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Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	HUTH Mitchell	-	-	-	3%	23%	74%
2	ROUNTREE Rob	-	1%	9%	31%	42%	18%
3	LABROZZI Aidan	2%	18%	39%	31%	9%	1%
3	SICHITIU Alexander	-	3%	15%	33%	35%	14%
5	MCKINNEY Isaiah	-	-	2%	15%	36%	35%	12%
6	GU Jeffrey	-	1%	6%	27%	51%	17%
7	CUI Anthony	-	-	6%	27%	44%	22%
8	QIAN Zhiyan	2%	12%	28%	33%	19%	5%	-
9	BEALE Asa G.	2%	15%	36%	34%	12%	1%
10	COLTON John A.	-	4%	17%	35%	33%	12%
11	VIVEROS Evan	1%	7%	26%	40%	24%	2%
12	PASUMARTHY Srikar	9%	33%	38%	16%	3%	-
13	RAILTON Chelsea O.	-	2%	11%	26%	33%	22%	6%
14	GRISWOLD Doug	-	2%	13%	37%	37%	11%
15	VIVEROS Oscar A.	14%	36%	34%	13%	2%	-
16	BERNABE Rafael	3%	23%	38%	27%	8%	1%
17	SCHMIDT Victoria	1%	6%	21%	33%	26%	10%	2%
18	DIXON Harrison L.	3%	17%	35%	31%	12%	1%
19	YU Jonathan J.	2%	15%	34%	34%	13%	1%
20	WHITE Joshua H.	-	3%	18%	38%	32%	9%
21	JI Jasmine	2%	14%	32%	33%	16%	3%
22	LONG Madeline M.	2%	12%	29%	34%	19%	4%
23	WOODFORD Kalei E.	1%	8%	24%	33%	24%	9%	1%
24	SELLERY Robert M.	4%	18%	34%	30%	12%	2%
25	KAPLAN Richie	7%	28%	39%	22%	4%	-
27	DATLA Medha	7%	26%	37%	24%	7%	1%
28	BROWN Joshua (Josh) A.	8%	29%	38%	20%	4%	-
29	EMENHEISER Conrad	17%	45%	30%	7%	1%	-
30	SLOUGH Sean	3%	23%	40%	27%	7%	1%	-
31	WANG Jeremy	11%	33%	36%	17%	3%	-
32	VIVEROS Antonio	9%	30%	36%	20%	5%	-	-
33	WANG Cynthia	17%	38%	31%	12%	2%	-
34	CARRIKER Patrick	4%	19%	37%	31%	10%	-
35	WU Velyn	2%	18%	39%	30%	9%	1%
36	JI Kevin	25%	46%	24%	4%	-	-
37	WEBB Lydia	5%	25%	39%	25%	6%	1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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