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For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Neil Lazar RYC/RJCC

Junior Men's Foil

Sunday, September 24, 2023 at 1:00 PM

Floyd Little Athletic Center - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LI Richard - - - - 4% 28% 68%
2 LIANG Lixi (Henry) - - - - 4% 27% 69%
3 HOOSHI Jayden C. - - - - 2% 25% 73%
3 MOHAMED Amir - - 1% 7% 28% 43% 22%
5 ELWOOD Sebastian F. - - - 4% 23% 44% 28%
6 SHIN Joshua J. - - 1% 9% 32% 41% 16%
7 LIN James G. - - - 4% 26% 48% 22%
8 RUSADZE Nickolas - - - - 4% 29% 67%
9 AUGUSTINE Aaron A. - - 6% 24% 41% 25% 3%
10 COSTELLO Chaissen F. - - - 4% 27% 52% 16%
11 ZHAI Jeffrey - - - 3% 20% 47% 29%
12 JIANG Owen - - 1% 7% 28% 44% 22%
13 ROSE Ben - - 1% 5% 23% 43% 29%
14 KAO Castor T. - - - - 5% 35% 60%
15 PO Oliver - - 4% 21% 46% 29%
16 LI Arvin - - 6% 27% 47% 18% 2%
17 DAI Jonathan T. - - - 1% 8% 36% 55%
18 LI Eric - - - 1% 7% 35% 57%
18 YAO Bradley - 5% 24% 39% 25% 6% < 1%
20 AHN Jun - - - 2% 15% 45% 39%
21 LANG Dong Lin - - 5% 21% 38% 28% 7%
21 DAVIDSON Elliot - 1% 5% 19% 36% 30% 9%
23 GARCIA Sebastian R. - - 1% 7% 26% 42% 24%
24 YOON Dylan - 1% 9% 28% 37% 20% 4%
25 HE Xiangrui - - - 5% 31% 53% 11%
26 SIMA Congyu Josh - - 2% 15% 42% 36% 5%
27 LEE Jonah - - 3% 20% 45% 27% 5%
28 GAO William - - 5% 25% 46% 24%
29 LEWIS Akhil - - - 3% 19% 46% 32%
30 MATSAKH Philip - 1% 7% 28% 41% 21% 2%
31 SONG Noel - - 6% 30% 40% 19% 3%
32 ZHEN Ethan - 2% 15% 38% 34% 10% 1%
33 TANG Albert - - 4% 21% 42% 28% 5%
34 AKYAMAC Bora - - 6% 27% 47% 18% 1%
35 DOCTOR Aidan L. - - 3% 20% 44% 29% 4%
36 PITERBARG Maxim - 3% 17% 37% 32% 10% 1%
37 XU Andy P. - 4% 26% 43% 23% 4%
38 LEE Brendan - 2% 11% 28% 36% 20% 4%
39 RADOSLAVOV Ivan-Asen - 4% 33% 43% 17% 2% -
40 WANG Mason - - 5% 26% 41% 23% 4%
41 FEDONCHIK Henry J. - - 3% 17% 39% 32% 8%
42 XU Ethan - 2% 15% 36% 34% 12% 1%
43 KOVACS Wyatt 1% 10% 39% 37% 12% 1%
44 LI Aaron - 3% 15% 36% 34% 12% 1%
44 GAO Payton - 3% 17% 37% 32% 10% 1%
46 LEE Eugene 1% 18% 41% 30% 9% 1% -
47 MILLER Aidan A. - 2% 15% 37% 34% 12% 1%
48 CHENG Ethan - 8% 30% 40% 19% 4% -
49 BRAIZINHA Thomas 3% 35% 43% 17% 2% - -
50 KONG Luculentus X. 1% 21% 44% 28% 6% - -
50 VISHAWADIA Jaimin 3% 29% 42% 21% 5% - -
52 FENG Michael 12% 35% 34% 16% 4% - -
53 KALIPERSAD Neil A. 1% 9% 32% 39% 17% 3% -
54 LI Allen 7% 29% 39% 20% 4% - -
55 SHAPIRO Leon 2% 15% 40% 31% 11% 2% -
56 WONG Jackson - 8% 33% 42% 15% 2% -
57 WUN Jonathan 10% 38% 36% 13% 2% - -
58 TAHOUN Mostafa - - 3% 16% 40% 34% 7%
59 HOLCOMB Cedric 3% 26% 43% 24% 4% - -
60 LIU Derek - 1% 6% 24% 38% 26% 6%
61 LEE Jacob - - 3% 17% 39% 35% 6%
62 NICOLL William 1% 14% 38% 34% 11% 1% -
63 CHO Xzander 1% 15% 39% 34% 9% 1% -
64 BAI Brian 21% 46% 27% 6% 1% - -
65 GUO Justin - - 2% 15% 38% 37% 8%
66 YAP Nathan - 5% 27% 44% 20% 3% -
67 MAGALONG William 5% 37% 40% 16% 2% - -
68 ZHUANG Chuanxuan 4% 30% 44% 19% 3% - -
69 NICOLL James 2% 32% 48% 16% 2% - -
69 LI Ayren - 3% 30% 44% 20% 3% -
69 TANG Terry 3% 21% 42% 26% 7% 1% -
72 GREENLEAF Paul 1% 20% 41% 29% 8% 1% -
73 YANG Dylan 2% 24% 43% 26% 5% - -
74 CHEN Kyle P. 1% 12% 34% 35% 15% 2% -
75 TAM Kyle 58% 37% 5% - - -
76 LIGOS alex M. - 3% 15% 34% 33% 14% 2%
77 JURMAN Therin 5% 36% 42% 15% 2% - -
78 PEDERSEN Charles 34% 44% 19% 3% - - -
79 RIPA Joseph K. 29% 50% 18% 2% - - -
80 XU Brian 79% 20% 2% - - - -
81 LAO Kevin 47% 39% 12% 2% - - -
82 SABATINO Patrick 42% 50% 8% - - - -
83 WOODCOCK Henry 3% 41% 43% 11% 1% - -
84 ARCE Andrew W. 10% 35% 37% 16% 3% - -
85 SURESH Rohan 19% 53% 23% 4% - -
86 MCENTEE Owen 70% 26% 3% - - - -
87 CAZENEUVE Louis 31% 45% 21% 4% - - -
88 BRATTAIN Trey 86% 14% 1% - - - -
89 GECKELER James 36% 45% 17% 2% - - -
90 MASTROPAOLO Jonah W. 3% 34% 42% 18% 3% - -
91 TESSMAN Henry 78% 20% 2% - - - -
92 ABRAMKIN Tim 67% 29% 4% - - - -
92 STAFFORD Gareth 71% 26% 3% - - - -
92 CHAMORRO Ricardo 13% 56% 25% 4% - - -
95 BRENNAN Connor 13% 42% 33% 10% 1% - -
95 TRAUB William 44% 50% 6% - - - -
97 WILSON Eric 83% 16% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.