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Probability density of pool victories

Birth Year

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	GONZALEZ Veronika	-	-	1%	6%	32%	61%
2	LEOU Korina	-	-	-	2%	12%	39%	47%
3	ZHANG Ashley	-	-	4%	20%	43%	33%
3	KWON Ava	-	-	2%	15%	42%	41%
5	GONG Joy	-	-	1%	12%	40%	47%
6	CHOI Charlotte	-	1%	9%	30%	42%	17%
6	NIU Jessica	-	-	4%	19%	43%	34%
8	NANDA Maanika	-	2%	10%	27%	36%	22%	4%
9	CHOWDHERY Myra	1%	12%	34%	36%	15%	2%
10	NEMORIN Rei	-	-	2%	16%	44%	38%
11	LEE Grace	1%	8%	27%	38%	22%	4%
12	LEE Kaitlin	1%	6%	23%	39%	27%	4%
13	HILD Anya	-	4%	22%	41%	28%	5%
14	XU Elaine	1%	7%	25%	39%	24%	5%
15	CHAU Zoey	2%	11%	28%	33%	20%	6%	1%
16	MCCARTHY Nora Louisa Abrous	4%	21%	37%	28%	8%	1%
17	WANG JiaQi	-	-	1%	7%	24%	40%	27%
18	SEO Kaitlyn	1%	7%	23%	35%	25%	8%	1%
19	KIM Grace	1%	6%	20%	33%	27%	11%	2%
20	ZONG Eliane	1%	7%	24%	35%	25%	8%	1%
21	YERENKOVA Ameliia	1%	5%	18%	32%	29%	13%	2%
22	OSMINKINA-JONES Kai	-	3%	16%	36%	34%	11%
23	MUNSHI Ridhima	-	5%	24%	41%	26%	4%
24	KATZ Emma	-	3%	16%	38%	34%	9%
25	KIM Eunjae	-	5%	21%	37%	29%	7%
26	JUNG Elise	12%	34%	35%	16%	3%	-
27	PIENKOWSKI Olivia	11%	34%	36%	16%	3%	-
27	JOHN Sophia	13%	36%	35%	13%	2%	-
29	MALUKI Nia	1%	8%	31%	40%	19%	3%
30	YOUNG Sienna	-	5%	20%	35%	29%	10%	1%
31	WANG Keira	6%	26%	38%	24%	6%	-
32	MOFFITT Charlotte	3%	24%	41%	26%	6%	-
33	LIAO Amber	9%	39%	37%	13%	2%	-
34	NEGROIU Mara	16%	38%	33%	12%	2%	-
35	KARAVAS Lucy	47%	39%	12%	2%	-	-
36	SPIESS Linnea	11%	33%	35%	17%	4%	-
37	BAO Amelia	23%	39%	27%	9%	2%	-	-
38	SAGER Bianca	22%	41%	27%	9%	1%	-	-
39	SMITH Genevieve	36%	44%	17%	3%	-	-
40	CHI Alicia	33%	47%	17%	2%	-	-
41	LAU Angela	15%	37%	33%	12%	2%	-
42	KABILING Anika Von Marie	1%	6%	19%	33%	28%	12%	2%
43	WANG Chloe	18%	40%	30%	10%	2%	-	-
44	LEE Elise	11%	33%	36%	16%	3%	-
45	DIBADJ Ava	1%	15%	39%	34%	11%	1%
46	CHANG Grace	31%	48%	18%	3%	-	-
47	CONVERSO-PARSONS Maia	12%	34%	35%	16%	3%	-
48	CHEN Chloe	2%	13%	34%	36%	14%	2%
48	PASSMAN Caroline	2%	18%	51%	25%	4%	-
50	GOLEN Grace	4%	19%	34%	28%	12%	3%	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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