October NAC

Cadet Women's Épée

Saturday, October 28, 2023 at 2:00 PM

Orange County Convention Center - Orlando, FL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KORFONTA Jolie 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 63%
2 YIN Julia 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 50%
3 CHISHOLM Phoebe C. 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 8%
3 LEE REGINA 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 57%
5 LIN Elaine 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 59% 19%
6 ZHANG Victoria R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 59%
7 BARG Daniella 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 10%
8 GAJJALA Sharika R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 59%
9 TOLSMA Chloe (CJ) 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 21%
10 CARRIER Meredith 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 30% 5%
11 YU Nicole J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
12 POTAPENKO Margarita D. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 46% 9%
13 SCHMITT Harper 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 2% -
14 YOU Emily 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 9%
15 ELSTON Sophia 100% 100% 97% 81% 43% 10%
16 DUBEAU Alexa 100% 100% 95% 77% 46% 17% 3%
17 ZIGALO Elizabeth 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
18 SOBUS Yanka 100% 97% 79% 43% 13% 1%
19 SPRINGER Sierra 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 31%
20 BECKMAN Ana 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 23%
21 LEE Scarlett 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 16%
22 XUAN Nicole J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 74%
23 LI Fei 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 28% 5%
24 BUSH emma 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 10%
25 GUO Luxi 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 17% 2%
26 RAKHOVSKI Alexandra 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 26%
27 SHIV Avni 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 16%
28 FURMAN Maria 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 29% 4%
29 KOZLOWSKI Maya M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 22%
30 WANG Zoe 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
31 PRESMAN Aerin 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% 1%
32 WALLER DEL VALLE Alanis 100% 94% 70% 32% 7% 1%
33 SMUK Alexandra S. 100% 100% 98% 86% 51% 14%
34 PECK Maia A. 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 37% 6%
35 SHU Youshan 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 10%
36 GEVA Eliana 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 2%
37 QI Jarynne Valerie 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 52% 15%
38 NEMETH Katherine 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 12%
39 CAFASSO Natalya 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
40 SEREGIN Katya 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 5% -
41 CANNING Charlotte 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 8%
42 HAFEEZ Hania 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
43 FENG Ge 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 16%
44 PINNAMANENI Drithi 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 27% 3%
45 PROFIS Liora 100% 100% 99% 89% 55% 17% 2%
46 XIAO Nancy 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 30% 5%
47 NGUYEN Tallulah 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
48 BALAKRISHNAN Trisha 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 10% 1%
49 FREEMAN Kit 100% 94% 70% 36% 11% 2% -
50 LI Zhenni (Jenny) 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 42% 6%
51 DEPOMMIER Isabelle 100% 100% 95% 79% 48% 17% 3%
51 YANG Alisa 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 26%
53 HAFEEZ Hiba 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 18% 2%
54 JAKEL Alysa C. 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 17% 2%
55 ZHU Serene M. 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 29% 5%
56 YAO Melinda 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 19%
57 CAMPBELL Eva 100% 96% 76% 38% 10% 1%
58 BEZUGLAYA Varvara 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 26%
59 SENYUVA Su 100% 99% 92% 64% 26% 4%
60 LEE Olivia 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
61 WATTANAKIT Anda 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 35% 4%
62 ABUELFUTUH Sama 100% 100% 93% 69% 32% 7% 1%
63 FRANGER Macy 100% 100% 94% 70% 32% 7% -
64 MISHIMA Audrey 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 6% 1%
65 SONG Angela 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
66 LEE Natasha 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 35%
67 KIM Zoe L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 49%
68 SKILLMAN Natalie 100% 96% 73% 34% 8% 1% -
69 MUELLER Emma M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 20%
70 KIM Jayna 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 42% 8%
70 FERREIRA DE MELO Adriana 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 23% 4%
70 PHUKAN Indra 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 31% 3%
73 XIONG Angelica 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 25% 3%
74 KAUR Manroop 100% 88% 50% 15% 2% - -
75 XU Serena 100% 100% 96% 77% 43% 13% 1%
76 ELTERMAN Kate 100% 91% 50% 13% 2% - -
77 AZMEH nour 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 44% 8%
78 WITTER Catherine A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
79 KUMAR Anusha 100% 100% 95% 73% 33% 7% 1%
80 SWENSON Nikita G. 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 19%
81 HILBY Olivia 100% 61% 17% 2% - -
82 AI Amy 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 24%
83 XU Celina 100% 71% 23% 3% - -
84 LIANG Jingjing 100% 99% 90% 60% 23% 3%
85 LIU Baihan 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
86 HAYNES Antonia 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 4% -
87 GUJJA Misha 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4%
88 NIX Reagan 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 23% 2%
89 SHANKERDAS Shreeya 100% 95% 64% 21% 3% - -
90 KUMAR Eva 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 20% 2%
91 WONG Caitlin 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 4% -
91 PARSONS Mischa 100% 96% 71% 33% 8% 1% -
93 NOVOJILOV Anastasia 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 10% 1%
94 CHANG Chloe 100% 99% 84% 47% 14% 2% -
95 NGUYEN Ashley L. 100% 99% 91% 62% 21% 3% -
96 SU Evelyn 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 23% 2%
97 FLITMAN Gabrielle 100% 90% 54% 16% 2% - -
98 STERN Savannah 100% 81% 41% 12% 2% - -
98 MARTINEZ Christina 100% 99% 89% 56% 20% 3% -
100 MCQUEEN Morgan 100% 96% 72% 30% 6% - -
101 MUN Brianna K. 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 33% 5%
101 JEYOON Lauren 100% 54% 14% 2% - - -
101 IYER Ishana 100% 98% 85% 51% 17% 2% -
104 WANG Jessie 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
105 DONGES Anna 100% 100% 97% 78% 37% 8% 1%
106 CHIRASHNYA Mika 100% 97% 72% 30% 6% 1% -
107 CHUANG Ramona 100% 97% 75% 37% 10% 1% -
108 BEAVER Ava 100% 99% 92% 63% 24% 4%
109 LEE Claire 100% 99% 93% 66% 28% 5%
110 WANG Ziqi (yoyo) 100% 100% 99% 87% 53% 15%
111 FANG Jocelyn 100% 92% 60% 22% 4% - -
112 LEE Camilla 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 11% 1%
113 MONOVA Lilyana 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 4% -
114 KUDRYAVTSEVA Margarita 100% 100% 96% 76% 37% 8% -
115 WANG Victoria 100% 100% 95% 73% 36% 8% 1%
115 CREMONA Viola Maria 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 15% 1%
117 WANG Trinity 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 13% 2%
118 NEELAM Navya 100% 99% 88% 56% 21% 4% -
118 HALE Avery 100% 91% 57% 20% 4% - -
120 BARCLAY Khyri 100% 94% 68% 32% 9% 1% -
120 HSIU Elizabeth 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 6% -
120 NGUYEN Ella 100% 94% 60% 20% 3% - -
123 STERR Isabella M. 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 6% -
124 MEYER Rachel 100% 87% 55% 22% 5% 1% -
124 KALGAONKAR Arohi 100% 98% 74% 33% 8% 1% -
126 SMOTRITSKY Liat 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
127 ILYAS Ayah 100% 69% 26% 5% - -
128 GANSER Nicole 100% 88% 52% 17% 3% -
129 RICHARDSON Meredith 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 8% 1%
129 QI Julieanne 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3% -
131 HAUSHEER Kuncen 100% 86% 46% 13% 2% - -
132 BARDIN Kira 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
133 LIANG Angela 100% 54% 14% 2% - - -
134 YOU Isabel B. 100% 97% 78% 43% 14% 2% -
134 FENG Iris 100% 92% 61% 24% 5% - -
136 FERNLUND Helen 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
137 SAYAGUES Isabella 100% 93% 63% 23% 4% - -
138 SHETH Anayaà 100% 62% 20% 3% - - -
138 ZHANG Helen 100% 61% 19% 3% - - -
140 KERENYI Vilma 100% 97% 83% 51% 20% 4% -
141 MEYER Rebecca 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% - -
142 GAVASHELI Margarita 100% 61% 20% 3% - - -
143 WANG Ziqiao (Claire) 100% 83% 40% 10% 1% -
144 MOLLINIER Angel 100% 81% 41% 11% 1% -
144 CHANG Abigail 100% 65% 19% 3% - -
146 RAFFERTY Catherine 100% 62% 20% 3% - - -
147 CHATIKHINE Anastasia 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 3% -
148 KOMAROW Anastasia 100% 57% 15% 2% - - -
149 NELSON Grace E. 100% 81% 43% 14% 2% - -
149 PULLEN Ayah 100% 98% 85% 52% 19% 3% -
151 DONG Angela 100% 98% 87% 56% 22% 4% -
152 WANG Angelina 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 17% 2%
153 STOMMEL-DIAZ Charly 100% 95% 70% 31% 7% 1% -
154 LIU Nicole 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 28% 5%
155 SYKES Elynor 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 22% 3%
155 KOVALCHUK Erika S. 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 7% 1%
157 HOAGLAND Sally 100% 70% 25% 5% - - -
157 LOZIER Grace 100% 74% 31% 7% 1% - -
157 SUN Hanya 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 6% 1%
160 YUMIACO Nylah 100% 67% 25% 5% 1% - -
160 NOH Rachel 100% 94% 57% 17% 2% - -
162 MURPHY Katherine 100% 80% 37% 9% 1% - -
163 MARTIN Adriana 100% 80% 38% 10% 1% - -
164 TOFFELMIRE Audrey E. 100% 79% 37% 9% 1% - -
164 WALLER DEL VALLE Andrea 100% 97% 75% 32% 7% 1% -
166 YOUSSEF Caroline 100% 83% 40% 9% 1% - -
166 MILLER Cassandra 100% 65% 21% 3% - - -
168 LEWIS Rachel 100% 96% 73% 34% 8% 1% -
169 REKEDA Anna 100% 93% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
170 CHI Sarah 100% 61% 19% 3% - - -
171 DASILVA Mia 100% 70% 29% 7% 1% - -
172 LEE Gloria Y. 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% -
173 D'ANGELO Olivia 100% 39% 6% - - - -
174 CUEVA Viola 100% 89% 51% 16% 3% - -
175 KOH Millicent 100% 25% 3% - - - -
176 DAVIS Elisabeth 100% 37% 5% - - - -
177 MANIKANDAN Aashrithaa 100% 43% 9% 1% - - -
177 SUN Joanna 100% 47% 11% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.