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For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Neil Lazar RYC/RJCC

Cadet Men's Foil

Saturday, September 23, 2023 at 1:00 PM

Floyd Little Athletic Center - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MATSAKH Philip - - - 1% 7% 34% 59%
2 TAN Aidan - 1% 9% 30% 41% 18%
3 MILLER Jordan - - 5% 27% 45% 23%
3 SONG Noel - - - 3% 18% 42% 37%
5 CHENG Ethan - 2% 12% 35% 38% 14%
6 XU Xinhao ( Sonny) - 1% 7% 26% 43% 24%
7 GULCHIN Mark (Yerma) - 1% 9% 29% 41% 20%
8 YAO Bradley - 3% 18% 39% 32% 8%
9 WANG Brian - - 1% 7% 30% 44% 19%
10 LEE Brendan - - 2% 16% 46% 36%
11 XU Ethan - - 1% 8% 29% 42% 19%
12 LI Aaron - - - 3% 20% 45% 32%
13 LI Bradley - - 4% 26% 48% 23%
14 LIU Derek - - 2% 16% 43% 39%
15 SHAO Eric - - 4% 24% 46% 26%
16 KONG Luculentus X. 1% 12% 36% 36% 14% 2%
17 WANG Mason - - - 4% 18% 43% 35%
18 GHEDINI Luca - - 2% 10% 31% 41% 16%
19 GE Daniel 2% 14% 32% 33% 15% 2%
20 MARTIN Darius 1% 15% 38% 33% 11% 1%
21 SHAPIRO Leon - - 4% 18% 38% 32% 8%
22 FENG Michael - - 3% 18% 39% 31% 8%
23 ZHUANG Chuanxuan - 3% 19% 36% 30% 10% 1%
24 YANG Dylan - 5% 23% 38% 26% 7% 1%
25 CHEN Kyle P. - 1% 11% 34% 39% 15%
26 RADOSLAVOV Ivan-Asen - 2% 14% 44% 33% 7%
27 WONG Jackson - 3% 20% 40% 30% 7%
28 BLEIL Tyler 22% 40% 28% 9% 1% -
29 CHEN Hanson 1% 6% 23% 37% 27% 7%
30 TANG Alex 19% 43% 30% 8% 1% -
31 LEE Eugene - 8% 29% 39% 20% 4%
32 LI Allen 2% 15% 33% 33% 15% 2%
33 LI Ayren - - 1% 7% 28% 42% 21%
34 LEE Charles T - 5% 25% 42% 23% 5% -
35 BAI Brian - 5% 28% 39% 22% 5% -
36 VO Aidan 17% 49% 28% 5% - -
37 ARCE Andrew W. - 2% 12% 32% 36% 17% 2%
38 ONIK Ari N. 1% 7% 26% 39% 22% 5% -
39 CHENG Logan - 1% 9% 29% 38% 20% 3%
40 SION Andrew 13% 34% 33% 16% 3% - -
41 MASTROPAOLO Jonah W. - 2% 12% 32% 36% 17% 2%
42 TANG Terry - - 4% 19% 41% 30% 7%
43 XIE Jicheng 8% 28% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
44 ZHEN Ethan - 1% 6% 23% 42% 29%
45 BAKSHI Aman 21% 47% 26% 6% 1% -
46 RIPA Joseph K. 4% 25% 47% 20% 3% -
47 GERRISH William - 1% 12% 39% 37% 11%
48 XU Brian 74% 23% 3% - - -
49 TAM Kyle 14% 42% 35% 8% 1% -
50 PERLMAN Taiyo 3% 20% 40% 28% 8% 1% -
51 HARRA Alexander 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
52 STAFFORD Gareth 3% 56% 33% 7% 1% - -
53 CHO Xzander - 2% 16% 37% 32% 11% 1%
54 BRAIZINHA Thomas 1% 5% 19% 34% 29% 10% 1%
55 WILSON Eric 21% 43% 28% 7% 1% - -
56 LAO Kevin 6% 27% 40% 21% 5% -
57 SOLOPOULOS James 17% 44% 32% 7% - -
58 SURESH Rohan 10% 31% 36% 18% 4% -
59 HOU Gaven 3% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2% -
60 ABRAMKIN Tim 15% 45% 30% 8% 1% - -
61 TOOMRE Kai 3% 29% 41% 22% 5% -
62 BHAN Amar 43% 43% 12% 1% - -
63 DIAZ Gabriel 30% 46% 21% 3% - -
64 CHUN Zachary 53% 38% 8% 1% - - -
65 SABATINO Patrick 16% 41% 32% 10% 1% - -
66 LEVIN Jack 6% 30% 44% 18% 3% - -
67 LIANG Haojia 35% 45% 18% 2% - - -
68 HELMY Richard 29% 45% 22% 4% - -
69 PERKINS Nathaniel 50% 40% 9% 1% - -
70 CHUN Alexander 93% 7% - - - - -
71 REYES Yannik 33% 46% 18% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.