The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Ben Gutenberg Memorial SYC / RCC

Y-14 Men's Foil

Saturday, September 30, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Golisano Training Center at Nazareth University - Rochester, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 XU Andy P. - - - 1% 7% 33% 59%
2 GUTH Joseph - - - 4% 18% 41% 36%
3 WONG Jackson - 2% 13% 36% 36% 12%
3 CHEN Ethan - 3% 13% 32% 36% 16%
5 HE Kyle - 1% 8% 23% 35% 26% 7%
6 GULCHIN Mark (Yerma) - - 1% 8% 26% 40% 25%
7 CHENG Logan - - 5% 26% 47% 21%
8 WONG Jacob W. - 5% 18% 34% 31% 12% 1%
9 PARRISH Evan - - - 2% 17% 48% 33%
10 CHEN Kyle P. - - 1% 9% 35% 55%
11 SHENG Dalton - - - 3% 15% 41% 41%
12 LU Nathan - 1% 9% 26% 37% 23% 3%
13 TANG Alexander L. - - - 2% 12% 38% 48%
14 XIE Jicheng 1% 9% 32% 40% 16% 2%
15 TOOMRE Kai - 2% 11% 29% 36% 19% 3%
16 LI Bradley - 1% 10% 31% 40% 17%
17 VOLLMER Quintin - - - 3% 18% 47% 32%
18 ZHAO Nathan - - 2% 15% 44% 39%
19 WANG Ancen 2% 13% 33% 35% 15% 2%
20 BERNARD Cohen - 1% 6% 22% 37% 28% 6%
21 SHAW eric 1% 12% 31% 34% 17% 4% -
22 FOGELSON Hugh - 4% 18% 33% 31% 12% 1%
23 MAZAHERI Fletcher 5% 22% 36% 26% 9% 1%
24 ZENG Rick - 4% 16% 34% 34% 12%
25 HE Ryan 8% 29% 37% 21% 5% -
26 HAN Alexander 2% 14% 32% 33% 15% 3%
27 MO Ethan - 2% 13% 34% 37% 12% 1%
28 LI Edison M. 2% 14% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
29 YU William - 1% 9% 27% 37% 22% 4%
30 HUANG Chenghan 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 7% 1%
31 KO Caleb - 5% 20% 34% 29% 11% 1%
32 XU Nathan 17% 37% 31% 12% 2% -
33 YU ShiLin (Harry) 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 10% 1%
34 SHIN Noah 17% 36% 31% 13% 3% - -
35 ABRAMKIN Tim 10% 33% 35% 17% 4% - -
36 WEI JR Shan 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
36 ZHANG Hanru 3% 18% 37% 31% 10% 1% -
38 HELMY Richard 3% 21% 36% 28% 10% 2% -
39 BELCHAMBER Mason 6% 25% 37% 25% 7% 1%
40 ZHANG Gavin 17% 39% 32% 11% 2% -
41 CZARNECKI Thomas 3% 21% 41% 28% 6% -
42 LU Jingyi - 2% 12% 33% 38% 15%
43 YU ShiYu (Henry) 13% 37% 35% 13% 2% -
44 SUN Henry - 4% 18% 33% 31% 13% 1%
45 HUANG Jinyao - 6% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1%
45 LI Evan 9% 32% 36% 18% 4% - -
47 GRIGORIEV Michael 1% 6% 21% 33% 27% 10% 1%
48 SENANI Arjun 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 8% 1%
48 ZHANG Ethan 41% 41% 15% 2% - - -
50 NABASSOUA Djibril 13% 34% 33% 16% 4% - -
50 GAO Andrew 5% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
52 JIN Andy 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% -
52 QIAN Zekai 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
54 KINGSLEY Griffin 4% 21% 38% 28% 8% 1% -
55 REN Ryan 1% 10% 29% 37% 20% 3%
56 BAI Austin 15% 38% 34% 12% 2% -
57 KIAYIAS Alexander 19% 44% 29% 7% 1% -
58 HU Daniel 40% 42% 16% 3% - - -
59 TANG Royce 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
60 KIM Ethan 50% 38% 11% 2% - - -
61 KAYE Ben 18% 39% 31% 11% 2% -
62 TSENG Lucas 35% 45% 18% 3% - -
63 CHEN kenneth 10% 31% 35% 18% 5% - -
64 WANG Luke 5% 25% 39% 25% 6% - -
65 ZHENG Austin 26% 41% 24% 7% 1% - -
66 WU Rayson siyu 5% 25% 38% 24% 7% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.