The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Neil Lazar RYC/RJCC

Junior Women's Saber

Sunday, September 24, 2023 at 1:30 PM

Floyd Little Athletic Center - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HILD Nisha - - - 1% 9% 36% 54%
2 FESTA Carina - - 2% 12% 34% 38% 14%
3 PAUL Lila - - - - 5% 30% 65%
3 JEONG Katie - - 1% 10% 31% 39% 18%
5 FEIG Sela - - 3% 16% 37% 34% 9%
6 JOHNSON Dagny L. - - 1% 6% 25% 43% 25%
6 CALLAHAN Chase J. - - - 2% 13% 39% 45%
8 DAI Olivia 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 5% -
9 JOHNSON Lydia - - 2% 16% 46% 36%
10 MANKOVA Varvara 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
11 BUSH Bethany - 2% 17% 38% 32% 9% 1%
12 LEE Sophia - - 4% 22% 48% 25%
13 ZENG Sarah - 6% 28% 40% 22% 4%
14 CHIARELLI Valentina - 1% 7% 22% 37% 27% 5%
15 CHIANG Melissa - 1% 11% 32% 37% 17% 2%
16 MUND Ruth - - 5% 21% 37% 29% 8%
17 TENG EMMA 1% 7% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
18 NATH Trisha - - - 2% 11% 37% 50%
19 MANSPERGER Leena - - 3% 17% 36% 33% 11%
20 ZHANG Sophie - - 4% 19% 40% 32% 5%
20 GUGALA Hanna 1% 10% 28% 34% 21% 6% -
22 MALEK Zolie - 3% 15% 31% 33% 15% 2%
23 XIAO julie - - - 2% 15% 42% 41%
24 LIU Yifei - 2% 16% 38% 34% 10%
25 KHAN Alissa - 3% 19% 39% 30% 8%
26 NAYAK Esha 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
27 MONTORIO Lily M. - 2% 13% 34% 35% 14% 2%
28 HU Anna - 4% 23% 38% 26% 8% 1%
29 LOO Kaitlyn - 5% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1%
30 KANDADAI Lara 5% 21% 35% 28% 10% 2% -
31 SO Catelyn - - 6% 26% 43% 25%
32 VINOKUR Anita 4% 29% 42% 21% 4% -
33 HAMBAZAZA Liisa - - 4% 20% 39% 29% 7%
34 BERMAN Greta - 3% 13% 29% 34% 18% 3%
35 SHINCHUK Ellisha - 4% 20% 38% 28% 9% 1%
36 KALINICHENKO Yekaterina 4% 31% 42% 19% 4% - -
37 SHMULER Fiona 44% 39% 14% 2% - - -
38 MARGULIAN Maria - 7% 31% 39% 19% 4% -
39 WOTZAK Kaia 23% 50% 23% 4% - -
40 ATTIA Jasmine 1% 11% 35% 39% 13% 1%
41 NAYAK Antara 25% 44% 25% 5% 1% - -
42 ZHENG Valentina - 2% 13% 35% 36% 13% 1%
43 HALPERIN Elizabeth H. 9% 30% 36% 19% 5% 1% -
44 BROWN Aria 26% 45% 24% 5% - - -
45 FLATT Sophia 4% 28% 42% 22% 4% -
46 BARNES Sarah 60% 33% 6% - - -
47 ONG Lauren 49% 42% 9% 1% - -
48 GENTILE Vittoria 2% 23% 41% 26% 7% 1% -
49 LI Alexis 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
50 WU Yuwei 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
51 RANDALL-COLLINS Shea M. 35% 41% 19% 4% 1% - -
52 CROOKS Riley 4% 23% 41% 25% 7% 1% -
53 BARRY Mya 46% 44% 9% 1% - - -
54 WAY Samantha - 4% 18% 35% 31% 10% 1%
55 LOPEZ-ONA Mia 2% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
55 SRINATH Lyra A. 6% 47% 35% 10% 1% - -
57 HARRISON Allie 74% 24% 3% - - - -
58 NEUMAN Ella 17% 37% 31% 12% 2% - -
59 GETZONI Mary 80% 19% 1% - - - -
60 INSINGA Ava 27% 50% 19% 3% - - -
60 MURPHY Jessica 1% 16% 35% 32% 14% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.