National Championships & July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Div III Women's Épée

Sunday, July 9, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Phoenix Convention Center - Phoenix, AZ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DU Eiry - - - 1% 9% 35% 55%
2 SCHULTZ Gillian - - - 2% 12% 39% 47%
3 PULLEN Ayah - 2% 11% 29% 38% 19% 2%
3 LEWIS Rachel - 9% 31% 37% 19% 3%
5 DAVIS Julia - - 2% 15% 42% 41%
6 KELBLEY Newt J. - - 1% 5% 23% 44% 27%
7 LURYE Lina - - 2% 14% 42% 42%
8 SIU Hazel - 1% 10% 30% 37% 19% 3%
9 NOVOJILOV Anastasia - - 3% 12% 31% 37% 17%
10 SEREGIN Katya - 1% 5% 20% 36% 30% 8%
11 CHIRASHNYA Mika 2% 14% 37% 34% 12% 1%
12 MCBRYAN Teresa N. - - 1% 10% 38% 52%
13 SHAKIR Inaaya - 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
14 DUONG Zoey - 2% 11% 31% 37% 17% 2%
15 DALEY Keira - 3% 12% 27% 33% 20% 5%
16 NGUYEN Jolie T. - 1% 7% 21% 34% 28% 9%
17 NICHOLS Amber - - - - 2% 22% 76%
18 SEUK Irene - 2% 10% 25% 34% 23% 6%
19 YOUSSEF Caroline 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 3% < 1%
20 LANE Leah - 4% 16% 30% 31% 15% 3%
21 HEINRICHS Aaliyah 2% 10% 25% 32% 22% 8% 1%
22 JAMES Ashley 8% 27% 34% 22% 8% 1% -
23 YOU Joyce 1% 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% -
24 MYRAH Vivienne - 1% 8% 28% 42% 21%
25 XU Celina - 5% 23% 40% 27% 6%
26 HILBY Olivia 4% 23% 37% 26% 9% 1% -
27 OPIELA Natalie - 6% 26% 38% 23% 6% -
28 LEE Samantha X. - 2% 11% 29% 34% 19% 4%
29 SAZONOVA Alexandra 5% 23% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
30 FERNLUND Helen 1% 9% 31% 38% 18% 3%
31 NAROTZKY Emma - 2% 15% 36% 36% 10%
32 DUARTE-GARCIA Zoya A. - - 1% 10% 33% 43% 13%
33 LEWIS Sophia - - - 2% 15% 41% 42%
34 OPERARIO Abigail Z. - - 2% 12% 29% 37% 20%
35 SINHA Zara - 3% 19% 41% 32% 6%
36 HAYDEN Molly - 11% 33% 37% 17% 3%
37 PAN Angela - 3% 19% 37% 30% 10% 1%
38 SIU Maple - 1% 10% 27% 37% 22% 3%
39 SRIVASTAVA Arya 4% 19% 32% 28% 13% 3% -
40 CHATIKHINE Anastasia - 3% 13% 31% 36% 16% 1%
41 HOOPER Lucy 7% 25% 35% 24% 9% 2% -
42 MARTURANO Bridget H. - - 3% 12% 30% 37% 19%
43 LORES Alicia - - 5% 22% 42% 31%
44 LENDIS Gabrielle - 4% 21% 38% 29% 7%
45 JARUSHI Amnee - 1% 9% 30% 41% 19%
46 LIN Victoria T. 1% 16% 37% 32% 11% 1%
47 KING Emily 1% 15% 36% 34% 12% 1%
48 DRYSDALE Lita - 2% 9% 23% 34% 25% 7%
49 NICKOLOV Nora 8% 26% 34% 22% 8% 2% -
50 CHEN Alicia 3% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
51 CHUNG Penelope - 1% 7% 24% 38% 26% 5%
52 BHATT Anisha - 2% 12% 29% 34% 18% 4%
53 AGAON Evelyn - 5% 20% 35% 29% 10% 1%
54 OLIVEIRA Giovanna - 3% 12% 28% 33% 20% 5%
55 SAUCEDO Grecia - - 1% 8% 27% 40% 23%
56 ZOU You yang (Yoyo) 2% 11% 27% 32% 21% 7% 1%
57 KIM Emily 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
58 YUMIACO Nylah 8% 29% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
59 ZHUANG Lauren 1% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
60 MAY Courtney 36% 41% 18% 4% - - -
61 SANLIKOL Suzan 7% 29% 37% 21% 5% 1% -
62 NOH Rachel 3% 19% 36% 29% 11% 2% -
63 CHANG Abigail 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% 1%
64 BARTON Isabelle 6% 22% 33% 26% 11% 2% -
65 MACEDON Gianna - 3% 14% 30% 33% 17% 4%
65 RALSTON Katherine 15% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -
67 LEVKOV Maita 61% 33% 5% - < 1% - -
68 CHAN Allison M. - - 3% 14% 33% 36% 15%
69 PARKS Eliana - 6% 27% 41% 23% 3%
70 PERKINS-OLLILA Emily - 7% 28% 39% 22% 5% -
71 MIDYANY Viktoriya - 2% 11% 28% 35% 21% 4%
72 SIMHADRI Meghana 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 7% 1%
73 GAUR Ishi - 3% 12% 27% 33% 20% 5%
74 ZHAN Clare 13% 43% 32% 10% 2% - -
75 PRIMES Amanda M. - - 4% 16% 34% 33% 13%
75 BEAMS Alyona - 1% 5% 20% 36% 29% 9%
75 REYNOLDS Elly - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 2%
78 ELKHATEEB Fajr 1% 8% 23% 32% 25% 9% 1%
79 POON Desiree 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 5% -
80 OLORVIDA Isabella - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
81 HASIM Eurietta 1% 8% 23% 33% 24% 9% 1%
81 LUCENA Giselle 2% 15% 33% 32% 15% 3% -
83 MOHAMED Faisa - 2% 10% 25% 33% 23% 7%
84 COLELLA Lauren 1% 9% 33% 39% 16% 2%
85 QUINTANILLA Danielle A. 3% 21% 39% 29% 8% 1%
86 ARAYE Nasro - 3% 16% 37% 34% 9%
87 UM KIM Hyun Hee Lorena 26% 48% 22% 4% - -
88 GARCIA Lucy 48% 39% 11% 1% - -
89 THOMAS Meagan R. 6% 22% 33% 26% 11% 2% -
90 MIHILL Margaret - 6% 25% 38% 25% 7% 1%
91 FRANCIS Elena - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
92 HART Jenna 3% 19% 35% 29% 12% 2% -
93 GAVILANES Madyson 3% 17% 33% 30% 13% 3% -
94 JONES Veronica C. 59% 33% 7% 1% - - -
95 KNUDSEN Ayda Jane - 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
96 NEELAM Neha - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
97 SCHLIEP Anna J. - 1% 6% 19% 34% 30% 10%
98 GULLY Wren 1% 6% 20% 32% 27% 12% 2%
99 TSUI Zoe 6% 29% 39% 21% 5% -
100 GARIKIPATI Thansi 1% 20% 39% 29% 9% 1%
101 PYE Emily 5% 28% 40% 22% 5% -
102 MANAUGH Calliope 14% 40% 33% 11% 2% -
103 NIKOLIC Alexandra 3% 18% 35% 30% 11% 2% -
104 JAIN Prisha 12% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
105 MANCELL Hope 10% 31% 36% 19% 5% - -
106 WHITLEY Alexis - 6% 24% 38% 25% 6% 1%
107 JORGENSEN Kjirsten 1% 17% 36% 31% 12% 2% -
108 KURDI Dina 27% 42% 24% 6% 1% - -
109 SACHAR Ruhi 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% - -
110 ANDREW Katerina (Tina) 10% 40% 35% 13% 2% - -
111 TIBBETTS Lily 45% 39% 13% 2% - - -
112 RAY Jessica 63% 31% 5% - - -
113 HOLLAND Daisy 6% 23% 34% 25% 10% 2% -
114 FAKTOR Emily 28% 44% 23% 5% - - -
115 HOLLAND Sarah 7% 24% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
115 MISRA Tara 8% 27% 34% 22% 8% 1% -
117 KUNIHIRO Ashley 22% 39% 27% 10% 2% - -
118 LOFTIS Hunter 41% 42% 14% 2% - -
119 WIMERT Dahlia 84% 15% 1% - - -
119 ALVAREZ Martine 38% 46% 15% 2% - -
121 MARTIN Audrey 54% 38% 8% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.