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Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	LI Howard	-	-	-	-	2%	19%	79%
2	SANCHEZ Jacob	-	-	2%	13%	32%	37%	16%
3	GREMILLION Obadiah	-	-	3%	15%	36%	35%	10%
3	NGO Maximus	-	1%	9%	27%	40%	22%
5	WANG Zhuoyi	-	-	-	1%	6%	32%	61%
6	HWANG Jayden	-	-	-	-	2%	21%	77%
7	LI linze	-	-	-	3%	16%	42%	40%
8	LI AYDEN	-	-	2%	10%	29%	39%	20%
9	HWANG Hagan	-	-	4%	17%	35%	32%	11%
10	CHI Everett	-	3%	20%	36%	28%	10%	1%
11	WANG Edward	1%	6%	21%	35%	28%	9%	-
12	ZHANG KAIQI	-	1%	10%	29%	38%	20%	2%
13	WINTERSET Mason	1%	12%	32%	34%	16%	4%	-
14	YU Casey	2%	13%	31%	34%	17%	3%
15	RONG Jasper	-	1%	9%	27%	36%	22%	5%
16	LUC Cedric	-	7%	25%	37%	25%	7%	-
17	JOUFFLINEAU Yohann	-	4%	20%	37%	29%	9%	< 1%
18	WANG Tiger	-	1%	6%	24%	37%	26%	7%
19	SU Kingston	6%	25%	37%	24%	7%	1%	-
20	KOVACHEV Martin	-	4%	17%	33%	32%	13%	1%
21	HONG Arick	14%	35%	33%	15%	3%	-	-
22	LIU Yijin	3%	15%	32%	32%	15%	2%
23	GU Kevin	2%	20%	38%	29%	10%	1%	-
24	NGUYEN Dylan	13%	37%	35%	13%	2%	-	-
25	SLIGAR Jackson	-	1%	12%	31%	35%	18%	3%
26	KOZLOFF Wyatt	-	6%	23%	36%	25%	8%	1%
27	CHEN Cooper	-	2%	13%	32%	35%	15%	2%
28	XIAO Brayden	-	1%	8%	27%	36%	22%	5%
29	YUEN Caleb	-	1%	5%	20%	38%	31%	5%
30	EKAMBARAM Nikhil	7%	26%	36%	23%	7%	1%	-
31	GU Andrew	1%	10%	28%	35%	21%	5%
32	LEE Brian	3%	16%	33%	31%	14%	3%	-
33	LI Ryan	4%	25%	38%	24%	7%	1%	-
34	XIAO haoyu	1%	7%	22%	35%	26%	8%	1%
35	ROSALES Vincent	14%	35%	33%	15%	3%	-
36	LIN Lucas	-	1%	14%	39%	36%	10%	1%
37	HSIEH Christian	1%	10%	27%	35%	21%	6%	1%
38	MINASIAN Mason	1%	7%	22%	35%	27%	8%	-
39	SEELMAN Cole	9%	30%	36%	20%	5%	1%	-
40	LIU Daniel	1%	10%	30%	36%	20%	4%	-
41	LIANG TONY	63%	32%	5%	-	-	-	-
42	QI Jeremy	9%	29%	36%	20%	5%	1%
43	YOUNG Navin	9%	31%	37%	19%	4%	-	-
44	LEE Bill King	24%	40%	26%	8%	1%	-	-
45	SLOAN Ethan	14%	52%	27%	6%	1%	-	-
46	GUO Jonathan	22%	41%	27%	8%	1%	-	-
46	SUN Eon	63%	31%	5%	-	-	-	-
48	COOK Ridgely	71%	25%	3%	-	-	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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