October NAC

Div I Women's Épée

Sunday, October 29, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Orange County Convention Center - Orlando, FL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
1 CEBULA Anne 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 14%
2 GUZZI VINCENTI Margherita A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 37%
3 NIXON Catherine (Kasia) D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
3 LIU Charlene (Kai) 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 54%
5 HOLMES Katharine (Kat) W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 63%
6 TOBY Natalia R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 25%
7 MACHULSKY Leehi 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 29% 3%
8 KUZNETSOV Victoria 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 97% 88% 69% 42% 18% 5% 1%
9 WASHINGTON Isis 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 43%
10 GRADY Miriam A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 29%
11 KHAMIS Yasmine A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 78% 47% 14%
12 GU Sarah 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 35% 7%
13 OXENREIDER Tierna A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 22%
14 LIN Jessica Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 67% 17%
15 JOYCE Michaela 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 29%
16 WATRALL Christina 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 16% 2%
17 YIN Julia 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 7% 1%
18 HUSISIAN Hadley N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
19 PIRKOWSKI Amanda L. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 21%
20 FALLON Kyle R. 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 22% 4%
21 PARK Faith K. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 21%
22 RATZLAFF Jocelyn T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 80% 55% 27% 7% 1%
23 GANDHI Sedna S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 93% 79% 55% 27% 8% 1%
24 CHIN Isabella 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 35% 6%
25 ZHENG Evelyn 100% 100% 99% 96% 85% 64% 37% 15% 4% 1% - -
26 XIAO Ruien 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8%
27 YAMANAKA Mina 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 93% 80% 58% 32% 13% 3% -
28 BARG Daniella 100% 100% 98% 91% 75% 50% 25% 9% 2% - - - -
29 MILLETTE Marie Frederique 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 78% 50% 20% 4%
30 SEBASTIAN Felicity A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 93% 81% 59% 33% 14% 4% 1% -
31 BEI Karen 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 85% 63% 36% 14% 3% -
32 GAJJALA Sharika R. 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 16% 2%
33 ZIGALO Elizabeth 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 28% 3%
34 RAKHOVSKI Alexandra 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 84% 63% 37% 16% 4% 1% - -
35 KORFONTA Jolie 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 16% 2%
36 TYLER Syd 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 92% 77% 51% 24% 6% 1%
37 KHARCHYNA Polina 100% 99% 87% 56% 23% 5% -
38 BASSA Francesca A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 72%
40 VAN MARION Kirsten C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 85% 63% 36% 14% 3% -
41 WU Fan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 87% 68% 43% 20% 6% 1% -
42 O'DONNELL Amanda A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 84% 62% 36% 14% 3% -
42 LEE Michelle J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 82% 60% 33% 13% 3% -
44 FENG Ge 100% 100% 97% 87% 64% 37% 15% 4% 1% - - -
45 LEE Sumin 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 21% 3%
46 XUAN Nicole J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 86% 65% 36% 14% 3% -
47 KETKAR Ketki 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 26%
47 WATTANAKIT Anda 100% 99% 93% 76% 49% 23% 8% 2% - - - -
49 MUELLER Emma M. 100% 99% 94% 76% 49% 23% 7% 2% - - - -
49 WITTER Catherine A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 83% 62% 36% 15% 4% 1% - -
51 RAUSCH Ariana (Ari) M. 100% 100% 97% 80% 40% 7%
52 SHEFFIELD Lake Mawu 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 85% 63% 34% 11% 2%
53 BECKMAN Ana 100% 100% 98% 92% 78% 54% 29% 11% 3% - - -
54 HU Grace 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 91% 73% 44% 17% 3% -
55 BOUDREAU Justine 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 87% 67% 39% 15% 3% -
56 LURYE Sarah 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 86% 66% 40% 17% 5% 1% -
57 CHU Audrey 100% 100% 96% 75% 38% 9% 1%
58 SPRINGER Sierra 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 82% 59% 32% 12% 3% - -
59 JAKEL Sophia N. 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 22% 4%
60 NIXON Caroline (Karolina) L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 83% 56% 23% 3%
61 CHEN Lefu 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 97% 88% 69% 41% 15% 3% -
62 CAFASSO Natalya 100% 99% 94% 79% 55% 30% 12% 4% 1% - - - -
62 JOYAL Anne-Sophie 100% 100% 97% 86% 65% 38% 16% 5% 1% - - -
64 DAMRATOSKI Anna Z. 100% 100% 100% 99% 97% 88% 71% 46% 22% 7% 1% - -
65 LIN Waiyuk 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 91% 75% 50% 24% 8% 1% -
66 NGUYEN Tallulah 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 14% 2%
67 XIONG Angelica 100% 97% 84% 58% 30% 11% 3% 1% - - - -
68 WADE-CURRIE Ava S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 97% 88% 70% 43% 18% 4% -
69 YAO Yilin 100% 100% 98% 87% 65% 36% 14% 4% 1% - -
70 WANG Elizabeth 100% 100% 97% 80% 41% 8%
71 LEE REGINA 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 89% 71% 45% 20% 6% 1% -
72 AI Amy 100% 100% 99% 94% 81% 58% 33% 13% 4% 1% - - -
73 FURMAN Maria 100% 100% 98% 91% 72% 45% 20% 6% 1% - - - -
74 CAMPBELL Eva 100% 90% 62% 30% 10% 2% < 1% - - - - -
75 KOZLOWSKI Maya M. 100% 100% 98% 92% 77% 53% 28% 11% 3% 1% - - -
76 GUO Luxi 100% 98% 87% 64% 35% 14% 4% 1% - - - -
77 MONTOYA Kimberlee C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 84% 62% 36% 15% 4% 1% -
78 WEBER Nora 100% 100% 99% 96% 84% 61% 34% 14% 4% 1% - -
79 AICARDI GONZALEZ Alessandra Valeria 100% 100% 97% 88% 68% 42% 20% 7% 2% - - - -
80 YANG Alisa 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 84% 62% 33% 12% 2% - -
81 WANG Karen 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 17% 2%
82 GAO Judy 100% 100% 99% 93% 76% 50% 24% 8% 2% - - - -
83 TOLSMA Chloe (CJ) 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 72% 44% 18% 5% 1% -
84 PORADA Yarena 100% 89% 60% 29% 10% 2% - - - - - -
85 KETKAR Mallika 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 80% 57% 30% 10% 2% -
86 LORD Sarah-Eve 100% 99% 92% 74% 47% 22% 8% 2% - - - -
86 PROFIS Liora 100% 99% 95% 79% 53% 26% 9% 2% - - - - -
88 YAO Melinda 100% 100% 98% 90% 71% 45% 21% 7% 2% - - -
89 NGUYEN Kira 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 79% 52% 24% 7% 1% -
90 CARRIER Meredith 100% 100% 99% 91% 71% 41% 16% 4% 1% - - -
91 CHERNIS Zoe C. 100% 99% 93% 74% 44% 19% 6% 1% - - - - -
92 SHIV Avni 100% 100% 98% 90% 71% 45% 22% 7% 2% - - - -
93 GORNOVSKY Abigail 100% 100% 98% 91% 74% 48% 23% 8% 2% - - - -
94 PRIHODKO Nina 100% 100% 99% 95% 82% 58% 31% 12% 3% - - - -
95 CHEN Jingyun 100% 95% 76% 45% 19% 6% 1% - - - - - -
96 LIN Elaine 100% 100% 100% 97% 88% 70% 44% 21% 7% 1% - -
97 WANG Zoe 100% 100% 97% 86% 63% 35% 14% 4% 1% - - - -
98 PINNAMANENI Drithi 100% 97% 82% 54% 26% 9% 2% - - - - -
99 SMUK Alexandra S. 100% 100% 94% 74% 39% 11% 1%
100 IYER Ishana 100% 88% 49% 12% 1% -
101 SWENSON Nikita G. 100% 99% 94% 71% 36% 10% 1%
102 PEHLIVANI Zara 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 24% 4%
103 KOWALSKY Rachel A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 19%
104 EDWARDS Auprell 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 4%
105 SMOTRITSKY Mia 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 16%
106 QI Jarynne Valerie 100% 98% 83% 51% 18% 3%
107 HONG Elaine 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 7% 1%
108 BEZUGLAYA Varvara 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 1%
109 ZHANG Victoria R. 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 7%
109 LEE yat ching 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 5% -
111 HEPLER Sarah 100% 99% 91% 69% 36% 11% 2%
111 CAPELLUA Mariasole 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 12%
113 LEE Claire 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
114 CALDERA Lexi I. 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 14% 2%
114 PADHYE Tanishka 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 3%
116 MISHIMA Audrey 100% 80% 40% 12% 2% - -
117 STERR Isabella M. 100% 91% 62% 29% 8% 1% -
118 YOU Emily 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 5% -
118 LIU Baihan 100% 96% 73% 36% 10% 1% -
120 AZMEH nour 100% 94% 61% 23% 5% 1% -
121 CHENG Ava 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 11% 1%
122 WANG Jessie 100% 85% 51% 18% 3% -
123 DOROSHKEVICH Victoria 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 16%
124 ELSTON Sophia 100% 91% 60% 25% 5% -
125 SENYUVA Su 100% 89% 56% 22% 5% -
126 LUO Ashley 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 20%
127 SEMIKIN Julia 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7%
128 SONG Angela 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 17% 1%
129 SUN Hanya 100% 89% 58% 25% 7% 1% -
130 ANDERSON Claire 100% 94% 72% 37% 12% 2% -
131 FORNARIS Susana 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 28%
132 CHISHOLM Phoebe C. 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
133 RICHARDSON Meredith 100% 89% 57% 22% 5% - -
134 LIANG Jingjing 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% - -
135 XU Grace (XinYi) 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 15%
136 KIM Zoe L. 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 37% 9%
137 NOVOJILOV Anastasia 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% - -
138 POTAPENKO Margarita D. 100% 99% 86% 52% 17% 2% -
138 LEE Olive 100% 98% 87% 60% 28% 7% 1%
140 WELLS Tesla M. 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 8% 1%
140 LI Zhenni (Jenny) 100% 95% 70% 30% 6% 1% -
142 LU Samantha R. 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 6% -
143 SU Evelyn 100% 96% 75% 40% 12% 2% -
143 SHANKERDAS Shreeya 100% 79% 36% 8% 1% - -
145 BROWN Hannah 100% 92% 59% 22% 5% 1% -
146 SYKES Elynor 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4% -
147 MEHROTRA Anya 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 25%
147 HSIU Elizabeth 100% 98% 83% 48% 15% 2% -
149 PULLEN Ayah 100% 88% 56% 23% 5% 1% -
150 NGUYEN Audrey 100% 98% 81% 45% 14% 2%
151 BUSH emma 100% 97% 80% 43% 11% 1%
152 HAMILTON Pauline S. 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
153 BALAKRISHNAN Trisha 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% -
154 KIM Jayna 100% 92% 64% 27% 6% 1%
155 RUNIONS Emersyn 100% 100% 97% 84% 56% 24% 5%
156 HAFEEZ Hania 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 31% 6%
157 XIAO Nancy 100% 99% 89% 58% 21% 3% -
158 DORVAL Anne-Marie 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 32% 7%
159 JAKEL Alysa C. 100% 97% 83% 52% 21% 4% -
160 REID Sobia 100% 99% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1%
161 TEMIRYAEV Anna M. 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 7%
162 NING Emma 100% 100% 100% 98% 79% 26%
163 LI Fei 100% 99% 91% 68% 36% 11% 2%
164 HAFEEZ Hiba 100% 94% 70% 34% 10% 1% -
165 WANG Victoria 100% 84% 49% 17% 4% - -
166 MILEWSKI Nicole 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 25% 4%
167 KORKIN Alice 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 3% -
167 CANNING Charlotte 100% 99% 89% 63% 30% 8% 1%
169 WANG Ziqi (yoyo) 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 16% 1%
170 LIU Christina A. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 9%
170 SCHMITT Harper 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
172 MUN Brianna K. 100% 92% 65% 31% 9% 1% -
173 KUMAR Anusha 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
173 RODRÍGUEZ Abigaíl 100% 93% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
175 WANG Angelina 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
176 DESAI Meera P. 100% 99% 90% 67% 35% 10% 1%
177 NIX Reagan 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 4% -
178 SMUK Daria A. 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2%
178 SHU Youshan 100% 96% 73% 35% 9% 1%
180 GUJJA Misha 100% 91% 63% 27% 6% 1%
181 REID Anousheh 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 2%
181 SHELIN Chelsea 100% 85% 50% 17% 3% -
183 LEE Natasha 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
184 NEMETH Katherine 100% 98% 83% 52% 19% 3%
185 PECK Maia A. 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 2%
186 YU Nicole J. 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 9%
187 SEREGIN Katya 100% 61% 19% 3% - - -
188 ZHU Serene M. 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
188 YAO KATHARINE 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 2% -
190 SAYAGUES Isabella 100% 52% 13% 2% - - -
191 DUMAS Marie 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% - -
192 PHUKAN Indra 100% 92% 60% 21% 4% - -
193 BASRALIAN Azniv 100% 92% 58% 17% 2% -
194 WONG Alexandra R. 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 7% 1%
194 LEE Olivia 100% 100% 95% 80% 49% 19% 3%
196 DEPOMMIER Isabelle 100% 86% 50% 18% 4% - -
197 LEWIS Rachel 100% 71% 30% 7% 1% - -
198 MONOVA Lilyana 100% 35% 5% - - - -
199 UNGURIANU Nika 100% 57% 17% 3% - - -
200 REKEDA Anna 100% 56% 16% 2% - - -
201 LEE Camilla 100% 87% 52% 19% 4% - -
202 BOTNER Olivia 100% 95% 74% 40% 14% 3% -
203 CHUANG Ramona 100% 43% 9% 1% - -
204 WALLER DEL VALLE Alexandra 100% 60% 17% 2% - -
205 SUN Renee R. 100% 93% 66% 27% 5% -
205 FERREIRA DE MELO Adriana 100% 90% 57% 22% 4% -
207 WALLER DEL VALLE Andrea 100% 78% 36% 9% 1% - -
208 DONGES Anna 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.