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October NAC

Div I Men's Foil

Thursday, October 26, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Orange County Convention Center - Orlando, FL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
1 CHAMLEY-WATSON Miles C. - - - 4% 19% 42% 34%
2 MEINHARDT Gerek L. - - - 1% 9% 35% 55%
3 LOUIE Bryce - - - 3% 18% 47% 32%
3 CHEN Andrew - 1% 6% 22% 35% 27% 8%
5 CHEN James P. - 1% 5% 20% 37% 30% 8%
6 NDIAYE Edriss G. - 1% 6% 19% 34% 30% 10%
7 OLIVARES Marcello G. - - 1% 5% 21% 41% 31%
8 BOURTIS James S. - - 1% 5% 22% 43% 29%
9 KUMBLA Samarth - - 4% 15% 32% 34% 14%
10 KUMBLA Sidarth - - - - 6% 32% 62%
11 ZHANG Daniel D. - - 2% 11% 32% 39% 15%
12 MASSIALAS Alexander C. - - - - 3% 22% 75%
13 ITKIN Nick (Nikita) B. - - - - 2% 18% 81%
14 GRAHAM Roy J. 2% 13% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
15 XIAO Enoch A. - 5% 18% 34% 30% 11% 1%
16 RUSADZE Nickolas 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 3% -
17 KELLY William J. - - 4% 18% 39% 33% 5%
18 YANG Luao - 2% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
19 OURSLER Jack - 5% 19% 35% 29% 10% 1%
20 LEWIS Paul D. - - - 1% 4% 10% 19% 25% 22% 13% 5% 1% -
21 GASSNER Ethan I. - - 3% 15% 34% 35% 12%
22 EMMER Chase T. - - 1% 6% 22% 41% 31%
23 BINDER Zachary (Zach) B. - 2% 13% 30% 35% 17% 3%
24 CHEN Allen - 1% 4% 17% 34% 32% 11%
25 SNYTSHEUVEL John Evan (Evan) - - - - - 1% 4% 12% 24% 29% 21% 8% 1%
26 JOHNSON Aidan J. - - - - 3% 9% 20% 28% 25% 12% 3% -
27 LI Richard - - - - 1% 4% 11% 21% 27% 22% 11% 3% -
28 BURKE Spencer W. - - - - 1% 3% 10% 21% 28% 23% 11% 3% -
29 BANERJEE ANUP 4% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
30 SCHEMBRI MCCORD Kruz T. - - - 1% 4% 12% 22% 26% 20% 10% 3% 1% -
31 MITBERG Gregory W. - 3% 14% 32% 35% 15% 1%
32 HASSANIN Mohamed - - 1% 4% 11% 21% 25% 21% 11% 4% 1% - -
33 LI Brandon H. - - 1% 7% 34% 59%
34 STANLEY Mason B. - - - - 1% 3% 10% 21% 28% 23% 11% 3% < 1%
35 KIM Nicholas W. - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
36 TOTUSEK Marek - - - - - - - 1% 5% 16% 30% 33% 15%
37 TEMPLE Jackson 1% 4% 14% 24% 26% 19% 9% 3% 1% - - -
38 UM Ethan A. - - 3% 14% 32% 36% 15%
39 LEE Jacob J - - - 1% 3% 10% 20% 27% 23% 12% 3% - -
40 HAY Gavin - - - 1% 2% 8% 16% 24% 24% 16% 7% 2% -
41 SINGH Dayaal - - - - 1% 2% 8% 17% 26% 25% 15% 5% 1%
42 LI Matthew - 1% 5% 15% 25% 26% 17% 8% 2% < 1% - -
43 HUTH Mitchell - - - - 1% 3% 10% 20% 26% 23% 12% 4% -
44 KUCEBA Vitalijs - - - 3% 19% 47% 31%
45 FUKUDA Renzo K. - - 1% 4% 12% 22% 27% 21% 10% 3% - -
46 WU Alexander - - - - 2% 6% 15% 25% 27% 18% 6% 1% -
47 LEE Aidan - - - 1% 5% 13% 23% 26% 20% 9% 2% - -
48 KIM Ryan Y. - - 3% 9% 18% 25% 23% 14% 6% 2% - - -
49 BRUK Peter J. - - - - 2% 6% 14% 23% 26% 19% 8% 2% -
50 KNIZHNIK David - - 2% 7% 17% 26% 25% 15% 6% 1% - - -
51 CHEN Raymond - - - - 1% 3% 10% 21% 28% 23% 11% 2%
52 YU Vinni - - - - 2% 7% 17% 26% 26% 16% 5% 1% -
53 DESERANNO Jeidus - - - - 2% 7% 17% 26% 25% 15% 6% 1% -
54 TRAUGOT Owen G. - 1% 7% 19% 28% 25% 14% 5% 1% - - - -
55 SONG Leonardo T. - - - 1% 4% 12% 22% 26% 21% 10% 3% -
56 JEON Caleb A. - - - - 2% 7% 17% 26% 25% 15% 5% 1% -
57 ZHAI Jeffrey - - 1% 6% 15% 24% 25% 17% 8% 2% - - -
58 SISINNI Riccardo - 3% 12% 23% 26% 20% 10% 4% 1% - - -
59 KIM Brandon J. - - - - 2% 8% 19% 30% 27% 12% 2%
60 KIM Yonjae - - - - - 2% 8% 19% 28% 25% 13% 4% -
61 BAE Kevin - - 2% 7% 15% 23% 24% 17% 8% 3% - - -
62 XIAO Ethan J. - 2% 14% 34% 35% 13% 1%
63 LI Owen - - 2% 6% 14% 22% 24% 18% 9% 3% 1% - -
64 CHEN Ziyuan - 2% 11% 28% 36% 20% 3%
65 CULLIVAN Justice 1% 8% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
66 MURUHIN Yaroslav - - 2% 6% 15% 24% 25% 17% 8% 3% 1% - -
67 GODZHIK Zachary - - 2% 7% 16% 25% 25% 16% 7% 2% - - -
67 SIU Aiden - - - 2% 7% 16% 25% 25% 16% 6% 1% - -
69 WONG Adrian - 4% 13% 24% 27% 20% 9% 3% 1% - - -
70 HO Jia Le Sean - - - 2% 8% 17% 25% 24% 15% 6% 2% - -
71 KARBONOWSKI Kamil - - - - 1% 3% 11% 22% 29% 23% 10% 2% -
72 KAO Castor T. - - - - 1% 5% 14% 24% 27% 19% 7% 1% -
73 KASI Sanjay - 3% 13% 30% 34% 17% 3%
73 JOSEPH Dominic (Dom) - - 1% 5% 13% 22% 25% 20% 10% 3% - -
73 ZHANG Yun Isaac - 2% 8% 19% 27% 24% 14% 5% 1% - - - -
76 TIYA BIAYA K. 1% 6% 16% 26% 26% 16% 7% 2% - - - - -
77 SADOVSKY Leor B. - 1% 6% 14% 23% 25% 18% 9% 3% 1% - - -
78 LIANG Lixi (Henry) - - - 1% 5% 16% 27% 27% 17% 6% 1% -
79 LUH Ethan K. - - 2% 7% 16% 24% 24% 16% 7% 2% - - -
80 AUGUSTINE Aaron A. 1% 6% 19% 30% 26% 14% 4% 1% - - - - -
81 XIAO EDWARD - 1% 4% 13% 23% 27% 20% 9% 3% - -
82 KLOTZ Isaiah 2% 11% 25% 29% 21% 9% 3% - - - - - -
83 GRASS Andrew E. - - - 1% 4% 11% 21% 26% 22% 11% 3% -
84 GRIFFITH JACK - - 1% 4% 11% 21% 26% 21% 12% 4% 1% -
85 ROSE Ben - 1% 5% 13% 23% 25% 19% 9% 3% 1% - - -
86 HUTH Jacob - - 1% 3% 9% 18% 25% 23% 14% 6% 1% - -
87 GARCIA Sebastian R. - - 4% 12% 24% 27% 20% 9% 3% - - - -
88 WONG Adam L. - - - 1% 3% 10% 20% 26% 23% 13% 4% 1% -
89 SHA Yi Peng - - 3% 11% 23% 28% 21% 10% 3% - - -
90 PARK Jason B. 2% 11% 25% 29% 20% 10% 3% 1% - - - - -
91 DIERKS Kian - 1% 4% 12% 22% 26% 20% 10% 4% 1% - - -
92 LEWIS Akhil - 4% 13% 24% 27% 19% 9% 3% 1% - - -
92 DESHMUKH Arjun - 1% 6% 15% 23% 25% 18% 9% 3% 1% - - -
94 JAIN Aditya - 1% 5% 14% 24% 26% 18% 8% 2% - -
95 WU Nicholas - - - 3% 10% 21% 27% 22% 12% 4% 1% - -
96 XU Jia Bao (Bowen) - - 1% 5% 14% 24% 27% 19% 8% 2% - - -
97 SIMA Congyu Josh 3% 12% 23% 27% 20% 10% 4% 1% - - - - -
98 VOGLER Justin K. - - - 3% 16% 42% 39%
99 KORABLIN Anton - 4% 16% 35% 33% 12%
100 LOVE Aaron - 5% 21% 38% 29% 8%
101 GOOR Julian - - - 4% 21% 43% 32%
102 LO Conrad - - 2% 10% 27% 38% 23%
103 LEE Jacob - 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
104 GRIFFIN John O. - - 3% 13% 30% 36% 17%
105 WANG Brian S. - - 1% 6% 28% 47% 19%
106 LI Edward - 3% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3%
107 DINSAY Kristjan - 5% 21% 36% 28% 9% 1%
108 NAGIMOV Marsel - - - 1% 12% 43% 43%
109 MOHAMED Amir 4% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
110 HOOSHI Jayden C. - 4% 17% 35% 33% 11%
111 HAMILTON Bogdan A. - - 1% 11% 43% 46%
112 REYES Omar 1% 15% 38% 34% 11% 1% -
113 DAVIDSON Elliot 2% 13% 30% 33% 17% 4% -
114 HOLMES Stuart S. - - - 5% 24% 43% 27%
115 GONG Benjamin - 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
116 KIAYIAS Aris 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1% -
117 FOGELSON Frederick J. - - 5% 21% 39% 28% 7%
118 LU Yikai 3% 14% 29% 31% 18% 5% 1%
119 YU Jason 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3% -
120 PO Oliver 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4% -
121 CANO Marcos E. 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
122 DORAN Wesley C. 7% 29% 37% 21% 5% 1%
123 WOO Christian - 2% 13% 33% 37% 15%
124 TANG Owen S. - 9% 31% 39% 18% 3%
125 SONG Aiden S. - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
125 KLOSTERMANN Max 1% 11% 29% 36% 19% 4%
127 ARIZA Isaac A. 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 7%
127 CANLAS Nathan - 6% 27% 45% 19% 2%
129 HAN Changhee 3% 27% 41% 23% 6% -
130 SHAFAIE Kaveh - 1% 10% 29% 40% 20%
130 MCCLAIN Bryce C. 1% 9% 29% 37% 20% 4%
132 MAURER Ned (John) E. - 2% 14% 35% 37% 12%
133 ZHAO Jason L. - 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
133 HOOSHI Dylan M. - 4% 16% 32% 31% 14% 2%
135 LI Eric - 5% 17% 31% 30% 14% 2%
136 SCHAEFER Joshua M. 12% 34% 34% 16% 3% - -
136 JANG Jaewon - - 4% 17% 34% 32% 12%
136 LIN Michael - 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 3%
139 LI Raphael C. - 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 7%
140 BAS Liam - - 1% 8% 28% 41% 21%
141 XU Xinhao ( Sonny) 13% 40% 33% 12% 2% - -
142 SULLIVAN Jackson R. - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
143 LEE Chris 1% 9% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
143 LIN James G. 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% 1%
145 ELWOOD Sebastian F. - 5% 19% 35% 29% 11% 1%
146 ZOBEL Eric H. - 2% 10% 27% 36% 22% 5%
147 DESAI Nalin H. - 1% 7% 24% 38% 25% 5%
148 FUKUDA Diego 18% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
149 ONIK Elijah T. - - 2% 9% 28% 40% 21%
150 TAHOUN Mostafa 10% 30% 34% 19% 6% 1% -
150 NICOLETTI Luca 10% 32% 35% 18% 4% - -
152 JITTAN daniel 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1%
153 SHAFAIE Ali - 1% 10% 31% 40% 16% 2%
154 LIGOS Alex M. 3% 18% 37% 29% 10% 2% -
155 TSIMIKLIS Yanni 3% 20% 37% 29% 10% 1%
156 MYERS Dean 7% 32% 42% 16% 2% -
157 KATAYAMA Kevin - 4% 19% 38% 31% 9%
158 DAI Jonathan T. 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
159 BALL James T. 3% 17% 36% 31% 12% 1%
160 BARTEL Jacob L. 6% 23% 33% 25% 10% 2% -
161 LING Eddie 2% 13% 36% 33% 14% 2% -
162 WYMAN Julian 3% 16% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
163 GATZA Logan 4% 22% 38% 27% 9% 1% -
164 DOBBINS Evan W. - 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
165 FORTUNE Alexander J. 3% 16% 31% 30% 15% 4% -
166 DETERING Julian 3% 15% 30% 31% 16% 4% -
167 KEE Andrew L. 2% 10% 25% 33% 22% 8% 1%
168 MATSAKH Philip 5% 25% 38% 24% 7% 1% -
169 BELLUOMO David C. - 1% 11% 30% 37% 18% 3%
170 AHN Jun - 4% 17% 31% 30% 14% 2%
170 GAO Payton 24% 41% 26% 8% 1% - -
172 MAGIDSON Gabriel - 1% 8% 26% 38% 22% 4%
173 GUERRA Gabriel H. 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% 1%
173 MEJIA MATTHEW D. 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
175 JAUME Andrei 3% 15% 31% 31% 15% 4% -
176 LANG Dong Lin 2% 15% 35% 32% 13% 2%
177 LEE Jonah 33% 42% 20% 5% 1% -
178 HU Robin 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% -
179 YAP Nathan 38% 44% 16% 2% - -
180 CHEN Boris 38% 42% 17% 3% - -
181 GORDON Jacob 1% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3%
182 ADLER David R. - - 2% 10% 31% 41% 16%
183 WU Alistair 13% 35% 33% 15% 3% - -
184 WU DING-JUN 9% 40% 37% 13% 2% - -
185 MOORE Jeremy S. - 2% 11% 26% 34% 21% 5%
186 MARTINEZ Donavyn E. - 1% 9% 26% 37% 22% 4%
187 TANG Albert 4% 19% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
188 GERVAIS Joel - 3% 19% 39% 29% 9% 1%
189 KELLY Benjamin J. 1% 8% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1%
189 LIMA Kevin M. - 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 3%
189 JEFFERY Jakob 26% 42% 25% 7% 1% - -
192 FREEDMAN Samuel E. - - 3% 14% 34% 37% 12%
193 TANG August L. 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
193 ORTEGA Jose-Arnel 45% 40% 13% 2% - - -
195 HOSKERI Anik S. 6% 27% 38% 22% 6% 1% -
196 ORR Spencer 2% 13% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
197 ORLOV Dmitriy 8% 29% 37% 20% 5% 1% -
198 MILLER Jeffrey E. 1% 9% 27% 37% 22% 5%
199 DEGROOT Blake 1% 15% 38% 33% 11% 1%
200 BING Charles 3% 16% 34% 32% 14% 2%
201 SONG Noel 14% 42% 34% 9% 1% -
202 LORENZO Alejandro 27% 43% 23% 5% 1% -
203 LEE Brendan 43% 40% 14% 2% - -
204 MURRAY Maximo 6% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1%
205 MOHAMED Murad 7% 36% 38% 16% 3% -
206 LEWIS Jared 19% 41% 29% 9% 1% -
207 CO Dylan 4% 18% 32% 29% 14% 3% -
208 CORTRIGHT Skipper 10% 31% 34% 19% 5% 1% -
209 JI Aidan Y. 7% 25% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
210 OH SEAN 1% 8% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1%
211 LIU Zixian (Aaron) 26% 41% 25% 7% 1% - -
212 LONG Quinton R. 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
212 KIM Jackson 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
214 VALOUEV Aleksey - 4% 17% 34% 32% 11% 1%
215 GRISWOLD Abel B. - 4% 17% 33% 30% 13% 2%
215 XIAO Bowen 7% 28% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
217 GUTH Joseph 22% 40% 28% 9% 1% - -
217 REYES Manuel A 12% 32% 34% 17% 4% 1% -
217 SHAPIRO Leon 27% 46% 22% 5% - - -
220 JIANG Owen 4% 18% 32% 29% 14% 3% -
220 EDISON Ansel 36% 42% 18% 4% - - -
222 HAINES Ethan 10% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
223 LE Jacob W. 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
223 TAN Christien 4% 21% 36% 27% 10% 2% -
225 RAJ Jay 22% 47% 26% 5% - - -
225 HE Xiangrui 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 8% 1%
227 GHAZALI Omer 23% 43% 26% 7% 1% - -
228 KALIPERSAD Neil A. 37% 45% 16% 2% - - -
229 WONG Antonio 8% 30% 37% 19% 5% 1% -
230 ALONSO Vinicius 45% 41% 12% 2% - - -
231 GOGOI Vir K. 7% 27% 36% 22% 7% 1% -
232 SOTO-ULEV Aden A. 11% 39% 34% 13% 3% - -
232 CHEN Charlie Tian-You 5% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
232 LEVY Jacob 29% 45% 21% 4% - - -
235 DUSZA Zachery 21% 42% 28% 8% 1% - -
236 LEE Seungwon 12% 32% 33% 18% 5% 1% -
237 SANTOS Carlos R. 45% 40% 13% 2% - - -
238 ELKOUSY Laith H. 19% 39% 29% 10% 2% -
239 WANG Mason 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
240 KANAR Ian 43% 41% 14% 2% - -
241 WHEELOCK Bryan M. 8% 30% 37% 19% 5% 1% -
242 PETERSON Matthew 72% 25% 3% - - -
243 TRIPARI Jose G. 9% 27% 34% 21% 7% 1% -
243 LOVIN Vlad 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
245 KUZMAK Michael J. 47% 40% 12% 2% - - -
246 SHAGIDANYAN German 45% 40% 13% 2% - -
247 IVANENKO Alex 59% 34% 6% - - - -
248 FEDONCHIK Henry J. 16% 37% 32% 12% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.