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James Madison University Open

Div III Mixed Foil

Sunday, October 8, 2023 at 1:30 PM

JMU University Rec Center - Harrisonburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 DOYLE Jacob 1% 13% 38% 37% 11%
2 REEDER Nicholas W. 1% 7% 27% 42% 22%
3 OTT James (Jimmy) P. - - - 5% 32% 63%
3 EDRALIN II Chadwick Q. - 7% 26% 38% 23% 5%
5 HINDS David E. - - 1% 14% 54% 31%
6 DELANNES-MOLKA Daniel 1% 12% 34% 36% 15% 2%
7 IVATURI Sivakrishna 9% 32% 37% 18% 4% < 1%
8 JHA Ritika - 4% 19% 37% 30% 9%
9 INGLE Kate - 3% 26% 66% 5% -
10 PISTONE Leah 20% 43% 29% 8% 1%
11 SOPHRONIUS Jeddie - 1% 13% 39% 39% 7%
12 KASPER Lucia 1% 13% 34% 35% 14% 2%
13 CONANT Aidan - 1% 7% 29% 43% 20%
14 CARLEY Aubrey 2% 12% 33% 35% 16% 2%
15 BOLTON Max - 3% 21% 50% 24% 1%
16 SENSENICH William 1% 6% 24% 39% 25% 5%
17 MEARS Caleb - 6% 31% 43% 19% 1%
18 CORBIN Ramsey - 2% 16% 41% 34% 6%
19 EDELMAN Catherine 62% 32% 6% < 1% - -
20 BAYLESS Varnum - 5% 29% 47% 17% 1%
21 FIGLOZZI Cordelia 25% 44% 25% 5% -
22 LEE Sophia 5% 38% 48% 8% - -
23 GUEVARRA Grace 2% 21% 40% 28% 7% 1%
24 STEFFENSEN Lily 1% 17% 46% 30% 6% -
25 GIBSON Karino 62% 31% 6% 1% - -
26 CASTILLO Natalie 45% 42% 12% 1% - -
27 WILLIAMS Morgan 41% 41% 15% 3% - -
27 BALDA Quinlan 1% 10% 33% 39% 16% 2%
29 YOUNIS Ayat 2% 14% 37% 36% 11%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.