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IFC 2023 Fall Classic

Senior Mixed Foil

Saturday, October 7, 2023 at 3:00 PM

Indianapolis Fencing Club - Indianapolis, IN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 LEUNG Ethan - 1% 5% 25% 44% 26%
2 BLAKEMAN Michael J. - - 6% 35% 59%
3 SANTOS Carlos R. - 2% 12% 32% 37% 17%
3 PALMA Matthew Dominic - - 1% 12% 50% 37%
5 GNEUHS Sam 3% 18% 39% 32% 9%
6 CHAN Matthew - - 3% 21% 50% 26%
7 KUE Temujin 13% 52% 29% 5% -
8 ISHANOVA Sofia 3% 17% 36% 31% 12% 1%
9 DENMAN Matthew L. - 2% 14% 35% 36% 12%
10 MARCUS Peter 2% 15% 34% 33% 14% 2%
11 PALMA Nathan Anthony 1% 9% 29% 40% 21%
12 HAAS Zane 16% 49% 28% 6% - -
13 HICKEY Connor 1% 17% 42% 33% 6% -
14 GOSMEYER Matthew E. - 5% 31% 44% 18% 1%
15 SMITH Erick 1% 11% 42% 38% 9%
16 WANG Jim 5% 28% 41% 22% 4%
17 DUNLAP Ian 9% 34% 39% 16% 2% -
18 BATES Austin 1% 12% 43% 40% 4%
19 TAN Isabella 1% 14% 36% 34% 14% 2%
20 LEE Claire L. 27% 42% 24% 6% 1%
21 FULLER II Thomas 11% 35% 35% 15% 3% -
22 JAMES John 44% 43% 12% 1% - -
23 VANWORMER Daniel - 4% 17% 35% 32% 11%
24 LASKA Patryk 3% 18% 36% 31% 11% 1%
25 SMITH Aiden 4% 25% 42% 24% 4%
26 BERNWANGER Phillip 63% 32% 5% - -
27 DVORAK Ryan 13% 36% 35% 14% 2% -
28 FRASER Alistair 25% 46% 25% 5% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.