The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Neil Lazar RYC/RJCC

Y-10 Men's Saber

Saturday, September 23, 2023 at 11:00 AM

Floyd Little Athletic Center - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KOREN George 1% 11% 34% 38% 14% 1%
2 HENDERSON Louis - - 1% 8% 28% 42% 21%
3 CHAN Brady 4% 21% 36% 28% 10% 1%
3 LIM JUWANA Maximilian - 1% 7% 27% 44% 21%
5 SHAPIRO Leo 6% 25% 38% 25% 6% 1%
6 HAGN Maximilian - 1% 7% 25% 42% 25%
7 RISMAN Edward - - 1% 11% 38% 50%
8 CIECIEREGA MATTHEW 6% 27% 41% 23% 4% -
9 SABINO Bennett - 2% 11% 31% 36% 17% 3%
10 WANG Harrison 9% 32% 38% 18% 3% -
11 RABEL Alexander 2% 13% 33% 34% 15% 2%
12 CHUNG Hahnsooh - 1% 6% 23% 41% 26% 4%
13 ZHANG Howard 6% 26% 37% 23% 6% 1%
14 KNOBEL Benjamin - 2% 13% 32% 37% 16%
15 ZALETAEV Jacob - 4% 17% 36% 33% 10%
16 BROOKS Grant 8% 40% 36% 13% 2% - -
17 SUH Jordan 21% 40% 29% 9% 1% -
18 KATZ Isaac 32% 46% 19% 3% - - -
19 WU Yuchen - 1% 9% 35% 48% 7%
20 GIBBONS Robert 19% 39% 30% 11% 2% -
21 ZHANG Mark - 6% 22% 36% 27% 8% 1%
22 PARRISH Lucien 7% 28% 38% 21% 5% -
23 MARINO Mark 17% 41% 31% 10% 1% -
24 GILBERT Ari < 1% 6% 25% 38% 24% 6% 1%
25 WONG Jacob 11% 31% 35% 18% 4% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.