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(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Ben Gutenberg Memorial SYC / RCC

Y-12 Men's Foil

Sunday, October 1, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Golisano Training Center at Nazareth University - Rochester, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TOOMRE Kai - - - 3% 18% 42% 36%
2 BAI Austin - 1% 9% 28% 41% 22%
3 LI Bradley - - - - 3% 23% 75%
3 ZHAO Nathan - - - 1% 7% 35% 57%
5 CHENG Logan - - - 4% 17% 40% 38%
6 GRIGORIEV Michael - - 2% 14% 35% 38% 11%
7 LI Edison M. - 2% 12% 32% 38% 15%
8 ZHANG Gavin - - 2% 11% 30% 38% 19%
9 ZHANG Hanru - 2% 12% 32% 36% 15% 2%
10 KO Caleb - 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 8%
11 MO Ethan - 1% 5% 19% 34% 30% 11%
12 WANG Luke - 2% 14% 34% 33% 14% 2%
13 HOU Gaven - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
14 TANG Royce - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
15 XIE Jayden - 4% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
16 SHAW eric 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2%
17 HE Ryan 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
18 HUANG Jinyao - 1% 7% 26% 40% 23% 3%
19 CZARNECKI Thomas 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
20 LIU Alex 2% 12% 31% 34% 18% 4%
21 REN Ryan - 1% 5% 19% 35% 30% 9%
22 ZHANG Ethan 17% 37% 31% 13% 2% - -
23 XU Nathan - 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 2%
24 YU ShiLin (Harry) - 1% 8% 27% 39% 22% 2%
25 QU Zhida (richard) - 5% 20% 36% 30% 9%
26 ZHAI Alex 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
27 ZHUANG Disheng E. - 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 3%
28 PAN Howard Haoran - 6% 22% 37% 26% 7% 1%
29 LU Jingyi - - - 3% 15% 41% 40%
30 JIN Andy 1% 11% 30% 35% 19% 4%
31 CHEN kenneth 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
32 FONG Nicholas 1% 7% 24% 37% 24% 7% 1%
33 LU Hansen - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 5%
34 KINGSLEY Griffin - 2% 12% 28% 34% 20% 4%
35 JAZWINSKI Ryan - 1% 7% 25% 38% 25% 4%
36 SIU Max 1% 8% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
37 KIAYIAS Anthony - 2% 15% 35% 33% 13% 2%
38 YU ShiYu (Henry) - 5% 20% 35% 30% 10%
39 LI Jayden 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1%
40 WANG Ancen - 4% 17% 33% 30% 13% 2%
41 NG Kai 8% 27% 34% 22% 8% 1% -
42 ZHAI Derrick - 3% 12% 28% 34% 19% 3%
43 QIAN Zekai - 3% 15% 33% 34% 14% 1%
44 ZHANG Aaron 1% 7% 26% 38% 23% 5% -
45 MAZAHERI Theodore 3% 18% 34% 30% 13% 3% -
46 ZHENG Austin 39% 41% 17% 3% - -
47 HU Daniel 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% -
48 WANG Mendy - 3% 14% 31% 32% 17% 3%
49 KAYE Ben 5% 23% 37% 26% 9% 1% -
50 SINGH Jai Anand 33% 42% 20% 4% - - -
51 SU Aiden 4% 21% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
52 HU Michael 9% 31% 37% 19% 4% - -
53 MAZAHERI John 6% 27% 38% 22% 6% 1% -
54 NABASSOUA Djibril 5% 20% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
55 WU Rayson siyu 1% 16% 34% 31% 14% 3% -
56 KUBBA Krish 17% 44% 29% 8% 1% - -
57 WEI JR Shan 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 9% 1%
58 TSENG Lucas 20% 40% 28% 10% 2% - -
59 CHENUTULA Abhinav 85% 14% 1% - - - -
60 HARDWICK Alex 30% 44% 21% 4% - - -
61 CHAU Ivan 12% 33% 34% 16% 4% - -
62 KIAYIAS Alexander 8% 29% 37% 20% 5% -
63 LIN Joshua 2% 18% 42% 30% 8% 1% -
64 CHEN Kyler 19% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
65 RYNKOWSKI Ryno 16% 36% 31% 13% 3% - -
66 ZHAO David 8% 30% 38% 19% 5% - -
67 HOO Bezalel 2% 28% 43% 22% 5% - -
68 PECHOTA Augustus 43% 43% 13% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.