The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Take Action

National Championships & July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Y-14 Men's Foil

Friday, July 7, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Phoenix Convention Center - Phoenix, AZ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 YANG Luao - - - - - 2% 98%
2 LIN Michael - - - - 4% 29% 66%
3 TRAUGOT Owen G. - - - - 5% 32% 63%
3 SISINNI Riccardo - - - - 1% 15% 84%
5 MIN Eric - - - 1% 7% 34% 58%
6 TIYA BIAYA K. - - - - 4% 26% 69%
7 QIAN Jason H. - - - 1% 11% 39% 49%
8 TANG Owen S. - - - - 1% 16% 83%
9 NGUYEN Martin - - - 3% 17% 42% 37%
10 LEE Jonah - - - 1% 12% 43% 44%
11 LIN James G. - - - - 2% 20% 78%
12 HUANG Eythan - - - 2% 15% 43% 40%
13 LIU Derek - - - - 6% 32% 62%
14 WONG Garrick G. - - - 1% 8% 36% 56%
15 EDWARDS Maxon - - 3% 14% 34% 38% 11%
16 LI Matthew - - - - 3% 25% 72%
17 XU Andy P. - - - 4% 19% 41% 35%
17 CO Dylan - - - 1% 7% 34% 58%
19 CORTRIGHT Skipper - - 1% 5% 22% 43% 30%
19 SRINIVASAN Vedant - - 1% 9% 36% 41% 12%
21 WU Alber Y. - - 4% 23% 44% 29%
21 TAN Aidan - - 5% 25% 47% 23%
23 MORROW Brenden - - 2% 10% 31% 40% 17%
24 GUO Justin - - - 5% 27% 47% 20%
25 LEE Christopher T. - - - 2% 16% 44% 38%
26 YAO Bradley - - 3% 16% 39% 34% 9%
27 LING Eddie - - - 2% 13% 40% 45%
28 LEE Brendan - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
29 CHEN Hanson - 1% 7% 26% 42% 22% 2%
30 DINSAY Kristjan - - - 1% 13% 44% 41%
31 DOELL Ethan - - 3% 15% 36% 37% 10%
32 KAPOOR Aayan - 1% 7% 25% 39% 24% 5%
33 PARK Steve (Sangmin) - - 6% 25% 42% 24% 3%
34 GUERRA Gabriel H. - - - 2% 15% 45% 38%
35 CANLAS Nathan - - - - 2% 20% 78%
36 FUKUDA Diego - - - 1% 9% 37% 53%
37 DESHMUKH Arjun - - - - 1% 22% 76%
38 ALLEN Henry G. - - 2% 13% 33% 38% 14%
38 AKYAMAC Bora - - 3% 17% 38% 34% 7%
38 PONS Diego - - 2% 13% 35% 38% 11%
38 SONG Noel - - - 2% 15% 48% 34%
42 ZHANG Aaron - - - 4% 22% 46% 27%
43 TANG August L. - - - 4% 18% 42% 36%
44 PARRISH Evan - - 1% 8% 30% 43% 18%
45 LIU Ethan - - 5% 24% 44% 27%
46 MATSAKH Philip - - - 1% 13% 42% 44%
47 NICOLETTI Luca - - - 2% 13% 41% 44%
47 BIELER Mason - - 6% 28% 43% 22% 1%
49 ROZALSKI Eli - 2% 11% 33% 36% 16% 2%
50 SENIC Lucas - - - 2% 13% 41% 45%
51 LO Preston - - 5% 18% 35% 31% 11%
52 TANG Albert - - - 5% 25% 45% 24%
53 SHAO Eric - 1% 8% 24% 36% 24% 6%
53 SHENG Dalton - 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
55 LU Nathan - 5% 25% 39% 24% 6% -
56 MAO Lucas - - 6% 27% 45% 22%
57 DERRICK Blake - - - 2% 15% 47% 35%
58 CHENG Logan - 4% 18% 35% 31% 11% 1%
58 PARK Rion - - 4% 18% 39% 33% 6%
60 KIM Brian - - 5% 22% 43% 26% 3%
61 LI Richard - 5% 22% 42% 27% 5% -
62 TULYAG Azim - 6% 27% 42% 22% 3%
63 ARIZA Abraham J. - 2% 12% 29% 34% 18% 4%
64 TOOMRE Kai 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 7% 1%
65 TANG Terry - 1% 7% 25% 39% 24% 4%
66 GULCHIN Mark (Yerma) - - 4% 22% 45% 29%
67 WONG Evan - 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
68 SAH Steven - 1% 8% 33% 41% 16% 2%
69 STRINGER David - - 1% 5% 23% 43% 28%
70 SIMONOV Timofey - - 1% 9% 33% 42% 15%
71 JURMAN Therin - 5% 22% 38% 28% 6% -
72 VADEN Oliver - - 2% 10% 30% 40% 17%
73 XU Ethan - - 5% 24% 44% 23% 3%
74 WU Lucas - - 2% 15% 40% 36% 6%
75 LI Samuel - - 1% 7% 26% 42% 24%
76 GRIFFITH MCALLISTER Thomas - - 4% 19% 42% 32% 3%
77 LI Aaron - - - 5% 25% 48% 22%
77 ZHAO Nathan - - 4% 18% 40% 33% 5%
77 TALASILA Arush - - 1% 9% 32% 42% 15%
80 LI Bradley - - 3% 16% 33% 34% 13%
81 CHUN Dashel 3% 18% 36% 30% 11% 2% -
82 JIANG Bowang - - 5% 23% 42% 26% 5%
83 ZHEN Ethan - - 4% 23% 45% 27%
84 FENG Michael 1% 8% 27% 39% 22% 4%
85 PALMA Nathan Anthony - 3% 26% 43% 23% 4%
86 LU Kevin - 1% 5% 18% 35% 32% 9%
87 RASMUSSEN Sage - - - 3% 20% 47% 30%
88 LE Jacob H. - - 4% 16% 35% 34% 10%
89 WONG Jackson - - 2% 14% 37% 38% 8%
90 KIM Daniel Y. - - 2% 14% 41% 35% 8%
91 CHENG Ethan - 3% 14% 33% 35% 13% 2%
92 ZENG Rick - 1% 8% 28% 42% 20% 1%
92 KIM Jonah - 6% 26% 39% 23% 5% -
94 YI William - - 1% 5% 21% 43% 31%
95 YANG Dylan - 3% 17% 35% 31% 11% 1%
96 MOE Annan - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
97 CHEN Matthew - 7% 29% 39% 21% 4% -
97 DESERANNO Leander - - 4% 20% 40% 30% 5%
99 HARROCH Faustin 12% 38% 34% 14% 3% - -
100 SHANNON Jack 4% 19% 36% 29% 10% 2% -
101 SURESH Rohan 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2% -
102 SHAPIRO Leon - 1% 9% 27% 39% 21% 3%
102 WHITE Orlando - 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 9%
104 HOLLIS Sean 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1% -
105 GERRISH William - 3% 15% 36% 35% 11%
106 TANG Alexander L. - 3% 17% 39% 32% 8%
107 CHOI Ethan - 1% 9% 32% 41% 17%
108 WANG Brian - 1% 10% 33% 41% 15%
109 AGRAWAL Niki 4% 23% 42% 25% 6% -
110 SUAREZ Adrian - - 4% 24% 46% 25%
111 ZHANG Jacob - 4% 19% 34% 29% 11% 2%
112 CHOI Benjamin - 1% 10% 30% 37% 19% 3%
113 GHEDINI Luca - - - 5% 29% 54% 11%
114 ZHAO Adam - - - 3% 18% 42% 36%
115 BORG Matthew 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
116 NEICE William 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
117 ARAVINDAKSHA Ayaan 4% 24% 42% 25% 5% - -
117 QIU Zhaocheng - - 2% 11% 31% 39% 17%
119 GUTH Joseph - - 4% 20% 39% 29% 7%
119 PARK David 3% 20% 39% 29% 8% 1% -
121 UPENDER West 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
122 LING Carson Jr 8% 29% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
123 LIU William - 1% 7% 26% 39% 23% 4%
123 TONKOVICH Ryan - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
125 RODRIGUEZ Tyler - 4% 18% 35% 31% 11% 1%
126 MAVANI Krishna 4% 32% 40% 19% 4% - -
127 GE Daniel - 4% 21% 38% 28% 8% 1%
128 RIPA Joseph K. 5% 25% 38% 24% 7% 1% -
129 PARK Ryan - - 5% 22% 43% 30%
130 ZHONG Maxwell 1% 9% 27% 36% 21% 5% -
131 CHANG Jonathan - - 6% 30% 43% 20% 1%
132 JOHNSON Soren 11% 35% 35% 15% 3% < 1% -
133 MASSIMINO Andrew - 4% 20% 39% 28% 8% 1%
134 VANOYEN Dominick - - 4% 19% 42% 32% 3%
135 MARTIN Darius 1% 6% 21% 36% 29% 9% -
136 TWEMLOW Sacha - 2% 11% 31% 39% 17% 1%
137 LEE Jayden J. - 1% 8% 27% 39% 22% 3%
138 CHENG Austyn 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
139 BRAIZINHA Thomas - 5% 24% 39% 26% 6% -
139 WANDJI Noah 1% 7% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1%
141 MAZAHERI Fletcher 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
142 CHAN Joseph 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1%
142 BAI Austin 1% 11% 30% 35% 18% 4% -
144 THOMSON Hyrum 2% 17% 34% 31% 13% 3% -
145 WU Alistair - - 2% 15% 45% 37%
146 WONG Jacob W. 7% 31% 41% 19% 3% -
147 HE Kyle 1% 9% 31% 41% 17% 2%
148 ZHUANG Chuanxuan - 1% 11% 32% 37% 16% 2%
149 LINDEMANN Marc - 5% 21% 36% 28% 9% -
150 HICKEY Connor 2% 16% 36% 33% 12% 2% -
151 HOU Gaven - 5% 24% 44% 22% 4% -
152 RAJ Jay - 1% 5% 20% 38% 30% 7%
153 TAM Kyle 5% 27% 42% 22% 4% - -
154 LIU Josh 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
154 BAKER Ethan - 5% 30% 41% 20% 4% -
156 SION Andrew 11% 32% 35% 17% 4% - -
157 DHOKTE Neev 4% 19% 37% 29% 9% 1% -
158 HARRA Alexander 2% 15% 35% 34% 13% 2% -
158 ARCHIBALD Ian 25% 45% 25% 5% - - -
160 LAO Kevin 3% 17% 36% 31% 11% 2% -
161 SUAREZ David - 3% 16% 39% 34% 7% -
162 CHANG Nathan 12% 36% 36% 14% 2% - -
163 WANG Rory - 3% 17% 37% 32% 10% 1%
164 TSAY Jordan R. - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 2%
164 CHANG Jeremy - 6% 22% 36% 26% 8% 1%
166 ORNELAS Matteo 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
167 YANG Charles - 2% 11% 30% 38% 18% -
167 GONZALEZ Oliver 1% 7% 29% 41% 19% 3% -
167 FUKUDA Brando - 3% 17% 36% 33% 10% 1%
170 TAN Xinlai 1% 13% 35% 33% 14% 3% -
171 BLACK Zachary 1% 7% 25% 39% 24% 5% -
172 ZHOU Ryan 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
173 CHEN Ethan - 2% 12% 29% 36% 19% 2%
174 CHEN Leetyan - 6% 27% 39% 23% 5% -
175 ZHENG Marcus 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 8% 1%
176 BAI Brian - 7% 30% 38% 20% 4% -
177 XIE Jicheng 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% - -
178 TANG Royce - 5% 24% 40% 25% 6% -
179 ONG Nicholas 2% 18% 41% 30% 8% 1%
180 PARK William 5% 27% 42% 22% 4% -
181 CHOI Ethan - 5% 32% 41% 18% 3%
182 KETTELLE John - 3% 16% 39% 33% 9%
183 HE Bourne 22% 47% 25% 5% - -
184 WONG Braxton 39% 43% 15% 2% - -
185 GORDON William L. 2% 14% 35% 34% 14% 2%
186 FOY Grant 47% 40% 11% 1% - -
187 MARISI Gabriel 1% 9% 30% 39% 17% 3% -
188 SEMP Iain - 1% 11% 31% 37% 17% 3%
189 LEE Charles T 2% 16% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
190 LEE Eugene - 2% 10% 28% 38% 19% 3%
191 LOZANO Veyron Jericho 2% 14% 31% 33% 17% 3% -
191 KO Caleb 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
193 LU Alex 2% 13% 32% 33% 16% 4% -
193 YOON Aiden 1% 7% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1%
195 FEDELI Francesco - 2% 13% 34% 36% 15% 1%
196 FLANAGAN Miles 2% 17% 37% 31% 11% 2% -
197 NAIR Sujit 3% 21% 37% 28% 10% 1% -
198 ZAIDI Adil 7% 27% 37% 23% 6% 1% -
199 ZHOU Justin 1% 10% 35% 37% 15% 2% -
200 STAFFORD Gareth 10% 36% 41% 12% 1% - -
201 NOFZIGER Bennett - 6% 32% 40% 18% 3% -
202 ARCE Andrew W. 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
202 LORENZO Alejandro - 1% 6% 21% 38% 29% 5%
202 DAI Christopher 10% 31% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
205 CHO Xzander - 1% 10% 36% 38% 14% 2%
205 ZHOU Austin 12% 36% 35% 14% 2% - -
207 FLYNT Hayden 4% 21% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
208 YUE Jackson 2% 17% 37% 32% 11% 1% -
208 CHEN Kelton 2% 13% 31% 33% 16% 4% -
208 POLEPALLI Vinil 12% 35% 35% 15% 3% - -
211 HONG Edwin 16% 41% 32% 10% 1% - -
212 GOWDA Sumeru 12% 40% 38% 10% 1% - -
213 HOLCOMB Alexander 25% 42% 25% 7% 1% - -
214 KUNTSEVICH Ivan I. - 1% 11% 32% 38% 16% 2%
215 YU William 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2% -
216 KOE Beckett 5% 24% 37% 26% 7% 1% -
217 MANDZY Theodor - 2% 10% 29% 38% 20% 1%
218 DENG David - 5% 20% 35% 29% 10% 1%
219 CHUANG Oscar 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4% -
219 ABRAMKIN Tim 31% 43% 21% 4% - - -
219 GRIEB Oliver 1% 9% 28% 38% 20% 3% -
222 FERNANDEZ Rumi 28% 43% 23% 6% 1% - -
223 CLARK Benjamin 9% 32% 38% 17% 3% - -
224 SANDEEP Varun 5% 29% 45% 19% 3% - -
225 PETROV Mikhail 10% 37% 36% 15% 3% - -
226 DONG Joshua 39% 45% 15% 2% - -
227 WEISS Quintin 37% 43% 17% 3% - -
228 MOREA Anderson 26% 56% 17% 2% - -
229 MODADUGU Aryan 47% 41% 11% 1% - -
230 LI Allen - 4% 19% 37% 30% 10% 1%
231 HELMY Richard 13% 37% 34% 13% 2% - -
232 DUNLAP Ezra 3% 20% 36% 29% 11% 2% -
233 NISHIHIRA Tyler 25% 41% 26% 7% 1% - -
234 MANIKTALA Suvir 10% 33% 37% 16% 3% - -
235 HUA Aaron 6% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1% -
236 REN Ryan 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4% -
237 TAMIYA Masao 4% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
238 PARKER Isaiah - 1% 6% 30% 42% 20% 1%
239 XU Nathan 5% 24% 40% 24% 6% 1% -
240 FRASER Rhys 15% 39% 33% 12% 2% - -
241 ZHAO Brian 6% 43% 37% 12% 2% - -
242 BHAN Amar 22% 43% 28% 7% 1% - -
243 HOWLAND Jonas 15% 39% 32% 12% 2% - -
244 SHARDONOFSKY Keelan 2% 15% 34% 33% 13% 2% -
245 HARRIS Hayden 62% 33% 5% - - - -
246 THIYAGARAJAA Ari 4% 23% 39% 26% 7% 1% -
247 MO Ethan 3% 19% 36% 30% 10% 1% -
247 LITTLE Alex 56% 35% 8% 1% - - -
249 DULAI Angad 11% 34% 36% 16% 3% - -
250 TSENG Lucas 38% 44% 16% 2% - - -
251 ZHANG Graham 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
251 ELKOUSY Zain al Din 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 5% -
253 DANIEL Nikith 19% 41% 30% 9% 1% - -
253 SFINTESCU Alex 27% 42% 24% 6% 1% - -
253 TOYOFUKU Ethan 18% 41% 31% 9% 1% - -
256 LIANG Ethan 35% 47% 16% 2% - - -
257 SUNDSTROM Wren 33% 45% 19% 3% - - -
258 WEISS Mateo 4% 21% 38% 28% 8% 1% -
259 SICAT Justin 18% 40% 31% 10% 1% - -
259 TEH Tang-Ngu 40% 42% 15% 2% - - -
261 BALES Gabriel 22% 54% 21% 3% - - -
262 NABASSOUA Djibril 12% 39% 36% 12% 2% - -
263 BLACK Henry 32% 44% 20% 4% - - -
264 ZHOU Alex 19% 40% 30% 10% 2% - -
265 MCCONKEY Tristan 31% 47% 19% 3% - - -
265 YOUNG Jack 30% 44% 22% 4% - - -
267 WILLIAMS Colton 16% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
267 JACOB Ezra 21% 46% 28% 5% - - -
269 ZHAO Ryan 15% 39% 33% 11% 2% - -
269 ALVAREZ Sebastian 43% 40% 14% 2% - - -
271 LATORRE Leonardo 2% 16% 37% 32% 11% 1% -
272 GOGOI Kavi 14% 42% 35% 8% 1% - -
273 SHIN Noah 55% 39% 6% - - -
274 HALIM Seif 13% 42% 34% 10% 1% -
275 ZAPPALA Nikolai 19% 39% 30% 10% 2% - -
276 LIU Yinhong 4% 20% 36% 28% 10% 1% -
277 TSOI Spencer 19% 39% 30% 10% 2% - -
277 FANG Haoyu 14% 34% 33% 15% 4% - -
279 MCMILLIAN Harrison 10% 37% 38% 14% 2% -
280 ONIK Ari N. 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% - -
280 MCKEE Calvin 11% 45% 33% 10% 1% - -
282 TIBBETTS Justin 20% 41% 28% 9% 1% - -
283 REDONDO Tomas D. 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
284 UYPECKCUAT Maximillian Trajan 12% 38% 36% 13% 2% -
284 CARTY JR Johndale 14% 40% 33% 11% 2% -
286 SHAW Spencer 30% 43% 21% 5% 1% - -
286 BAKSHI Aman 3% 17% 37% 31% 10% 1% -
286 CHOI Elliot 73% 24% 3% - - - -
286 VAVILOV Benjamin 4% 25% 38% 25% 7% 1% -
286 DAVIS Benjamin 37% 45% 16% 2% - - -
291 AGUILAR Eric 44% 40% 13% 2% - - -
292 MENDEZ Ren 31% 48% 18% 3% - - -
293 GADIYARAM Madhav 53% 36% 9% 1% - - -
293 WENGER Liam 39% 41% 17% 3% - - -
293 KIMURA Ryo 45% 40% 13% 2% - - -
293 LEE Michael 57% 38% 5% - - - -
297 ZHANG Hanson 32% 47% 18% 3% - - -
297 REYES Yannik 26% 46% 24% 4% - - -
299 LEHTINEN Axel 38% 42% 16% 3% - - -
300 WANG Luke 20% 43% 29% 7% 1% - -
301 ALI Adam 79% 19% 1% - - - -
302 RODRIGUEZ Alejandro 20% 45% 28% 7% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.