFORD Andrew W. 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
163 KUBATIN Anton V. 1% 7% 21% 34% 27% 9% 1%
165 NAZARIAN Jonah 2% 11% 26% 32% 21% 7% 1%
165 JOHNSON Jay - 3% 14% 29% 32% 17% 4%
167 WONG King-Yee 7% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
168 O'HARROW Tristan C. - 1% 5% 17% 33% 32% 12%
169 FUSSMAN Yuval 4% 18% 32% 29% 14% 3% -
170 KRUGER Mark 1% 6% 19% 31% 28% 13% 2%
171 ZOGRAFOS Nicholas 30% 41% 22% 6% 1% - -
172 COLLINS Vernon 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
173 SMITH Charles 1% 5% 17% 31% 30% 14% 2%
174 CAFASSO martin - 3% 16% 34% 34% 13%
175 POHL Philip 60% 33% 7% 1% - -
176 RIVERA Louis 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% -
177 AJAYI Phil 1% 8% 27% 38% 22% 4%
178 CHEN Leonardo 7% 29% 39% 21% 4% -
179 MALAHOWSKI Patrick 36% 43% 18% 3% - -
180 MARSHALL William L. 1% 10% 28% 36% 20% 4%
181 DAN Rex 3% 17% 32% 30% 15% 3% -
182 MCADOO Declan - 2% 9% 24% 35% 24% 6%
183 PARKS Isaac 5% 21% 33% 27% 12% 3% -
184 BUCCELLATO Joel S. 1% 9% 24% 32% 23% 9% 1%
184 FULLERTON Joshua D. - 2% 10% 25% 34% 23% 6%
186 JANYSKA Allen 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
187 PAINTER Noah 21% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
188 CHESNEY Aiden R. 1% 7% 21% 32% 26% 11% 2%
189 SAKO Ayrton J. - 2% 10% 26% 34% 22% 6%
190 SO Lorenzo 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 5% -
191 BRUNDAGE Nevan 17% 35% 30% 14% 3% - -
192 MCMAHAN Christopher D. 9% 38% 35% 14% 3% - -
193 REAGAN Henry 5% 21% 33% 27% 12% 3% -
194 FESTIN Michael G. 10% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
195 PALAMARCHUK Matthew 3% 17% 32% 29% 15% 4% -
196 GOROZA Eric 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
196 TIEMANN Landen 2% 14% 32% 33% 15% 3% -
198 ILYAS Zakariya 1% 8% 24% 33% 24% 9% 1%
198 LOMIO Nicholas A. 22% 39% 27% 10% 2% - -
200 WEGENER Soren 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2% -
201 PABLO Jesse 1% 6% 19% 32% 28% 12% 2%
201 HERRON Jonathan 50% 38% 11% 1% - - -
203 KELBLEY Jay 26% 40% 24% 7% 1% - -
204 HOFFMANN Matthew 2% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
205 SOLONOVICH Maksim 2% 18% 38% 30% 11% 2% -
206 SHEN Jiayi 28% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
207 ZIMINSKY Karel M. 6% 27% 37% 23% 6% 1%
208 O'BRIEN Eoin J. < 1% 3% 16% 35% 33% 11%
209 MISHRA Milan B. 10% 29% 33% 20% 7% 1% -
210 KORTZ Austin < 1% 2% 10% 25% 34% 23% 6%
211 MARKOWITZ William M. 4% 19% 32% 28% 13% 3% -
212 MASK Austin 11% 32% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
213 CHOI David 26% 41% 24% 7% 1% - -
214 MARSH Alex 10% 29% 33% 20% 6% 1% -
215 RAPALSKI Thomas 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
215 CHANDLER Cory 44% 39% 14% 2% - - -
217 GATHRIGHT Anthony 25% 41% 25% 8% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.