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Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	SO Catelyn	-	-	-	-	5%	31%	63%
2	GOMERMAN Sophia	-	-	2%	16%	46%	36%
3	NAYAK Esha	-	1%	9%	31%	43%	16%
3	DAMBAL Sasha	-	1%	9%	29%	40%	20%
5	BUSH Bethany	-	2%	13%	33%	37%	15%
6	SPEARS Mya B	-	-	4%	22%	47%	27%
7	GUGALA Hanna	-	2%	13%	34%	37%	14%
8	MERCHANT Aishwarya	-	-	4%	18%	39%	33%	6%
9	LIU Yifei	-	-	2%	13%	42%	43%
10	MCGRAW Sadie	-	3%	17%	36%	32%	11%	1%
11	MANKOVA Varvara	-	1%	8%	27%	41%	23%
12	KANDADAI Lara	-	2%	15%	36%	35%	11%
13	KWON Ava	1%	8%	31%	38%	19%	3%
14	HU Anna	-	2%	13%	33%	37%	14%
15	KRASOWITZ Lucy	2%	15%	35%	33%	13%	2%
16	FLATT Sophia	1%	6%	25%	38%	25%	6%
17	LEOU Korina	-	3%	14%	34%	36%	13%
18	TA-ZHOU Emma	-	3%	17%	36%	32%	11%	1%
19	GUVEN Coco	-	1%	8%	29%	41%	20%
20	UEMOTO Lynn	3%	21%	42%	27%	6%	-
21	CHI Claire	1%	8%	29%	37%	21%	4%
22	YOUNG Audrey	-	3%	18%	38%	32%	9%
23	BAINS Nandini	2%	14%	35%	36%	12%	1%
24	KHOST Maeve	4%	21%	36%	28%	10%	1%
25	LAGOON Miriam	2%	13%	32%	35%	16%	3%
26	GENTILE Vittoria	5%	30%	39%	21%	5%	-
27	CAO Sophie	1%	7%	29%	43%	18%	2%
28	KIM Audrey	28%	43%	22%	5%	1%	-
29	VATS Ishita	25%	41%	26%	7%	1%	-
30	WANG JiaQi	-	7%	27%	38%	23%	5%
31	SHELLEY Scarlett	32%	46%	19%	3%	-	-
32	NAYAK Antara	18%	41%	30%	9%	1%	-
33	GUHA Surabhi	24%	43%	26%	6%	1%	-
34	LEE Hannah	20%	44%	27%	7%	1%	-	-
35	LEIGH Adalene	17%	41%	32%	10%	1%	-
36	VISWANATHAN Nishka	50%	39%	10%	1%	-	-
37	SUH Gah Ohn Anna	3%	25%	41%	24%	6%	1%	-
38	WONG Charlene	30%	48%	19%	3%	-	-
39	LEE Kaitlin	19%	42%	30%	8%	1%	-	-
40	BARNES Sarah	9%	30%	37%	20%	5%	-
40	SHMULER Fiona	6%	28%	40%	22%	4%	-
42	GETZONI Mary	66%	29%	5%	-	-	-
42	MANGAT Alexis	5%	47%	36%	10%	1%	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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