The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Neil Lazar RYC/RJCC

Y-14 Men's Foil

Sunday, September 24, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Floyd Little Athletic Center - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GULCHIN Mark (Yerma) - - - - 5% 30% 65%
2 GHEDINI Luca - - - 1% 19% 79%
3 CHEN Kyle P. - - - 1% 6% 32% 61%
3 LI Bradley - - - 1% 9% 38% 53%
5 CHO Xzander - 1% 6% 25% 43% 26%
6 CHENG Logan - 1% 6% 24% 42% 28%
7 MARTIN Darius - - 2% 12% 34% 41% 11%
8 TANG Terry - - 5% 23% 44% 27%
9 CHEN Hanson - - - 1% 11% 38% 49%
10 SHANNON Jack - 1% 7% 27% 42% 23%
11 XU Nathan - 4% 18% 34% 31% 12% 1%
12 TOOMRE Kai - - 3% 18% 52% 27%
13 GERRISH William - 1% 6% 26% 44% 23%
14 ONIK Ari N. 1% 6% 24% 38% 25% 6%
15 SION Andrew 2% 16% 38% 33% 11% 1%
16 KO Caleb - - 3% 16% 37% 37% 7%
17 JIMENEZ Naveen - - 1% 9% 43% 47%
18 HARRA Alexander - 7% 27% 38% 23% 5%
19 PETINO Leonardo 1% 15% 38% 33% 12% 1%
20 LAO Kevin - 1% 8% 34% 50% 7%
21 BAKSHI Aman - 1% 7% 24% 38% 26% 4%
22 WANG Luke - 6% 22% 36% 27% 8% 1%
23 KROLEWSKI Alexander 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 6% -
24 XIE Jicheng 1% 10% 31% 37% 18% 3%
25 SENANI Arjun 2% 15% 37% 33% 11% 1%
26 HOU Gaven - 2% 14% 36% 36% 12%
27 CZARNECKI Thomas - 4% 21% 40% 29% 7%
28 YAVENDITTI William 2% 22% 39% 27% 8% 1%
29 BAI Austin - 6% 24% 38% 25% 6%
30 HART-SYED declan 2% 14% 38% 36% 10% -
31 WU Isaac 5% 26% 42% 23% 4% -
31 ZHANG Hanru 2% 15% 35% 33% 13% 2%
33 CHEN kenneth 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5% -
34 WANG Ancen 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 4% -
35 BRAIZINHA David 16% 41% 33% 10% 1% -
36 KRZYWON Dylan 3% 33% 41% 19% 4% -
37 CHUN Zachary 11% 35% 37% 15% 2% -
38 MARTIRE Luca 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 6% -
39 ZHANG Gavin - 1% 6% 23% 38% 27% 5%
40 QIAN Zekai - 4% 17% 34% 32% 12% 1%
41 DAO-CRESPO Joaquin 15% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -
42 REYES Yannik 21% 41% 28% 9% 1% - -
43 WANG Ralph 5% 24% 41% 26% 4% -
44 ZHENG Austin 6% 28% 40% 22% 3% -
45 LIANG Haojia 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% - -
46 NABASSOUA Djibril 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1% -
47 DIAZ Gabriel 7% 28% 38% 21% 5% 1% -
48 DAILEY Noah 6% 28% 38% 22% 6% 1% -
49 HUANG Jinyao - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10% 1%
50 WANG ZEYU 2% 15% 32% 33% 15% 3% -
51 REN Ryan - 1% 12% 34% 38% 15%
52 DEROSA Patrick 22% 44% 26% 7% 1% -
53 HOWARD Fox 27% 44% 23% 5% - -
54 KINGSLEY Griffin 5% 30% 40% 20% 4% -
55 DHOTE Meetansh 3% 18% 36% 30% 11% 2% -
56 CHUN Alexander 82% 17% 1% - - -
57 ZHANG Ethan 18% 40% 30% 10% 2% - -
58 HWANG Jacob 26% 44% 25% 5% - -
59 HU Daniel 31% 42% 21% 5% - - -
60 SMITH Colin 32% 45% 20% 3% - -
60 BO Aiden 75% 22% 3% - - -
62 ABRAMKIN Tim 2% 15% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
63 PERKINS Nathaniel 56% 35% 8% 1% - -
64 YOUM Tyson 49% 38% 11% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.