Neil Lazar RYC/RJCC

Junior Men's Épée

Sunday, September 24, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Floyd Little Athletic Center - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BEZRODNOV Alexander - - - - 2% 22% 77%
2 DOYON - VERDON Gabriel - - 5% 24% 46% 24%
3 BEZRODNOV Michael - - - - 6% 32% 62%
3 GAO Daniel - - 2% 17% 46% 34%
5 BEALS Alden 1% 12% 32% 37% 16% 2%
6 LONCAR Luka E. - - - - 4% 30% 66%
7 LEE Noah - - 3% 16% 41% 39%
8 LAI Aedin - 1% 9% 30% 42% 19%
9 ZHAI Avalo - 1% 14% 40% 38% 8%
10 DOYON - VERDON William - - - 5% 27% 53% 14%
11 MACARTY Jordan T. - - 2% 13% 40% 45%
12 XIA Dashan 2% 19% 45% 31% 4% -
13 OSTIGUY Cameron - 1% 7% 26% 40% 24% 3%
14 PRIHODKO Max - 1% 6% 24% 44% 25%
15 SUN Jeffery 7% 28% 38% 22% 5% -
16 LAI Boden 1% 10% 28% 37% 20% 3%
17 SVERDLOV Seth - 1% 8% 29% 45% 18%
18 KNOX James - - - 4% 26% 70%
19 SIYANKO Joshua - 3% 19% 37% 30% 9% 1%
20 FUSSMAN Yuval - 5% 22% 39% 28% 5% -
21 SCAPICCHIO Stephen 1% 20% 41% 29% 8% 1%
22 RICHARD Owen - - 2% 13% 42% 43%
23 ROLLO Emmett H. - 5% 25% 43% 23% 4%
24 SAVORETTI Francesco - 1% 6% 26% 43% 24%
25 WANG justin 1% 6% 25% 41% 24% 3%
26 JIANG ryan 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4%
27 SIMPSON Patrick - - 1% 8% 35% 49% 8%
28 TRULL A.J. 1% 7% 24% 38% 25% 5%
29 LIU Jeremiah W. 7% 28% 38% 22% 5% -
30 ZHANG William 1% 8% 28% 39% 21% 3%
31 FLECKENSTEIN Benjamin T. - 1% 7% 27% 43% 22%
32 WONG King-Yee 1% 16% 43% 34% 5% -
33 HE Lawrence - - 1% 8% 36% 56%
34 BRODSKY Julian - 6% 27% 40% 22% 4%
35 SETO Jing 4% 25% 41% 24% 5% -
36 EKE Frank - - - 4% 36% 60%
37 ZOU Xianyang (Max) - 2% 13% 34% 36% 15% 1%
38 XIE Brandon - 1% 10% 35% 41% 12% 1%
39 GRAYSON Joshua 2% 17% 38% 32% 11% 1% -
40 GALLANT Antoine - - 2% 16% 58% 25%
41 SUN Jason - 2% 13% 36% 38% 11%
42 QUINLAN Sean - 5% 31% 42% 19% 2%
43 JIANG Matthew 9% 34% 38% 17% 3% -
44 SONG Troy 2% 18% 38% 32% 9% 1%
45 ZHANG Dinghao 1% 7% 26% 40% 23% 2%
46 WU Jonathan - - 2% 13% 43% 43%
47 XI Benjamin 5% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1%
48 LIU Adam 3% 20% 39% 30% 8% 1%
49 MEN Junda - 5% 30% 43% 20% 2%
50 MCMILLAN Jackson V. 17% 45% 31% 7% 1% -
51 ZHAO Zidong 5% 23% 38% 26% 8% 1%
52 HOWARD Jackson 28% 42% 23% 6% 1% -
53 HU Robert J. 1% 8% 27% 38% 22% 4%
54 GOON Tristan Yang 12% 35% 36% 15% 3% -
55 GARCIA-CABRERA Jeffrey 7% 41% 39% 12% 1% -
56 RITTERSHAUS Bryce 10% 33% 37% 17% 3% -
57 PAN Anthony 5% 33% 43% 16% 2% - -
58 TORRES Gianni - 5% 26% 39% 24% 6% -
59 COLÓN Atum 25% 43% 26% 6% 1% -
60 PALLADINO Ben T. 1% 24% 41% 26% 7% 1%
61 BRADSHAW Carter 24% 42% 26% 7% 1% -
61 OKUN Benjamin 9% 32% 38% 18% 3% -
61 WONG Maximus 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% -
64 WHITE Aidan 67% 29% 4% - - -
65 KUBATIN Anton V. 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% -
66 YIN Chujun 6% 30% 39% 20% 5% - -
67 ZOGRAFOS Nicholas 5% 33% 42% 17% 2% - -
68 BUISINE Aurelien 64% 31% 5% - - - -
69 THOMPSON Ian 7% 32% 39% 19% 3% -
70 WARD Kofi 42% 43% 13% 1% - -
71 TESFAYE Elias 20% 56% 21% 3% - -
72 COLON Elliot 50% 39% 10% 1% - - -
73 ALAM Rajan 55% 36% 8% 1% - - -
74 MCCALL Aidan - 3% 18% 42% 30% 7% -
75 STELTENKAMP Neal 4% 25% 44% 23% 4% -
76 HO Ivan 49% 39% 11% 1% - -
77 TEREB Daniel 62% 34% 4% - - -
78 PETROV Niki A. 1% 8% 30% 40% 19% 3% -
79 OTTAVIANO Aaron 18% 51% 25% 5% - - -
80 MASSE Jack 39% 42% 16% 2% - -
81 PTASZEK Al 84% 15% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.