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For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

NJFA RYC / RJCC

Junior Men's Saber

Sunday, September 17, 2023 at 5:30 PM

SportsPlex at Metuchen - Metuchen, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHUNG Connor - 1% 8% 29% 43% 20%
2 KIM Ethan - - 1% 6% 26% 45% 22%
3 ANTHONY Devyn V. - - - 1% 12% 41% 46%
3 DOWNEY Baran - - 2% 11% 31% 39% 17%
5 HU Christopher - - 1% 8% 25% 41% 25%
6 GILSON Lucas B. - - 5% 24% 44% 26%
7 KIM Theodore 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
8 LEE Andrew - 5% 24% 40% 25% 5%
9 NOURELDIN Gabriel - - 1% 9% 29% 41% 20%
10 MATTOO Surya - 5% 21% 39% 30% 6%
11 SAVOY Luca - - 5% 22% 43% 30%
12 DEPEW Spencer - 1% 5% 23% 43% 29%
13 TSAO Oliver 1% 7% 26% 42% 24%
14 FRANCOIS Alexander C. - 1% 5% 23% 41% 25% 4%
15 ZHAO Lucas 1% 6% 23% 38% 27% 6%
16 HOWE Brandon 15% 37% 33% 13% 2% -
17 GLOZMAN Justin - - - 4% 20% 44% 32%
18 KOGAN Nikita - 8% 30% 38% 20% 3%
19 LIM Brandon - 6% 23% 38% 26% 7% 1%
20 ZHU Shao - 1% 6% 21% 35% 29% 8%
21 CHEN Jonathan - - 2% 12% 36% 39% 11%
22 FELDMAN Drew - 3% 16% 36% 34% 11%
23 BHATIA Ekam 3% 21% 40% 28% 7% 1%
24 COUNTS Nicholas 5% 23% 38% 27% 8% 1%
25 POWER Alex 6% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
26 ZHOU Grant - 5% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1%
27 SIMATOS Luka D. 24% 41% 26% 7% 1% -
28 BUIKEVICH Ihnat 1% 13% 36% 35% 14% 2%
28 SUBA Lucas 2% 28% 41% 23% 5% -
30 SIMMONS John M. 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
31 KMETA-SUAREZ Graysen 10% 34% 37% 16% 3% - -
32 LASKOW Oliver 19% 44% 29% 7% 1% -
33 WAXLER Seth B. - - 1% 10% 38% 50%
34 MATTOO Deven 1% 10% 33% 40% 15%
35 RODRIGUES Matthew - 2% 9% 26% 35% 22% 5%
36 MARGULIS Jared 1% 9% 29% 38% 19% 4% -
37 SCHIMEL Luke 32% 43% 20% 4% -
38 SEN Christian 17% 39% 32% 11% 2% -
39 POSY Daniel - 2% 14% 35% 37% 12%
40 LEE Ashe 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
41 WAGNER Calvin 7% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1% -
42 NOTOPRADONO Nicholas 1% 7% 25% 37% 23% 6% 1%
43 DESAUTELS Connor 4% 28% 40% 22% 6% 1% -
44 IVRON Yonatan 10% 33% 37% 17% 3% - -
45 RILEY "Jack" 24% 40% 26% 8% 1% - -
46 EMIR Koray 27% 42% 24% 6% 1% - -
47 XU Justin 5% 24% 41% 26% 5%
48 MENDOZA Luca 2% 15% 34% 33% 13% 2%
49 RAMIREZ Nicholas 33% 44% 19% 3% - -
50 LONDELL Jett 2% 16% 38% 32% 11% 1% -
51 MANESCU Miron 9% 31% 37% 19% 4% -
52 LIGH Checed 9% 31% 37% 18% 4% -
53 ALIPIO Huan Evo 6% 43% 38% 12% 1%
54 PEREZ Julien 80% 19% 2% - - -
55 ARORA Pranav 27% 43% 24% 5% - - -
56 JACQUES Hugo 9% 31% 37% 19% 4% - -
57 JIANG Terence 52% 38% 9% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.