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IFC 2023 Fall Classic

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, October 7, 2023 at 10:00 AM

Indianapolis Fencing Club - Indianapolis, IN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 THOMAS Samuel - - 1% 16% 47% 35%
2 GERACI Paul A. - - - 2% 20% 78%
3 WINGET William (Bill) D. - 3% 36% 51% 11%
3 MACNEIL Matthew - 12% 38% 37% 12% 1%
5 PAMERLEAU Ian - 3% 21% 46% 30%
6 PRIJATEL John R. - 1% 14% 51% 34%
7 CARDENAS Nathan A. - 1% 11% 47% 41%
8 LASKA Patryk - 1% 9% 45% 37% 8%
9 MARCUS Peter - 5% 47% 42% 7%
10 MBERIA Alexander 16% 47% 34% 3% < 1% -
11 MOHOV Aleksey - 1% 10% 39% 49%
12 BRENNEMAN Adam 2% 20% 52% 23% 3%
13 LAUER Michael - 2% 21% 49% 28%
14 STOCK Olivia 25% 44% 26% 5% -
15 CRAFT David M. 2% 21% 41% 29% 7% -
16 FULLER II Thomas 8% 31% 39% 18% 3%
17 MILLER Jackson - 6% 25% 41% 26% 2%
18 GILL Anhad 19% 53% 27% 1% - -
19 REEN Stephen 22% 59% 17% 1% -
20 HABEGGER Alexander 23% 49% 25% 3% -
21 STAUBITZ Marc 27% 64% 8% - -
22 PACK Josh 2% 18% 39% 31% 9% -
23 ELDRIDGE Darrell - < 1% 3% 24% 48% 25%
24 MACNEIL Sydney 55% 38% 7% - -
25 THARP Jayden 49% 41% 10% 1% -
26 WELLS Aenea 25% 45% 24% 5% - -
26 DUTTON Kimberly 71% 25% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.