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Probability density of pool victories

Birth Year

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	TENG EMMA	-	-	-	2%	17%	48%	33%
2	LOO Kaitlyn	-	-	-	2%	19%	48%	31%
3	VINOKUR Anita	-	-	2%	11%	31%	39%	17%
3	GONZALEZ Veronika	-	-	4%	16%	35%	35%	10%
5	MERMEGAS Olivia	-	3%	14%	30%	33%	17%	3%
6	LEOU Korina	-	-	5%	22%	43%	30%
7	YANNOPOULOS Pompie	-	5%	23%	41%	26%	5%
8	YERENKOVA Ameliia	1%	9%	27%	35%	22%	6%	-
9	GENTILE Vittoria	-	2%	14%	35%	34%	14%	2%
10	GUGALA Hanna	-	-	-	2%	13%	39%	46%
11	GONG Joy	-	-	4%	19%	37%	31%	9%
12	CHIANG Melissa	-	-	-	3%	17%	42%	38%
13	KWON Ava	-	-	5%	20%	38%	29%	8%
14	FOSS Persephone	-	1%	6%	21%	35%	29%	9%
15	AKULA Roszlynn	-	4%	18%	33%	30%	12%	1%
16	CHOI Charlotte	-	2%	12%	30%	35%	18%	3%
17	LEE Kaitlin	2%	13%	32%	33%	17%	4%	< 1%
18	ZHANG Ashley	-	1%	8%	24%	36%	25%	7%
19	WANG JiaQi	-	-	3%	15%	33%	35%	13%
20	NIU Jessica	-	-	3%	22%	47%	24%	4%
21	STADNIK Emilia	-	1%	7%	23%	36%	26%	7%
22	BUSH Bethany	-	-	1%	7%	26%	42%	25%
23	GUHA Surabhi	5%	22%	36%	27%	9%	1%	-
24	ZONG Eliane	2%	12%	32%	34%	17%	4%	-
25	MACKAY Katherine	1%	8%	28%	40%	20%	3%
26	KIM Grace	6%	26%	39%	23%	5%	-
27	NANDA Maanika	1%	6%	22%	35%	26%	9%	1%
28	LAFFY Lily	1%	8%	29%	42%	18%	2%	-
29	CHANG Elle	-	3%	15%	33%	33%	14%	2%
30	CHAN Madeleine V.	-	1%	10%	27%	36%	21%	4%
31	HAGN Luna	19%	41%	29%	9%	1%	-	-
32	WONG Charlene	4%	19%	35%	29%	11%	2%	-
33	LEE Hannah	3%	17%	34%	31%	13%	2%	-
34	GALLAGHER Isabella	26%	45%	24%	5%	-	-	-
35	ENG Madeleine	6%	37%	39%	15%	3%	-	-
36	CUTLER Juliet	3%	26%	39%	24%	8%	1%	-
37	FONG Abigail	26%	43%	24%	6%	1%	-	-
38	DESAUTELS Alexandra	27%	42%	24%	6%	1%	-
39	YOUNG Sienna	1%	12%	31%	34%	18%	4%	-
40	MCCARTHY Nora Louisa Abrous	25%	41%	25%	8%	1%	-	-
41	BORDUCCI Madeleine	18%	42%	31%	8%	1%	-	-
42	CHI Alicia	52%	36%	10%	1%	-	-	-
43	KIM Eunjae	2%	19%	41%	28%	9%	1%	-
44	KAKAR Sahana	1%	9%	32%	36%	17%	4%	-
45	STEDMAN Sienna	3%	21%	42%	27%	6%	-
46	DIBADJ Ava	59%	34%	7%	1%	-	-	-
47	SMITH Genevieve	69%	28%	3%	-	-	-	-
48	CHURCH Madeline	10%	36%	39%	13%	1%	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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