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For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Neil Lazar RYC/RJCC

Y-14 Women's Saber

Sunday, September 24, 2023 at 11:00 AM

Floyd Little Athletic Center - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHAVAN Arya - - 2% 11% 29% 39% 19%
2 BUSH Bethany - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
3 MERCHANT Aishwarya - - 2% 9% 27% 40% 23%
3 DAMBAL Sasha - - - 1% 8% 35% 56%
5 GONG Joy - 2% 10% 28% 35% 21% 4%
6 HUANG Doris - - 1% 9% 28% 41% 20%
7 WU Yuwei - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
8 GUHA Surabhi 1% 11% 30% 35% 19% 4% -
9 BORGUETA Madison - 4% 17% 33% 30% 13% 2%
10 MALEK Zolie - - 1% 5% 21% 42% 31%
11 VINOKUR Anita - 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 7%
12 GUGALA Hanna - - 1% 9% 29% 41% 20%
13 HALPERIN Elizabeth H. - - 3% 13% 32% 37% 14%
14 GONZALEZ Veronika - - 4% 17% 34% 33% 12%
15 FOSS Persephone - 2% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5%
16 KWON Ava - 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
17 HU Anna - 1% 10% 32% 40% 16%
18 MYAT Chloe - - 3% 13% 32% 37% 15%
19 STADNIK Emilia - 2% 11% 31% 37% 16% 2%
20 CROOKS Riley - 1% 6% 21% 35% 29% 9%
21 AWAD Royce - - 1% 7% 28% 44% 20%
22 TENG EMMA - - - 3% 17% 45% 35%
23 FUNG Iris - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
24 PALMIERI Giuliana M. 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
25 MAK Kaitlin 2% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
26 AKULA Roszlynn 2% 15% 33% 32% 15% 3% -
27 SHMULER Fiona 4% 18% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
28 LEOU Korina - 1% 8% 29% 42% 20%
29 IANNUZZI Lucy 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
30 KWON Ava 4% 21% 36% 27% 10% 2% -
31 SHEN Emily 4% 23% 40% 26% 7% 1%
32 HILD Anya 6% 23% 35% 25% 10% 2% -
33 LEE Kaitlin 3% 19% 37% 29% 9% 1% -
34 KIM Audrey - 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 1%
35 WANG JiaQi - 1% 8% 23% 35% 25% 7%
36 CHOI Charlotte 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
36 MACKAY Katherine 1% 10% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1%
38 YANNOPOULOS Pompie - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
39 HO Sophia 2% 19% 36% 29% 11% 2% -
40 GENTILE Vittoria 1% 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
41 TIAN Cynthia - 7% 26% 38% 23% 5%
42 MAK Jayden 30% 44% 21% 4% - -
43 RANDALL-COLLINS Shea M. - 2% 13% 31% 35% 17% 2%
44 BROWN Aria 3% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
45 WONG Charlene 11% 31% 34% 19% 5% 1% -
46 MERMEGAS Olivia 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 9% 1%
47 JUILLERAT Elina 7% 27% 36% 22% 7% 1% -
48 RIFKIN Lielle 26% 41% 25% 7% 1% - -
49 PARK Haylie 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
50 PALEY Alisa 36% 42% 18% 4% - - -
51 LEE Hannah 9% 31% 36% 19% 5% 1% -
52 MANSPERGER Gia 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
53 HARRISON Allie 21% 42% 28% 8% 1% - -
54 LEIGH Adalene 1% 11% 31% 36% 17% 3% -
55 NIU Jessica - 4% 17% 33% 31% 12% 2%
55 LAFFY Lily 8% 29% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
57 DESAUTELS Alexandra 25% 41% 25% 7% 1% - -
57 MCCARTHY Nora Louisa Abrous 19% 40% 30% 10% 1% - -
59 CUTLER Juliet - 5% 21% 36% 28% 9% 1%
60 FIGELMAN Maya 27% 41% 24% 7% 1% - -
61 CHURCH Madeline 45% 39% 13% 2% - - -
62 CASTELO Soleil 1% 6% 22% 35% 27% 9% 1%
63 YOON Sela 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
64 YERENKOVA Ameliia 2% 17% 34% 30% 13% 3% -
65 BARNES Sarah 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
66 KIM Grace 5% 24% 36% 25% 9% 1% -
67 ZONG Eliane 11% 34% 36% 16% 3% -
68 ALMEDA Galina 18% 37% 30% 13% 3% - -
68 SMITH Genevieve 62% 31% 6% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.