The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Take Action

Air Force ROC (DV1A, DV2, VET) & RJCC

Div II Men's Saber

Sunday, October 1, 2023 at 3:00 PM

Air Force Cadet Field House - Air Force Academy, CO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 FOX Gavin - - 8% 32% 42% 18%
2 DUDNICK Christian - 1% 5% 18% 34% 32% 11%
3 CHABENAT Guillaume - 1% 13% 37% 37% 12%
3 THOMAS Texas 1% 9% 40% 36% 12% 1%
5 IWAMOTO Eric Y. - - - - 1% 16% 83%
6 FERGUSON Constantine 1% 9% 35% 38% 16% 2%
7 CHAN Aidan - 1% 5% 19% 34% 30% 10%
8 DAWSON-TEECE Powell 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
9 RODRIGUEZ Erik - 2% 10% 26% 35% 22% 5%
10 LESUEUR Luke J. - 1% 12% 36% 38% 13%
11 MARQUEZ Jeremy - - 2% 13% 37% 43% 4%
12 LE Long 1% 9% 27% 37% 22% 4% -
13 FOREMAN Alexander E. - 2% 15% 36% 36% 12%
14 BARROWS Hunter 21% 50% 24% 5% - -
15 ROMAN Augusto 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 8% 1%
16 MENDOZA Christian 2% 12% 31% 35% 18% 3% -
17 OLARIO Raphael 9% 30% 36% 20% 5% - -
18 MIGHELL Jason - 1% 8% 29% 42% 21%
19 STENCEL Andrew E. 4% 20% 36% 28% 10% 1% -
20 COLTER richard - < 1% 6% 29% 44% 21%
21 KIM Connor 64% 32% 4% - - -
22 RAY Evan 18% 59% 20% 2% - -
23 CAUTHRON Oliver 21% 40% 29% 9% 1% - -
24 EZZELL Alexander 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
25 CHATTABOINA Haveesh 49% 41% 9% 1% - -
26 MERRIAM Isaiah G. 7% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.