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Probability density of pool victories

Birth Year

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	YOON DYLAN	-	-	4%	21%	44%	31%
2	KNIZHNIK David	-	-	-	3%	16%	43%	38%
3	KAPOOR Aayan	-	3%	17%	36%	33%	11%
3	SONG Noel	-	1%	9%	32%	42%	16%
5	MILLER Jordan	-	-	2%	11%	32%	40%	15%
6	ZHAO Adam	-	4%	21%	37%	29%	8%
7	FEDONCHIK Henry J.	-	-	3%	20%	45%	32%
8	HUANG Chenghan	20%	43%	28%	8%	1%	-	-
9	TIKHAEV Alexander	-	1%	8%	30%	43%	18%
10	PLASTARAS Trey	-	-	5%	24%	43%	27%
11	BLACK Zachary	5%	23%	37%	26%	8%	1%
12	AKYAMAC Bora	-	-	-	4%	20%	44%	32%
13	LEE Eugene	-	5%	20%	37%	28%	9%	1%
14	LEVY Jacob	-	1%	11%	33%	40%	16%
15	LYNCH Owen C.	1%	9%	27%	37%	22%	4%
16	RNO Kyler	6%	26%	40%	23%	5%	-
17	KLOTZ Isaiah	-	-	3%	16%	40%	41%
18	WANG Brian	-	1%	9%	27%	38%	21%	3%
19	CHO Xzander	1%	8%	28%	39%	21%	4%
20	TORRES Treston	-	4%	23%	42%	26%	5%
21	JIMENEZ Naveen	-	2%	13%	33%	36%	15%	2%
22	GRIFFITH MCALLISTER Thomas	1%	7%	26%	38%	24%	5%
23	YAO Bradley	-	2%	13%	34%	37%	14%
24	ARCE Andrew W.	6%	25%	37%	24%	7%	1%
25	XU Dinghui Ryan	43%	43%	12%	1%	-	-
26	MAO Lucas	-	2%	12%	33%	38%	15%
27	PECK Quinn	38%	43%	16%	3%	-	-
28	SIMON Luke	-	11%	35%	36%	15%	3%	-
29	ORLOV Dmitriy	-	2%	11%	32%	38%	17%
30	GREENLEAF Paul	4%	22%	38%	28%	8%	1%
31	MAGALONG William	6%	29%	39%	21%	5%	-
32	NICOLL William	2%	15%	40%	32%	9%	1%
33	NICOLL James	2%	14%	36%	34%	13%	2%
34	KENNEDY christo	5%	25%	39%	24%	7%	1%
35	ZAIDI Adil	33%	43%	20%	4%	-	-
36	TRUBETSKI David	-	1%	9%	29%	38%	19%	2%
37	WUN Jonathan	-	5%	23%	38%	26%	7%	1%
38	KALIPERSAD Neil A.	-	4%	20%	38%	29%	8%
39	SRINIVASAN Vedant	-	4%	22%	41%	27%	6%
40	BASKIN Lukáš	6%	26%	37%	23%	7%	1%	-
41	TAM Kyle	16%	43%	31%	9%	1%	-
42	POWELL Sean	1%	27%	42%	24%	6%	1%	-
43	BONTHA Aadit	11%	49%	33%	6%	-	-
44	KU Nolan	45%	40%	13%	2%	-	-
45	WOODCOCK Henry	17%	43%	30%	9%	1%	-
45	COSSROW Alex	38%	43%	16%	3%	-	-
47	HOLLIS Sean	22%	49%	24%	4%	-	-
48	OEHLER Mac	8%	28%	36%	21%	6%	1%	-
49	POIROT Mason	95%	5%	-	-	-	-	-
50	BUNDUS Luca	9%	35%	36%	16%	3%	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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