The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Take Action

River City Regional Rumble RJCC / RYC & Y8

Junior Women's Foil

Sunday, September 24, 2023 at 4:00 PM

Greater Richmond Convention Center - Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 MARISI Gianna - - 1% 16% 48% 35%
2 HAFEZ Tahiyah - - 2% 17% 49% 32%
3 EVELAND Zoe - 4% 35% 50% 11%
3 XIE Lillian - - 5% 31% 64%
5 SHENG Chuxi - - 1% 10% 38% 50%
6 LEE emily - 1% 5% 20% 41% 34%
7 VIJAYAKUMAR Diya 1% 11% 30% 36% 19% 3%
8 GANDLURI Sreehitha 1% 11% 34% 37% 15% 2%
9 OWENS Elise - 2% 16% 49% 29% 5%
10 SHMUKLER Maria - 4% 19% 40% 31% 6%
11 BUDKO Julia 4% 20% 35% 29% 10% 1%
12 VERGARA Jaden Reese - 8% 48% 38% 5%
13 DONG Emily 1% 10% 29% 37% 20% 3%
14 TUCKER ALARCON Frida - - 4% 31% 65%
15 TAN Isabella 11% 36% 38% 14% 1%
16 CAO Kayla 12% 36% 35% 14% 2% -
17 ARMSTRONG Olivia 3% 20% 41% 31% 5%
18 MATHAI Rachel 14% 39% 35% 11% 1%
19 SOHN Juniper 12% 42% 38% 8% - -
20 RICHARDS Axelle 21% 42% 29% 7% -
21 MULLER Van 33% 56% 11% 1% -
22 KATS Ekaterina 16% 37% 32% 12% 2% -
23 REED Katherine 5% 25% 40% 24% 5% -
24 LAWRENCE Nia 18% 43% 31% 8% 1% -
25 EGOAVIL Isabella 16% 45% 33% 6% - -
26 KRINGS Sasha 53% 42% 5% - -
27 REHDER Miriam 5% 33% 40% 18% 4% -
28 ZHANG Vicky 37% 45% 16% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.