The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Daugherty Challenge ROC/RJCC/RYC

Cadet Men's Foil

Saturday, November 4, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Moolah Shrine Center - St. Louis, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 TWEMLOW Sacha - - - 5% 29% 66%
2 GUTH Joseph - - - 5% 30% 64%
3 NAIDL Josiah 1% 8% 27% 40% 22% 3%
3 SLUSHER Gideon - - 1% 11% 42% 46%
5 CROOM Tucker - 1% 7% 27% 42% 22%
6 LIU Yinhong - 2% 13% 33% 37% 15%
7 HOWLAND Jonas - 2% 16% 47% 30% 5%
8 HICKEY Connor - 2% 12% 32% 38% 17%
9 WEISS Quintin 1% 8% 28% 40% 21% 2%
10 MODADUGU Aryan 3% 21% 38% 28% 9% 1%
11 BALES Gabriel 15% 38% 33% 12% 2% -
11 RYAN Nash 15% 41% 33% 10% 1% -
13 ZMUDA Aiden 1% 8% 29% 40% 20% 2%
14 PHONPRASANSACK Grayson 1% 7% 28% 41% 20% 3%
15 MICK Gabriel 4% 25% 42% 24% 5% -
16 BERSCHEID Arthur 1% 8% 27% 39% 22% 3%
17 MORALES Isaac - - 3% 18% 49% 31%
18 MOLDOVEANU Roman 4% 23% 42% 25% 5% -
19 MCCONKEY Tristan 1% 14% 36% 35% 12% 1%
20 MURPHY Jonathan 1% 9% 29% 37% 21% 4%
21 YOUNG Jack 6% 32% 40% 19% 3% -
22 MA Gangjin - 3% 19% 41% 33% 5%
23 DAVIS Benjamin 45% 42% 12% 1% - -
24 TURNER Jackson 5% 24% 39% 26% 6% -
25 WOJTALEWICZ Aiden 3% 20% 37% 29% 10% 1%
26 OSTFIELD Matteo 47% 39% 12% 2% - -
27 CALESHU Bauer 11% 37% 37% 13% 2% -
28 FRASER Alistair 34% 43% 19% 3% - -
29 WENGER Liam 21% 41% 28% 8% 1% -
30 FEEHAN Conor 56% 35% 8% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.